IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-44d5ac4e-94e3-4be9-b34f-5f3155e7a3d6" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26936:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$3.3 billion at a valuation of US$19 billion. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-motor-india-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:151701" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-motor-india-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:152017" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case</a>. In this note, we examine RHP.</li>
<li>The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives (bottom-quartile growth). </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), a subsidiary of Hyundai Motor (005385 KS), aims to raise up to US$3.3 billion at a valuation of US$19 billion. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case and Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine RHP.
The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives (bottom-quartile growth). 


Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Investment Case

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-3267897e-5e6b-47f2-9804-92aa22202d2b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26933:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005387 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a>. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.</li>
<li>HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about its RHP updates and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about its RHP updates and valuations.


Hyundai Motor India IPO - RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>After 3 years of strong revenue and profits growth, Hyundai Motor India is likely to face a challenging year ahead based on the analysis of 1QFY2025 financials provided in RHP.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>'s  strong exports growth in FY2025 will not offset the weakness in domestic sales. This could result in low single-digit revenue growth for the year.</li>
<li>Increased royalty costs starting in FY2025, coupled with impact of lower cash reserves after special dividend paid out to parent will likely compress profit margins compared to the previous year.</li>
</ul>


After 3 years of strong revenue and profits growth, Hyundai Motor India is likely to face a challenging year ahead based on the analysis of 1QFY2025 financials provided in RHP.

Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)'s  strong exports growth in FY2025 will not offset the weakness in domestic sales. This could result in low single-digit revenue growth for the year.
Increased royalty costs starting in FY2025, coupled with impact of lower cash reserves after special dividend paid out to parent will likely compress profit margins compared to the previous year.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) of stock at a valuation of up to INR 1,593bn (US$19bn).</li>
<li>The anchor allocations will be completed early next week, and the stock is expected to start trading on 22 October.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in February and June next year.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) of stock at a valuation of up to INR 1,593bn (US$19bn).
The anchor allocations will be completed early next week, and the stock is expected to start trading on 22 October.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in February and June next year.


Hyundai Motor India: Index Entry Timing for India's Biggest IPO

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> ’s IPO, launching next week, is expected to be priced between Rs1,865 and Rs1,960, valuing the company at USD 18-19 billion.</li>
<li>At this valuation, Hyundai’s India unit will account for over 40% of its parent company's market cap, potentially unlocking significant value for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Despite a weak growth in India's passenger vehicle sales ytd, investor interest in the IPO is reportedly strong thanks to India's booming equity market and robust fund inflows.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) ’s IPO, launching next week, is expected to be priced between Rs1,865 and Rs1,960, valuing the company at USD 18-19 billion.
At this valuation, Hyundai’s India unit will account for over 40% of its parent company's market cap, potentially unlocking significant value for Hyundai Motor (005380 KS).
Despite a weak growth in India's passenger vehicle sales ytd, investor interest in the IPO is reportedly strong thanks to India's booming equity market and robust fund inflows.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: Upsized Valuation Driven by Strong Investor Interest

South Korea

Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) manufactures automobiles. The Company offers new and used cars, vans, trucks, and sport utility vehicles along with financing, leasing, and maintenance services. HMIL serves customers globally.

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Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Investment Case

The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives...

Arun George

Hyundai Motor India IPO - RHP Updates, Valuation Getting Tricky

Hyundai Motor (005387 KS) is looking to raise around US$3.3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. In this note, we talk about the RHP...

Sumeet Singh

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead

Sluggish domestic sales, rising royalty costs, and reduced other income will make FY2025 a challenging year for HMIL after a 3-year streak of...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India: Index Entry Timing for India's Biggest IPO

Hyundai Motor is looking to raise up to INR279bn (US$3.32bn) via an OFS, valuing Hyundai Motor India at US$19bn. No index Fast Entry expected with...

Brian Freitas

Hyundai Motor India IPO: Upsized Valuation Driven by Strong Investor Interest

At USD18-19 Bn IPO Valuation, Hyundai's India unit will be worth over 40% of parent's market cap. Investor interest in HMIL's IPO is reportedly...

Devi Subhakesan

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