New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The delivery could have been better, but the message got through. One NZ's trading is as weak as should have been expected following Spark's downgrade, and CDC is gearing up for breathtaking growth.</li><li>Over the next three years CDC could triple in capacity, with EBITDA following close behind. CDC has tripled in capacity twice already. But scale matters.</li><li>We estimate CDC will need to spend &gt;A$7bn in capex, &gt;20x FY24 EBITDA, to deliver this growth. </li></ul>

The delivery could have been better, but the message got through. One NZ's trading is as weak as should have been expected following Spark's downgrade, and CDC is gearing up for breathtaking growth.Over the next three years CDC could triple in capacity, with EBITDA following close behind. CDC has tripled in capacity twice already. But scale matters.We estimate CDC will need to spend &gt;A$7bn in capex, &gt;20x FY24 EBITDA, to deliver this growth. 

Infratil - FY24 Result — A Few Things to Unpick

<ul><li>Infratil (IFT) will report its FY24 result on Tuesday, 21 May. With the reiteration of its guidance in March, we see little room for major surprises in its FY24 result.</li><li>We believe the key focuses will be: (1) free cash flow (FCF) outlook for One NZ. Over the last four years One NZ has delivered little FCF; we expect this to change by FY25 to improve IFT's cash generative core.</li><li>(2) CDC growth outlook should be strong but it likely needs further capital to fund its growth. </li></ul>

Infratil (IFT) will report its FY24 result on Tuesday, 21 May. With the reiteration of its guidance in March, we see little room for major surprises in its FY24 result.We believe the key focuses will be: (1) free cash flow (FCF) outlook for One NZ. Over the last four years One NZ has delivered little FCF; we expect this to change by FY25 to improve IFT's cash generative core.(2) CDC growth outlook should be strong but it likely needs further capital to fund its growth. 

Infratil - FY24 Preview — One NZ Cash & CDC Growth

<ul><li>Infratil (IFT) and its portfolio companies delivered a confident message at its Investor Day, focused on the various long-term internal reinvestment opportunities within the portfolio.</li><li>We walk away with three main takeaways: (1) CDC continues to see exceptional and likely accelerating growth.</li><li>Expected yet reassuring; (2) One NZ is first and foremost a telco. Not a fast growing digital infrastructure company.</li></ul>

Infratil (IFT) and its portfolio companies delivered a confident message at its Investor Day, focused on the various long-term internal reinvestment opportunities within the portfolio.We walk away with three main takeaways: (1) CDC continues to see exceptional and likely accelerating growth.Expected yet reassuring; (2) One NZ is first and foremost a telco. Not a fast growing digital infrastructure company.

Infratil - Reinvestment Opportunities a Plenty

<ul><li>Infratil (IFT) released a brief statement announcing 110MW of new contracts for Canberra Data Centres (CDC) signed since its October update.</li><li>These 110MW represent ~50% of total existing utilised capacity, and should be seen in conjunction with CDC's update in October when it announced it had commenced construction of 265MW, doubling its capacity.</li><li>Put together these two announcements speak to the still very strong, multi-year growth CDC is seeing. </li></ul>

Infratil (IFT) released a brief statement announcing 110MW of new contracts for Canberra Data Centres (CDC) signed since its October update.These 110MW represent ~50% of total existing utilised capacity, and should be seen in conjunction with CDC's update in October when it announced it had commenced construction of 265MW, doubling its capacity.Put together these two announcements speak to the still very strong, multi-year growth CDC is seeing. 

Infratil -  Contract Demand Continues; Growth De-Risked

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Auckland Intl Airport / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:597:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)</a>  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.</li>
<li>Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.


Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

New Zealand

Infratil Limited is an infrastructure investment company. The Company invests in airports, energy such as renewable and waste-energy, and public transportation.

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Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)

Infratil - FY24 Result — A Few Things to Unpick

Over the next three years CDC could triple in capacity, with EBITDA following close behind. CDC has tripled in capacity twice already. But scale...

Forsyth Barr

Infratil - FY24 Preview — One NZ Cash & CDC Growth

Infratil (IFT) will report its FY24 result on Tuesday, 21 May. With the reiteration of its guidance in March, we see little room for major...

Forsyth Barr

Infratil - Reinvestment Opportunities a Plenty

Infratil (IFT) and its portfolio companies delivered a confident message at its Investor Day, focused on the various long-term internal...

Forsyth Barr

Infratil - Contract Demand Continues; Growth De-Risked

Infratil (IFT) released a brief statement announcing 110MW of new contracts for Canberra Data Centres (CDC) signed since its October update.

Forsyth Barr

Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

Auckland Airport just reported its full year results, this in effect frees its largest shareholder, Auckland City Council to progress with its...

Sumeet Singh

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