Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hotel Shilla, one of the largest operators of duty free shops in Korea, will be a major beneficiary of the return of the group tours from China to Korea.</li>
<li>We expect the consensus to raise the company's sales estimates in 2024 to 2025 by about 3-7% and net profit estimates by 20-25%+ in this period. </li>
<li>Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. </li>
</ul>


Hotel Shilla, one of the largest operators of duty free shops in Korea, will be a major beneficiary of the return of the group tours from China to Korea.
We expect the consensus to raise the company's sales estimates in 2024 to 2025 by about 3-7% and net profit estimates by 20-25%+ in this period. 
Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. 


Hotel Shilla Pref: Discount Vs Common to Narrow and Boost from Chinese Group Tours to Korea

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A previously published <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-kospi-200-index-weekly-time-to-go-long" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight</a> correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>'s current multi-month Bull run.</li>
<li>The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.</li>
<li>Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.
</li>
</ul>


A previously published insight correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the KOSPI 200's current multi-month Bull run.
The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.
Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.



EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh (7752 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.

Canon (7751 JP)'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs Ricoh (7752 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

<ul>
<li>Last week, Hyundai Dept Store Group announced that it will establish a single holding company structure with Hyundai G.F. Holdings controlling all of the group affiliates.</li>
<li>Hyundai G.F. Holdings plans to make an in-kind investment in Hyundai Department Store (HDS) to make Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Department Store as subsidiaries.</li>
<li>This in-kind investment in HDS and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to Hyundai G.F. Holdings' shareholders. </li>
</ul>


Last week, Hyundai Dept Store Group announced that it will establish a single holding company structure with Hyundai G.F. Holdings controlling all of the group affiliates.
Hyundai G.F. Holdings plans to make an in-kind investment in Hyundai Department Store (HDS) to make Hyundai Green Food and Hyundai Department Store as subsidiaries.
This in-kind investment in HDS and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to Hyundai G.F. Holdings' shareholders. 


Hyundai G.F. Holdings: A Holdco Creation With In-Kind Investment in HDS & Hyundai Green Food

<ul>
<li>On 16 September, Hyundai Dept Store and Hyundai Greenfood announced that they will complete equity spin-offs to create holding companies structures.</li>
<li>It appears that the real reason these companies are trying to set up these structures maybe to raise the control by the major shareholders including Ji-Seon Chung and Kyo-Seon Chung.</li>
<li>The spin-off ratio between the two companies is 23.24% for Hyundai Department Store Holdings and 76.76% for Hyundai Department Store. </li>
</ul>


On 16 September, Hyundai Dept Store and Hyundai Greenfood announced that they will complete equity spin-offs to create holding companies structures.
It appears that the real reason these companies are trying to set up these structures maybe to raise the control by the major shareholders including Ji-Seon Chung and Kyo-Seon Chung.
The spin-off ratio between the two companies is 23.24% for Hyundai Department Store Holdings and 76.76% for Hyundai Department Store. 


Hyundai Department Store & Hyundai Greenfood To Conduct Equity Spin-Offs to Create Holdcos & Opcos

South Korea

Hyundai Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores under the name of Hyundai Department over nationwide.  The Company also produces home shopping programs for cable channels and sells merchandise through home shopping programs.

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Hyundai Dept Store Co (069960 KS)

Hotel Shilla Pref: Discount Vs Common to Narrow and Boost from Chinese Group Tours to Korea

Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. Hotel Shilla is one of the biggest...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the KOSPI 200's WEEKLY current uptrend: price levels where the trend can stop and probability of...

Nico Rosti

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hyundai G.F. Holdings: A Holdco Creation With In-Kind Investment in HDS & Hyundai Green Food

This in-kind investment in Hyundai Dept Store (HDS) and Hyundai Green Food by Hyundai G.F. Holdings is not a deal that adds clear-cut value to...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Department Store & Hyundai Greenfood To Conduct Equity Spin-Offs to Create Holdcos & Opcos

Last week, Hyundai Dept Store Group announced that it will establish a single holding company structure with Hyundai G.F. Holdings controlling all...

Douglas Kim

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