Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The correlation and sensitivity between passive flow and price impact have been significantly high for adds/deletes. So, we need a basket-trade setup focusing on potential adds/deletes.</li>
<li>We will see 12 changes for Semicon and 6 for Autos. Bank won't present any change.</li>
<li>
SK Square and Iljin Hysolus are the most prominent names to join the KRX Sector Indices this time. They will have a passive impact of 2.03x and 3.97x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The correlation and sensitivity between passive flow and price impact have been significantly high for adds/deletes. So, we need a basket-trade setup focusing on potential adds/deletes.
We will see 12 changes for Semicon and 6 for Autos. Bank won't present any change.

SK Square and Iljin Hysolus are the most prominent names to join the KRX Sector Indices this time. They will have a passive impact of 2.03x and 3.97x ADTVs, respectively.


Introducing KRX Sector Indices: SK Square & Iljin Hysolus Deserve Attention for Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>The ETF operator's room to play around in index weighting is relatively minimal. Rebalancing is completed in one trading day. So, the actual passive impact was more intense and substantial.</li>
<li>The rebalancing result based on the average float-adjusted MC from May 2 to yesterday: Additions Iljin Hysolus, Halla Holdings, &amp; DTR Automotive / Deletions Nexen Tire, Kumho HT, &amp; Seoyon
</li>
<li>Their estimated passive impact is more significant than that of the previous rebalancing. It is substantial enough to consider a preemptive position build-up for them.</li>
</ul>


The ETF operator's room to play around in index weighting is relatively minimal. Rebalancing is completed in one trading day. So, the actual passive impact was more intense and substantial.
The rebalancing result based on the average float-adjusted MC from May 2 to yesterday: Additions Iljin Hysolus, Halla Holdings, &amp; DTR Automotive / Deletions Nexen Tire, Kumho HT, &amp; Seoyon

Their estimated passive impact is more significant than that of the previous rebalancing. It is substantial enough to consider a preemptive position build-up for them.


KRX Autos (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing: Watch Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Automotive

<ul>
<li>All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.</li>
<li>A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.</li>
<li>That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).</li>
</ul>


All of these additions experienced significant levels of short trading yesterday. In particular, those newly listed stocks saw harsher shorting attacks, similar to what we witnessed at the last rebalancing.
A certain level of short selling trend for newly listed stocks will likely work the same this time, and the applicable period is expected to be 3-4 trading days.
That is, we need to target the newly listed stocks again for this rebalancing: Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), and SD Biosensor (137310 KS).


Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

<ul>
<li>We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.</li>
<li>Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.</li>
<li>Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.</li>
</ul>


We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.
Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.
Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.


Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

South Korea

Iljin Hysolus Co Ltd operates environmental problem solving businesses. The Company provides hydrogen solutions, CNG solutions, diesel solutions and other services. Iljin Hysolus conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS)

Introducing KRX Sector Indices: SK Square & Iljin Hysolus Deserve Attention for Rebalancing

This post introduces the KRX Sector Indices and screens the likely adds/deletes at the upcoming rebalancing in September, including SK Square and...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Autos (KODEX ETF) Rebalancing: Watch Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Automotive

We are midway through the KRX Autos rebalancing screening period. The results at the last close are Iljin HySolus, Halla Holdings, & DTR Auto...

Sanghyun Park

Shorting Trend Projections on KOSPI 200 Additions

This post examines the shorting patterns for the KOSPI 200 additions at the last rebalancing and argues the same patterns will likely repeat for...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

This post investigates the latest loaned share balance trend of the KOSPI 200 new members to figure out which are being targeted for post...

Sanghyun Park

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