Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 11th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$845.8 million, led by materials, financials, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech, TCL Zhonghuan, Yangtze Power, Goertek.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 11th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$845.8 million, led by materials, financials, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by information technology, utilities.
We highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech, TCL Zhonghuan, Yangtze Power, Goertek.


Northbound Flows (Nov 11th): Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th. </li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$727.6 million, led by consumer staples, utilities, and offset by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th. 
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$727.6 million, led by consumer staples, utilities, and offset by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech.


Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$2.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.15bn) and Shenzhen (-US$1.25bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pylon-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33153:1" rel="noopener">Pylon Technologies (688063 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$2.4bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.15bn) and Shenzhen (-US$1.25bn).
The largest inflows were into CATL (300750 CH) and Pylon Technologies (688063 CH). The largest outflows were in Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (3 November 2022)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Share price down 10% post 3Q results. Despite a conservative guidance, net profits came in at 10% lower than consensus at RMB1.9bn, down 27% YoY, driven mainly by 1) a decelerating revenue growth at 7% (vs 2Q 11%), 2) a thinner organic GPM of 30.9% (vs YTD 32.9%) and a 3.3pp increase in opex ratio.</li><li>The surge of opex ratio was eye-catching, and was mainly attributable to 1) the operating deleverage of a slowdown in liquid milk sales upon cities’ lockdown, 2) a seasonally higher advertising expense with TV shows, which are mainly clustered in 3Q, and 3) the consolidation impact of Ausnutria.</li><li>4Q momentum showed sequential pick-up. Liquid milk demand has accelerated QoQ with healthy restocking momentum for the CNY in Jan 2023, per management during the earnings call.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Share price down 10% post 3Q results. Despite a conservative guidance, net profits came in at 10% lower than consensus at RMB1.9bn, down 27% YoY, driven mainly by 1) a decelerating revenue growth at 7% (vs 2Q 11%), 2) a thinner organic GPM of 30.9% (vs YTD 32.9%) and a 3.3pp increase in opex ratio.The surge of opex ratio was eye-catching, and was mainly attributable to 1) the operating deleverage of a slowdown in liquid milk sales upon cities’ lockdown, 2) a seasonally higher advertising expense with TV shows, which are mainly clustered in 3Q, and 3) the consolidation impact of Ausnutria.4Q momentum showed sequential pick-up. Liquid milk demand has accelerated QoQ with healthy restocking momentum for the CNY in Jan 2023, per management during the earnings call.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yili Industrial (600887 CH) – Sequential recovery in-sight

China

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. produces milk, powdered milk, ice cream, and other dairy products.  The Company also produces frozen food and noodles.

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Nov 11th): Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech, TCL Zhonghuan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (3 November 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$2.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Yili Industrial (600887 CH) – Sequential recovery in-sight

Share price down 10% post 3Q results. Despite a conservative guidance, net profits came in at 10% lower than consensus at RMB1.9bn, down 27% YoY

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Nov 11th): Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Naura Tech, TCL Zhonghuan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Nov 4th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Yili, East Money, Wintech

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, BYD, Mindray, Tianqi, Moutai, Yangtze Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (3 November 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$2.4bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Yili Industrial (600887 CH) – Sequential recovery in-sight

Share price down 10% post 3Q results. Despite a conservative guidance, net profits came in at 10% lower than consensus at RMB1.9bn, down 27% YoY

CMB International

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (3 November 2022)