Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Hyundai Construction Equipment / Event-Driven

<h2>New benchmarks for domestic equity</h2><p>The National Pension Service has disclosed the following reform plan about the direct and consignment management benchmarks for domestic stocks.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/220/338/original/1.png?1627188167" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="220338"></figure></section><ul>
<li><strong>As for the direct management, the National Pension Plan plans to internally develop and use a new index called NPS-KR250 by adding additional 50 KOSPI stocks to the KOSPI 200 constituents.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Regarding the consignment management, the KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 stocks are currently used as benchmarks. This benchmark is reorganized into KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150, with 50 KOSDAQ stocks added.</strong></li>
</ul><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Benchmark"}'>Benchmark</td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Previous"}'>Previous</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"New"}'>New</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Internal (direct) management"}' data-sheets-formula="='KOSPI 200 Mirroring'!R[0]C[0]"><strong>Direct management</strong></td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200"}'>KOSPI 200</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 + KOSPI 50"}'><div><div><strong>NPS-KR250 = KOSPI 200 + additional 50 KOSPI stocks</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 248.688px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global Equity"}'><strong>Consignment management</strong></td>
<td style="width: 170.792px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100"}'>KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100</td>
<td style="width: 326.521px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150"}'><div><div><strong>KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 + additional 50 KOSDAQ stocks</strong></div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" style="width: 746px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: NPS"}'>Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>NPS size in the local stock market</h2><p>As of the end of April 2021, the National Pension Service has ₩883.6T in assets under management, of which ₩178T is invested in domestic stocks. Considering that the market capitalization of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets is currently around ₩2,800T, the national pension account for 6% of the Korean stock market.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="80">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Asset allocation status"}'>Asset allocation status as of the end-April, 2021</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Domestic Equity"}'><strong>Domestic Equity</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178014.6}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>₩178.1T</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global Equity"}'>Global Equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":222407.5}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩222.4T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Domestic fixed income"}'>Domestic fixed income</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":340524.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩340.5T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Global fixed income"}'>Global fixed income</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":48826.4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩48.8T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 364px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Alternatives"}'>Alternatives</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 382px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":92768.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'>₩92.8T</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 364px;">Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The proportion of local equity is 20.17%, down slightly from the end of last year, but still far exceeding the target of 16.80% this year.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/220/339/original/image_74411821721627188510268.png?1627188511" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="220339"></figure><h2>Direct vs. consignment for local equity</h2><p>As of the end of April this year, 52.03% of the funds invested in domestic stocks are direct management, then divided into active (19.43%) and passive (32.60%). The proportion of consignment management is 47.97%, and all of it is operated as active.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Direct vs. consignment for local equity"}'>Direct vs. consignment for local equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2019 yearend"}'>2019 yearend</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'>Weight</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2020 yearend"}'>2020 yearend</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'>Weight</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"April-end, 2021"}'><strong>April-end, 2021</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Weight"}'><strong>Weight</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Direct management"}'>Direct management</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":71.61210000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩71.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":93.37660000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩93.4T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52.95%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":92.6208}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩92.6T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>52.03%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Active"}'>- Active</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":26.9769}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩27.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.20397795151753445}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">20.40%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":35.0249}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩35.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.19824502419133916}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">19.82%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":34.58823678}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩34.6T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1943}'><strong>19.43%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Passive"}'>- Passive</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44.6352}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩44.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3374960303658113}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">33.75%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":58.351699999999994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩58.4T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3302774362840654}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">33.03%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":58.032759600000006}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩58.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.326}'><strong>32.60%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Consignment management"}'>Consignment management</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":60.6419}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩60.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45.85%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":83.2982}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩83.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":85.3938}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩85.4T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>47.97%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Active"}'>- Active</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":60.6419}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩60.6T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.45852601811665433}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">45.85%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":83.2982}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩83.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4714775395245955}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">47.15%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":85.3938}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩85.4T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4797011031679424}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C6"><strong>47.97%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Passive"}'>- Passive</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩0.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C2">0.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩0.0T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C4">0.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩0.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R8C6"><strong>0.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total domestic Equity"}'>Total domestic equity</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":132.254}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩132.3T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])">100.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":176.67479999999998}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'>₩176.7T</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])">100.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178.0146}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0T","3":1}'><strong>₩178.0T</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.0000011031679423}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-5]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])"><strong>100.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="7" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: NPS"}'>Source: NPS</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The passively operated funds (32.60% of the total funds allocated to the domestic equity) are about ₩58T, and the benchmark is KOSPI 200. But not all amounts mechanically track the KOSPI 200. NPS employs various enhanced passive strategies, such as dividends, active quant, and factor model-based, in addition to conventional passive operations. To this end, NPS has developed and used various indices on its own since two years ago.</p>

