Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.</li>
<li>Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 16.1bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND bought tech and sold everything else, especially consumer names. Kweichow Moutai, Midea, appliances and renewables.
Ongoing questions as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected from earlier announcements.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 8.8bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought Luxshare, CMB, and CATL. AH Premia now lowest in 4yrs.</li>
<li>Foreign attitudes to HK stocks different than to mainland stocks. This may continue.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 8.8bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought Luxshare, CMB, and CATL. AH Premia now lowest in 4yrs.
Foreign attitudes to HK stocks different than to mainland stocks. This may continue.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 May 2024):

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple diversifies supply chain, focusing on Southeast Asia, led by Vietnam, while also shifting suppliers in India.</li><li>MediaTek plans to boost market presence and R&amp;D in India, targeting 30% market share in China by 2H24 with Dimensity 9400 SoC.</li><li>US probe into China's RISC-V role could impact Samsung's AI chip ambitions, while STMicroelectronics aims for 100% renewable electricity by 2027.</li></ul>

Apple diversifies supply chain, focusing on Southeast Asia, led by Vietnam, while also shifting suppliers in India.MediaTek plans to boost market presence and R&amp;D in India, targeting 30% market share in China by 2H24 with Dimensity 9400 SoC.US probe into China's RISC-V role could impact Samsung's AI chip ambitions, while STMicroelectronics aims for 100% renewable electricity by 2027.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Apr-2024): Apple expands supply chain in Southeast Asia, led by Vietnam.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Luxshare posted FY23 revenue/NP growth of 8%/20% YoY, largely in-line with pre-announcement of 20-25% YoY, while 1H24E earnings guidance of 20-25% YoY (implying 2Q24E 18%-27% YoY) is above market expectations.</li><li>We believe the strong 1H24 outlook is mainly driven by 1) datacenter connectivity (optic/copper) products, cooling and power solutions, and 2) auto biz momentum on stronger NEV and ADAS/AD demand from overseas markets.</li><li>Looking forward, despite recent macro headwinds and iPhone shipment weakness, we believe Luxshare is well-positioned to capture opportunities in datacentre connectivity business, automotive connector business, gain share in iPhone/MacBook/iPad/Watch OEM/components and Apple’s multiple product launches in 2H24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Luxshare posted FY23 revenue/NP growth of 8%/20% YoY, largely in-line with pre-announcement of 20-25% YoY, while 1H24E earnings guidance of 20-25% YoY (implying 2Q24E 18%-27% YoY) is above market expectations.We believe the strong 1H24 outlook is mainly driven by 1) datacenter connectivity (optic/copper) products, cooling and power solutions, and 2) auto biz momentum on stronger NEV and ADAS/AD demand from overseas markets.Looking forward, despite recent macro headwinds and iPhone shipment weakness, we believe Luxshare is well-positioned to capture opportunities in datacentre connectivity business, automotive connector business, gain share in iPhone/MacBook/iPad/Watch OEM/components and Apple’s multiple product launches in 2H24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Luxshare (002475 CH) - FY23 In-Line with Better-Than-Feared 1H24 Earnings Guidance

<ul><li>Based on filings of Pegatron (iPhone OEM) on 28 Dec, Luxshare is expected to invest RMB 2.1bn for 62.5% stake of Pegatron’s iPhone assembly plant in Kunshan.</li><li>After the deal close, Luxshare will become the 2 nd largest iPhone assembler with 35%+ share after Foxconn, and Pegatron will target to reallocate resources and regional production capacity.</li><li>Despite recent macro headwinds and iPhone’s pressure from Huawei’s comeback, we believe Luxshare is wellpositioned for further share gain across Apple’s iPhone/ Watch /AirPods/Vision Pro supply chain in FY24/25E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on filings of Pegatron (iPhone OEM) on 28 Dec, Luxshare is expected to invest RMB 2.1bn for 62.5% stake of Pegatron’s iPhone assembly plant in Kunshan.After the deal close, Luxshare will become the 2 nd largest iPhone assembler with 35%+ share after Foxconn, and Pegatron will target to reallocate resources and regional production capacity.Despite recent macro headwinds and iPhone’s pressure from Huawei’s comeback, we believe Luxshare is wellpositioned for further share gain across Apple’s iPhone/ Watch /AirPods/Vision Pro supply chain in FY24/25E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Luxshare – Acquisition of Pegatron’s Kunshan Plant to Further Boost IPhone Assembly Share Gain

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect flows were again starkly negative this week on low gross volumes. Foreigners are selling consumer names - Kweichow and...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 May 2024):

NORTHBOUND net flows continue to be positive, belying the mainland story that foreigners are being bad. But they aren't keeping pace with HK.

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Apr-2024): Apple expands supply chain in Southeast Asia, led by Vietnam.

Apple diversifies supply chain to Southeast Asia, MediaTek aims for market share growth in China, US probe into China's RISC-V role could impact...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Luxshare (002475 CH) - FY23 In-Line with Better-Than-Feared 1H24 Earnings Guidance

Luxshare posted FY23 revenue/NP growth of 8%/20% YoY, largely in-line with pre-announcement of 20-25% YoY, while 1H24E earnings guidance of 20-25% YoY

CMB International

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Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 21 June 2024): BIG Consumer Name Selling Again

NORTHBOUND Mainland Connect flows were again starkly negative this week on low gross volumes. Foreigners are selling consumer names - Kweichow and...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 May 2024):

NORTHBOUND net flows continue to be positive, belying the mainland story that foreigners are being bad. But they aren't keeping pace with HK.

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Apr-2024): Apple expands supply chain in Southeast Asia, led by Vietnam.

Apple diversifies supply chain to Southeast Asia, MediaTek aims for market share growth in China, US probe into China's RISC-V role could impact...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Luxshare (002475 CH) - FY23 In-Line with Better-Than-Feared 1H24 Earnings Guidance

Luxshare posted FY23 revenue/NP growth of 8%/20% YoY, largely in-line with pre-announcement of 20-25% YoY, while 1H24E earnings guidance of 20-25% YoY

CMB International

Luxshare – Acquisition of Pegatron’s Kunshan Plant to Further Boost IPhone Assembly Share Gain

Based on filings of Pegatron (iPhone OEM) on 28 Dec, Luxshare is expected to invest RMB 2.1bn for 62.5% stake of Pegatron’s iPhone assembly plant...

CMB International