Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.2bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27092:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boe-technology-group-co-ltd-724c733a-a1da-46a8-b44f-f0d565e18807" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26049:1" rel="noopener">BOE Technology (000725 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial (600887 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.2bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.6bn).
The largest inflows were into WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) and BOE Technology (000725 CH). The largest outflows were in Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial (600887 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows for September with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the monthly outflows to be USD 1,383.9 million, led by industrial, financial and consumer staple sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding, Daqin Railway, and outflows from CMB, CALT, Zhejiang Sanhua, Moutai, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows for September with our data engine.
We estimate the monthly outflows to be USD 1,383.9 million, led by industrial, financial and consumer staple sectors.
We highlight inflows into Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding, Daqin Railway, and outflows from CMB, CALT, Zhejiang Sanhua, Moutai, BOE.


Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The growth in China A-Share exposure has slowed as we approach full ownership across the EM active fund universe.</li>
<li>China A-Share allocations have remained solid throughout this year’s volatility and heavy country rotation.</li>
<li>Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex Technology remain the most widely held stocks, but others are starting to make their mark.</li>
</ul>


The growth in China A-Share exposure has slowed as we approach full ownership across the EM active fund universe.
China A-Share allocations have remained solid throughout this year’s volatility and heavy country rotation.
Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai and Contemporary Amperex Technology remain the most widely held stocks, but others are starting to make their mark.


China A-Share Deep Dive:  Growth Slows, but EM Funds Remain Well Invested

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.</li><li>In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.</li><li>Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H ended with 3 beats, 3 misses and 5 in-lines. The wrap-up of 1H/ 2Q earnings season has largely reset market expectation with latest earnings forecasts, management guidance and hence a refreshed 2H outlook.In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion for staple players.Meanwhile, lockdown risks prompt us to reside with plays that enjoy high online sales mix, and more importantly, relevant to the upcoming Double 11 campaign.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

China

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces milk, powdered milk, ice cream, and other dairy products.  The Company also produces frozen food and noodles.

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China A-Share Deep Dive: Growth Slows, but EM Funds Remain Well Invested

China A-Share exposure has seen tremendous growth over the last decade, yet the rate of ownership growth has slowed this year. In this piece we...

Steven Holden

China Consumer Staples – A diverging 1H; mix upgrade and cost savings were keys to stay relevant

In the near term, in our view, when the PPI-CPI scissor gap continues to narrow, market likely refocuses on the legitimation of any GPM expansion...

CMB International

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (21 October 2022)