New benchmarks for domestic equityThe National Pension Service has disclosed the following reform plan about the direct and consignment management benchmarks for domestic stocks.
As for the direct management, the National Pension Plan plans to internally develop and use a new index called NPS-KR250 by adding additional 50 KOSPI stocks to the KOSPI 200 constituents.
Regarding the consignment management, the KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 stocks are currently used as benchmarks. This benchmark is reorganized into KOSPI + KOSDAQ 150, with 50 KOSDAQ stocks added.








Benchmark
Previous
New


Direct management
KOSPI 200
NPS-KR250 = KOSPI 200 + additional 50 KOSPI stocks


Consignment management
KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100
KOSPI + KOSDAQ 100 + additional 50 KOSDAQ stocks

Source: NPS

NPS size in the local stock marketAs of the end of April 2021, the National Pension Service has ₩883.6T in assets under management, of which ₩178T is invested in domestic stocks. Considering that the market capitalization of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets is currently around ₩2,800T, the national pension account for 6% of the Korean stock market.





Asset allocation status as of the end-April, 2021

Domestic Equity
₩178.1T


Global Equity
₩222.4T


Domestic fixed income
₩340.5T


Global fixed income
₩48.8T


Alternatives
₩92.8T

Source: NPS

The proportion of local equity is 20.17%, down slightly from the end of last year, but still far exceeding the target of 16.80% this year.Direct vs. consignment for local equityAs of the end of April this year, 52.03% of the funds invested in domestic stocks are direct management, then divided into active (19.43%) and passive (32.60%). The proportion of consignment management is 47.97%, and all of it is operated as active.











Direct vs. consignment for local equity
2019 yearend
Weight
2020 yearend
Weight
April-end, 2021
Weight


Direct management
₩71.6T
55.15%
₩93.4T
52.95%
₩92.6T
52.03%


- Active
₩27.0T
20.40%
₩35.0T
19.82%
₩34.6T
19.43%


- Passive
₩44.6T
33.75%
₩58.4T
33.03%
₩58.0T
32.60%


Consignment management
₩60.6T
45.85%
₩83.3T
47.15%
₩85.4T
47.97%


- Active
₩60.6T
45.85%
₩83.3T
47.15%
₩85.4T
47.97%


- Passive
₩0.0T
0.00%
₩0.0T
0.00%
₩0.0T
0.00%


Total domestic equity
₩132.3T
100.00%
₩176.7T
100.00%
₩178.0T
100.00%

Source: NPS

The passively operated funds (32.60% of the total funds allocated to the domestic equity) are about ₩58T, and the benchmark is KOSPI 200. But not all amounts mechanically track the KOSPI 200. NPS employs various enhanced passive strategies, such as dividends, active quant, and factor model-based, in addition to conventional passive operations. To this end, NPS has developed and used various indices on its own since two years ago.

NPS New Benchmarks for Local Stocks: NPS-KR250 (Direct) & KOSPI+KOSDAQ 150 (Consignment)

