IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since announcing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a>’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a> at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. </li>
<li>The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. </li>
<li>Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. </li>
</ul>


Since announcing Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)’s pre-conditional voluntary offer for Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) at HK$2.65 per share, the gross spread has increased. 
The Board’s strategy is to rally shareholders against a hostile offer. However, the recent AGM protest votes suggest that the Board cannot easily thwart the offer. 
Shandong Xinjufeng's renewed efforts to secure Board representation suggest that its offer is in trouble. Meanwhile, China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) seems disinclined to engage in a bidding war. 


GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,763.0 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Wanhua Chemical, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,763.0 million, led by information technology, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and offset by utilities.
We highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Wanhua Chemical, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,274.9 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,, Moutai, Midea, China Yangtze Power, Zijin Mining, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,274.9 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by information technology, energy.
We highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,, Moutai, Midea, China Yangtze Power, Zijin Mining, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial.


Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.</li>
<li>Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.
Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.


Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

China

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces milk, powdered milk, ice cream, and other dairy products.  The Company also produces frozen food and noodles.

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

GAPack (468 HK): Grinding Towards a Stalemate

There is a stalemate as the Board and Shandong Xinjufeng appear to have similar levels of support. The risk (12.1% downside to undisturbed)/reward...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Jun 28th): Foxconn Industrial Internet, Wanhua Chemical, BYD

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Foxconn Industrial Internet, Zhejiang Sanhua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jun 21st): Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight, Eoptolink, Moutai, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Seres, Luxshare Precision, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect flows were again starkly negative this week on low gross volumes. Foreigners are selling consumer names - Kweichow and...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)