Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a> reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> JV), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Corp (000270 KS)</a> each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.</li>
<li>Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( Toyota Motor (7203 JP) JV), and Kia Corp (000270 KS) each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.
Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.


Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We provide an updated NAV analysis of Samsung C&amp;T, discuss the reduced overhang post final Lee family inheritance tax payment, and also provide further details of its Corporate Value-Up announcement. </li>
<li>Given 2025 will be the last year of major inheritance tax payment for the Lee family, there is likely to be reduced overhang associated with inheritance tax issue next year.</li>
<li>Our NAV analysis of Samsung C&amp;T suggests NAV of 39.9 trillion won or NAV per share of 224,249 won which is 45% higher from current levels.</li>
</ul>


We provide an updated NAV analysis of Samsung C&amp;T, discuss the reduced overhang post final Lee family inheritance tax payment, and also provide further details of its Corporate Value-Up announcement. 
Given 2025 will be the last year of major inheritance tax payment for the Lee family, there is likely to be reduced overhang associated with inheritance tax issue next year.
Our NAV analysis of Samsung C&amp;T suggests NAV of 39.9 trillion won or NAV per share of 224,249 won which is 45% higher from current levels.


Samsung C&T: Corporate Value-Up + Reduced Overhang Post Final Lee Family Inheritance Tax in 2025

<ul>
<li>On 29 August, the three major POSCO Group companies including POSCO Holdings announced that they plan to provide detailed explanations of their Corporate Value Up plans in 4Q 2024. </li>
<li>In general, the companies that have provided more detailed plans for their Corporate Value Up plans have done better recently. </li>
<li>However, now there are cases such as the three main POSCO Group companies whose share prices are rising just by announcing that they will provide Corporate Value Up plans later.</li>
</ul>


On 29 August, the three major POSCO Group companies including POSCO Holdings announced that they plan to provide detailed explanations of their Corporate Value Up plans in 4Q 2024. 
In general, the companies that have provided more detailed plans for their Corporate Value Up plans have done better recently. 
However, now there are cases such as the three main POSCO Group companies whose share prices are rising just by announcing that they will provide Corporate Value Up plans later.


POSCO Group Corporate Value Pre-Announcements: Trading Angle

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated holding worth USD581.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,386mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated holding worth USD581.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,386mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix (000660 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 30th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.</li>
<li>Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.</li>
<li>Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.</li>
</ul>


Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.
Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.
Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.


Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

South Korea

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)

Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

Intensifying competition in the SUV segment and sluggish demand in the hatchback segment has led to slowing sales volumes YTD. Market response to...

Devi Subhakesan

Samsung C&T: Corporate Value-Up + Reduced Overhang Post Final Lee Family Inheritance Tax in 2025

We provide an updated NAV analysis of Samsung C&T, discuss the reduced overhang post final Lee family inheritance tax payment, and provide further...

Douglas Kim

POSCO Group Corporate Value Pre-Announcements: Trading Angle

There could be some interesting trading angles for POSCO Holdings, POSCO Future M, and POSCO International in the next several months, ahead of the...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 30th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsungelec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

This post dives into the potential for Samsung C&T and SK Square to be the next big players in value-up announcements and explores the likely price...

Sanghyun Park

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