<p>Doosan Infracore's stock trading suspension date is June 29. it's next Tuesday. So next Monday is the last trading day before the trading suspension.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Timetable"}'>Timetable</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade suspension (Doosan Infracore)"}'><strong>Trade suspension (Doosan Infracore)</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"It begins on June 29 and runs until July 20"}'><strong>It begins on June 29 and runs until July 20</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'><strong>Listing</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44398}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. m. d","3":1}'><strong>July 21</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The KRX announced the corporate action for the spin-off and re-listing of Doosan Infracore as follows. <strong>The KRX confirmed that Doosan Infracore's surviving entity, the 0.31 portion of the current Infracore, will remain in the KOSPI 200.</strong></p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/213/original/Screen+Shot+2021-06-24+at+8.31.26+PM.png?1624581101" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215213"></figure></section><div>
<p>Then, the specific steps of corporate action due to the equity spinoff are as follows.</p>
<p>Doosan Infracore's market capitalization on the last trading day before the suspension will be applied in index calculation during the June 29~July 20 suspension period AND the first trading day of the trading resumption, July 21.</p>
</div><div><p><strong>On the following trading day (July 22), the index calculation shares decrease by the number of split shares. As a result, the market capitalization also decreases by the difference between the capitalizations before and after the spinoff.</strong></p></div><div>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/215/original/1.png?1624581217" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215215"></figure></section><p><strong>So technically speaking,</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Those passive funds systematically tracking the KOSPI 200, which are local ETFs and index funds estimated at approximately ₩20T, will dispose of all the Doosan Infracore shares <strong>at the close on June 28</strong>.</li>
<li>
<strong>At the close on July 21</strong>, they will repurchase Doosan Infracore by the market cap proportional to the number of relisted stocks.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>On the other hand,</strong></p>
</div><div><p><strong>Doosan Heavy Industries, another KOSPI 200 constituent, will see an increase in its number of index calculation shares by the KRX on the listing day of new shares, July 21.</strong></p></div><div>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/215/216/original/2.png?1624582408" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="215216"></figure></section><p>The KRX has not yet announced an increase in the number of shares for Doosan Heavy Industries. Unlike Doosan Infracore, Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction does not have a stock trading suspension period, so it is highly likely to be disclosed the week before the re-listing on July 21.</p>
<p><strong>Then, technically speaking, again</strong></p>
<ul><li>Those passive funds systematically tracking the KOSPI 200 will buy additional shares (number of merged shares) of Doosan Heavy Industries at the cost on <strong>July 20</strong>.</li></ul>
</div>

Doosan Infracore's stock trading suspension date is June 29. it's next Tuesday. So next Monday is the last trading day before the trading suspension.





Timetable

Trade suspension (Doosan Infracore)
It begins on June 29 and runs until July 20


Listing
July 21

Source: DART

The KRX announced the corporate action for the spin-off and re-listing of Doosan Infracore as follows. The KRX confirmed that Doosan Infracore's surviving entity, the 0.31 portion of the current Infracore, will remain in the KOSPI 200.
Then, the specific steps of corporate action due to the equity spinoff are as follows.
Doosan Infracore's market capitalization on the last trading day before the suspension will be applied in index calculation during the June 29~July 20 suspension period AND the first trading day of the trading resumption, July 21.
On the following trading day (July 22), the index calculation shares decrease by the number of split shares. As a result, the market capitalization also decreases by the difference between the capitalizations before and after the spinoff.
So technically speaking,

Those passive funds systematically tracking the KOSPI 200, which are local ETFs and index funds estimated at approximately ₩20T, will dispose of all the Doosan Infracore shares at the close on June 28.

At the close on July 21, they will repurchase Doosan Infracore by the market cap proportional to the number of relisted stocks.

On the other hand,
Doosan Heavy Industries, another KOSPI 200 constituent, will see an increase in its number of index calculation shares by the KRX on the listing day of new shares, July 21.
The KRX has not yet announced an increase in the number of shares for Doosan Heavy Industries. Unlike Doosan Infracore, Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction does not have a stock trading suspension period, so it is highly likely to be disclosed the week before the re-listing on July 21.
Then, technically speaking, again
Those passive funds systematically tracking the KOSPI 200 will buy additional shares (number of merged shares) of Doosan Heavy Industries at the cost on July 20.


Doosan Infracore Rebalancing Trading on June 28 & Outright Short-Selling Opportunity

