Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In January 2024, Thai export value demonstrated significant growth, surpassing expectations with a YoY increase of 10%.</li><li>This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.</li><li>The healthy growth can be attributed to stronger-than-anticipated demand from trading partners, both in the primary markets — such as the US, which experienced a YoY increase of 13.7% compared to 0.3% in December — and secondary markets like Hong Kong and Russia. </li></ul>

In January 2024, Thai export value demonstrated significant growth, surpassing expectations with a YoY increase of 10%.This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.The healthy growth can be attributed to stronger-than-anticipated demand from trading partners, both in the primary markets — such as the US, which experienced a YoY increase of 13.7% compared to 0.3% in December — and secondary markets like Hong Kong and Russia. 

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> IE considers Paine Schwartz Partners’ A$3.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is towards the upper end of its A$2.62-3.28 valuation range. </li>
<li>The scheme requires China SAMR and European Commission approvals. SAMR approval poses a timing risk but the scheduling of the scheme meeting reflects PSP's confidence in securing the approvals.</li>
<li>While not a knockout bid, the profit warning should help sway the retail vote in favour of the scheme. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.1%.</li>
</ul>


The Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) IE considers Paine Schwartz Partners’ A$3.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is towards the upper end of its A$2.62-3.28 valuation range. 
The scheme requires China SAMR and European Commission approvals. SAMR approval poses a timing risk but the scheduling of the scheme meeting reflects PSP's confidence in securing the approvals.
While not a knockout bid, the profit warning should help sway the retail vote in favour of the scheme. At the last close, the gross spread was 8.1%.


Costa Group (CGC AU): Wide Spread Ahead of the 30 January Vote

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 104% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 21%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 104% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 21%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 43

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with Paine Schwartz Partners (PSP) led consortium at A$3.20 per share. </li>
<li>The key conditions are regulatory and shareholder approval. China SAMR regulatory approval poses a risk, primarily related to timing. Costa anticipates completion in 1Q24.</li>
<li>The headcount test related to the retail vote remains a risk. The risk/reward is unfavourable as the deal break downside (10%+) outweighs the offer’s upside (3.6% at last close).  </li>
</ul>



Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Paine Schwartz Partners (PSP) led consortium at A$3.20 per share. 
The key conditions are regulatory and shareholder approval. China SAMR regulatory approval poses a risk, primarily related to timing. Costa anticipates completion in 1Q24.
The headcount test related to the retail vote remains a risk. The risk/reward is unfavourable as the deal break downside (10%+) outweighs the offer’s upside (3.6% at last close).  


Costa Group (CGC AU): Binding Proposal Comes with Risks

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>  has disclosed a revised non-binding indicative proposal from Paine Schwartz Partners at A$3.20 per share, 9.6% lower than the previous offer on a like-for-like basis. </li>
<li>The weak CY23 outlook impacted the debt that could be taken on to meet the IRR hurdles of the previous offer. The revised offer is the best and final offer.</li>
<li>The Board faces a dilemma as the offer is light, but some shareholders will want the Board to accept as trading volatility making Costa more suited to the private market.</li>
</ul>



Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)  has disclosed a revised non-binding indicative proposal from Paine Schwartz Partners at A$3.20 per share, 9.6% lower than the previous offer on a like-for-like basis. 
The weak CY23 outlook impacted the debt that could be taken on to meet the IRR hurdles of the previous offer. The revised offer is the best and final offer.
The Board faces a dilemma as the offer is light, but some shareholders will want the Board to accept as trading volatility making Costa more suited to the private market.


Costa Group (CGC AU): Paine Schwartz’s Final Proposal Poses a Dilemma

Thailand

Ichitan Group PCL operates in the beverage industry. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and distributes a variety of tea beverages.

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Ichitan Group (ICHI TB)

Economic Update – Exports & Imports

This robust performance contrasts with December 2023's growth of 4.7% YoY and the NESDC’s export growth projection for this year at 2.9%.

Krungthai XSpring

Costa Group (CGC AU): Wide Spread Ahead of the 30 January Vote

While China SAMR approval is an overhang, the scheduling of the vote reflects PSP's confidence in securing the approval. The profit warning should...

Arun George

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 43

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Costa Group (CGC AU): Binding Proposal Comes with Risks

The timing of China SAMR approval and the headcount test are risks. The risk/reward is unfavourable as the deal break downside (10%+) outweighs the...

Arun George

Costa Group (CGC AU): Paine Schwartz’s Final Proposal Poses a Dilemma

Shares closed down 3.4% as progress to a binding proposal remains uncertain. The Board faces a dilemma as the offer is light, but some shareholders...

Arun George

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