Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West.</li>
<li>Chinese institutions are technically able to continue engaging with sanctioned Russian entities under domestic law</li>
<li>Apart from the suspension of some ongoing dollar-denominated transactions, the sanctions have had limited impact on Chinese banks so far</li>
</ul>


China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West.
Chinese institutions are technically able to continue engaging with sanctioned Russian entities under domestic law
Apart from the suspension of some ongoing dollar-denominated transactions, the sanctions have had limited impact on Chinese banks so far


Sanctions on Russia Sound Alarm for Chinese Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In a surprise (maybe should not have been!), there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> in September. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1% and estimated round-trip trade is HK$3.73bn (US$478m). There are no stocks with over +/-0.5x ADV to trade but flows could add to/offset other index flows.</li>
<li>We remain at 82 index constituents and the road to 100 constituents appears to be a long drawn out torturous one. At this glacial pace, could be an eternity away.</li>
</ul>


In a surprise (maybe should not have been!), there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) in September. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1% and estimated round-trip trade is HK$3.73bn (US$478m). There are no stocks with over +/-0.5x ADV to trade but flows could add to/offset other index flows.
We remain at 82 index constituents and the road to 100 constituents appears to be a long drawn out torturous one. At this glacial pace, could be an eternity away.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Meh (Or Will We Ever Get to 100 Stocks?)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$600.9 million, led by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, and offset by financials, communication services, health care.</li>
<li>Outflows were driven by Material, Industries and Consumer Discretionary sectors. We highlight flows for CATL (300750 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$600.9 million, led by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, and offset by financials, communication services, health care.
Outflows were driven by Material, Industries and Consumer Discretionary sectors. We highlight flows for CATL (300750 CH).


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.0bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND volumes were very, very low overall.</li>
<li>HK large caps again outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 5.0bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND volumes were very, very low overall.
HK large caps again outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 16 Aug 2024): Banks Bought, Industry & Materials Sold

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, BOC, Power Assets, HSBC, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation, BOC, Power Assets, HSBC, China Mobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 2nd): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Power Assets

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd provides a broad range of personal and corporate commercial banking services all over China.  The Bank's businesses include deposit, loan, credit card, fund underwriting and trust, and foreign currency settlement and trading.

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Ind & Comm Bk Of China (A) (601398 CH)

Sanctions on Russia Sound Alarm for Chinese Banks

China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West. Chinese institutions are...

Caixin Global

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Meh (Or Will We Ever Get to 100 Stocks?)

No constituent changes so we stay at 82 stocks. Reaching 100 stocks is few years away. FAF/capping changes lead to 1-way turnover of 1% and round...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Aug 16th): CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CATL (ticker: 300750 CH).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 16 Aug 2024): Banks Bought, Industry & Materials Sold

NORTHBOUND was again a net sell, but volumes were very low. Renewables and appliances were again tilted sell - not surprising as property...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 2nd): Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Power Assets

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, BOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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