<p>We all know that Doosan Infracore's 0.6895026 portions (Investment Division) must move in proportion to the Doosan Heavy share price at a ratio of 0.4719929.</p><p>That is, 0.6895026 Infracore shares must be equal in value to 0.4719929 Heavy shares.</p><div><div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'>Doosan Infracore split ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore split ratio"}'>Business Division</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6895026}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}'>0.3104974</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio with Doosan Heavy"}'><strong>Investment Division (owning a 51.05% stake in Doosan Bobcat)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.47342703366485994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-1]C[0]"><strong>0.6895026</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;">Merger ratio between Doosan Infracore Investment Division &amp; Doosan Heavy Industries</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;">0.6866211</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;">
<p><strong>Final swap ratio for each share of Doosan Infracore</strong></p>
<p><strong>: Split ratio (0.6895026) × Merger ratio (0.6866211)</strong></p>
</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;"><strong>0.4719929</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div></div><div>
<p>Now, the tricky part is the value of Infracore's Business Division.</p>
<p>The split ratio indicates that 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price should be the worth of the Business Division.</p>
<p>Then, if you subtract the Infracore share price by 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price, you should have an outcome equal to 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price.</p>
<p>But there is a huge disparity now. 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price is currently ₩4,704, whereas the current market value (the Infracore share price minus 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price) is ₩2,831.</p>
<p><strong>So, it is like Infracore's Business Division is currently trading at a 39.82% discount to the nominal (or theoretical) value.</strong></p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Value calculations"}'>Value calculations</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dooan Heavy share price"}'>Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":26100}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-4]C[-6]">₩26,100</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price"}'> - 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":12319.01469}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-46]C[-4]">₩12,319</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore share price"}'>Doosan Infracore share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15150}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-6]C[-5]">₩15,150</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price"}'> - Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2830.98531}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]">₩2,831</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price"}'> - 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4704.03561}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-49]C[-3]">₩4,704</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Premium"}'><strong>Discount on 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3981794474553308}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-9]C[-7]"><strong>39.82%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital"}'>Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>

We all know that Doosan Infracore's 0.6895026 portions (Investment Division) must move in proportion to the Doosan Heavy share price at a ratio of 0.4719929.That is, 0.6895026 Infracore shares must be equal in value to 0.4719929 Heavy shares.





Doosan Infracore split ratio

Business Division
0.3104974


Investment Division (owning a 51.05% stake in Doosan Bobcat)
0.6895026


Merger ratio between Doosan Infracore Investment Division &amp; Doosan Heavy Industries
0.6866211



Final swap ratio for each share of Doosan Infracore
: Split ratio (0.6895026) × Merger ratio (0.6866211)

0.4719929

Source: DART


Now, the tricky part is the value of Infracore's Business Division.
The split ratio indicates that 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price should be the worth of the Business Division.
Then, if you subtract the Infracore share price by 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price, you should have an outcome equal to 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price.
But there is a huge disparity now. 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price is currently ₩4,704, whereas the current market value (the Infracore share price minus 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price) is ₩2,831.
So, it is like Infracore's Business Division is currently trading at a 39.82% discount to the nominal (or theoretical) value.






Value calculations

Doosan Heavy share price
₩26,100


 - 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price
₩12,319


Doosan Infracore share price
₩15,150


 - Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price
₩2,831


 - 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price
₩4,704


Discount on 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price
39.82%

Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital




How Would We Capitalize on a Massive Discount Present on Doosan Infracore Business Unit?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight"><p>In this insight, we provide a first cut at the potential additions and deletions of KOSPI 200 rebalance in November 2021. Although there are about five months left until the next KOSPI 200 rebalance, there are already many investors getting ready for this event. There are also stocks with a combination of improving fundamentals and higher probability of getting included in the KOSPI 200 index rebalance in November that have been big outperformers this year. </p></div><ul>
<li>Among the <strong>additions</strong>, we think some of the top candidates include F&amp;F, Hyundai Autoever, Hansol Chem, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daou-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4411:1" rel="noopener">Daou Technology (023590 KS), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-construction-equipment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24120:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-chemical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27752:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Chemical Corp (298000 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seah-besteel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11760:1" rel="noopener">Seah Besteel (001430 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)</a> </li>
<li>Among the <strong>deletions</strong>, we think that some of the top candidates include F&amp;F Holdings, Nexen Tire, H.S. Enterprise, Hyundai Green Food, and LX International. </li>
</ul><div class="content-highlight">
<p>Among the 29 companies we highlighted as the potential additions, six of them had their operating profit increasing by more than 100% YoY in 1Q 2021 which include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daou-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4411:1" rel="noopener">Daou Technology (023590 KS)</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-construction-equipment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24120:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyosung-chemical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27752:1" rel="noopener">Hyosung Chemical Corp (298000 KS)</a> </li>
<li>KCC Glass (344820 KS)</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seah-besteel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11760:1" rel="noopener">Seah Besteel (001430 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)</a> </li>
</ul>
<p>These six stocks have had an outstanding share price performances this year as their share prices are up on average 97.1% YTD. These stocks have both a combination of improving fundamentals as well as the likelihood of getting included in KOSPI 200 index, resulting in many investors bidding up their shares. </p>
</div>

In this insight, we provide a first cut at the potential additions and deletions of KOSPI 200 rebalance in November 2021. Although there are about five months left until the next KOSPI 200 rebalance, there are already many investors getting ready for this event. There are also stocks with a combination of improving fundamentals and higher probability of getting included in the KOSPI 200 index rebalance in November that have been big outperformers this year. 
Among the additions, we think some of the top candidates include F&amp;F, Hyundai Autoever, Hansol Chem, Daou Technology (023590 KS), Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS), Hyosung Chemical Corp (298000 KS), Seah Besteel (001430 KS), Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) 
Among the deletions, we think that some of the top candidates include F&amp;F Holdings, Nexen Tire, H.S. Enterprise, Hyundai Green Food, and LX International. 

Among the 29 companies we highlighted as the potential additions, six of them had their operating profit increasing by more than 100% YoY in 1Q 2021 which include the following:

Daou Technology (023590 KS)

Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS) 

Hyosung Chemical Corp (298000 KS) 
KCC Glass (344820 KS)

Seah Besteel (001430 KS) 

Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) 

These six stocks have had an outstanding share price performances this year as their share prices are up on average 97.1% YTD. These stocks have both a combination of improving fundamentals as well as the likelihood of getting included in KOSPI 200 index, resulting in many investors bidding up their shares. 


Looking Ahead to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance in November 2021

<p>On 19 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a> announced that it will split the operating division (surviving company) and the investment division (Newco company that is being split off). The split off Newco will then be merged with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-heavy-industries-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7389:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS)</a>. </p><p><strong>Need to Repay Doosan Infracore Shorts - </strong>As of 18 March, there were 12.56 million shares shorts outstanding for Doosan Infracore, representing 3.4% of total outstanding shares. At the current price of 9,880 won, this represents 124 billion won. There were 61 million shares of Doosan Infracore that were traded on Monday, 21 March and probably a good chunk of these shorted shares were covered. According to Korean regulations, prior to the Newco being formed, the investors that were shorted on the company need to repay them and this was one of the main reasons why Doosan Infracore's shares jumped 21% on Monday. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>The Insight has been marked Bullish since we expect the split off and merger of Doosan Infracore's investment assets to DHIC is likely to result in a higher re-rating of the company's core operating business (construction equipment). There are also signs that the overseas construction business is rebounding in China, which should have a positive impact on Doosan Infracore. In addition, the creation of the Newco (and the getting rid of the previous company's shareholders' list) results in the need for the Doosan Infracore's shorts to cover. </em></p></div>

On 19 March, Doosan Infracore (042670 KS) announced that it will split the operating division (surviving company) and the investment division (Newco company that is being split off). The split off Newco will then be merged with Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS). Need to Repay Doosan Infracore Shorts - As of 18 March, there were 12.56 million shares shorts outstanding for Doosan Infracore, representing 3.4% of total outstanding shares. At the current price of 9,880 won, this represents 124 billion won. There were 61 million shares of Doosan Infracore that were traded on Monday, 21 March and probably a good chunk of these shorted shares were covered. According to Korean regulations, prior to the Newco being formed, the investors that were shorted on the company need to repay them and this was one of the main reasons why Doosan Infracore's shares jumped 21% on Monday. The Insight has been marked Bullish since we expect the split off and merger of Doosan Infracore's investment assets to DHIC is likely to result in a higher re-rating of the company's core operating business (construction equipment). There are also signs that the overseas construction business is rebounding in China, which should have a positive impact on Doosan Infracore. In addition, the creation of the Newco (and the getting rid of the previous company's shareholders' list) results in the need for the Doosan Infracore's shorts to cover. 

Doosan Infracore: Investco Split Off & Merger Ratio Announced

South Korea

Hyundai Construction Equipment Corporation manufactures construction equipment. Hyundai Construction Equipment Corporation is located in South Korea. Hyundai Construction Equipment Corporation operates independently of Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. as of April 1, 2017.

Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS)

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Hyundai Construction Equipment (267270 KS)

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This post discusses how I would trade on a massive discount currently sitting on Doosan Infracore's Business Unit amid the ongoing carve-out process.

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Looking Ahead to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance in November 2021

In this insight, we provide a first cut at the potential additions and deletions of KOSPI 200 rebalance in November 2021.

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Doosan Infracore: Investco Split Off & Merger Ratio Announced

We expect the split off and merger of Doosan Infracore's investment assets to DHIC is likely to result in a higher re-rating of the company's core...

Douglas Kim

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