Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Doosan Infracore Rebalancing Trading on June 28 & Outright Short-Selling Opportunity

Doosan Infracore Announces a Rights Offering Worth 70% of Its Market Cap

Yes, We Can Short Doosan Infracore for Arb Setup Even Now with Offering Pre-Announcement

Doosan Heavy/Infracore Corporate Actions Walkthrough & KOSPI 200 Index Treatments

Doosan Split/Merger: Infracore in Overshooting

Doosan Heavy, Korea's Latest Meme Stock Without Substance?

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>We all know that Doosan Infracore's 0.6895026 portions (Investment Division) must move in proportion to the Doosan Heavy share price at a ratio of 0.4719929.</p><p>That is, 0.6895026 Infracore shares must be equal in value to 0.4719929 Heavy shares.</p><div><div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'>Doosan Infracore split ratio</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore split ratio"}'>Business Division</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6895026}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}'>0.3104974</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio with Doosan Heavy"}'><strong>Investment Division (owning a 51.05% stake in Doosan Bobcat)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.47342703366485994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-1]C[0]"><strong>0.6895026</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;">Merger ratio between Doosan Infracore Investment Division &amp; Doosan Heavy Industries</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;">0.6866211</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 488.693px;">
<p><strong>Final swap ratio for each share of Doosan Infracore</strong></p>
<p><strong>: Split ratio (0.6895026) × Merger ratio (0.6866211)</strong></p>
</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 216.321px;"><strong>0.4719929</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div></div><div>
<p>Now, the tricky part is the value of Infracore's Business Division.</p>
<p>The split ratio indicates that 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price should be the worth of the Business Division.</p>
<p>Then, if you subtract the Infracore share price by 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price, you should have an outcome equal to 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price.</p>
<p>But there is a huge disparity now. 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price is currently ₩4,704, whereas the current market value (the Infracore share price minus 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price) is ₩2,831.</p>
<p><strong>So, it is like Infracore's Business Division is currently trading at a 39.82% discount to the nominal (or theoretical) value.</strong></p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Value calculations"}'>Value calculations</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dooan Heavy share price"}'>Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":26100}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-4]C[-6]">₩26,100</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price"}'> - 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":12319.01469}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]*R[-46]C[-4]">₩12,319</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Infracore share price"}'>Doosan Infracore share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15150}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-6]C[-5]">₩15,150</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price"}'> - Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2830.98531}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]">₩2,831</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price"}'> - 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4704.03561}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]*R[-49]C[-3]">₩4,704</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 352.5px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Premium"}'><strong>Discount on 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 352.514px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3981794474553308}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-9]C[-7]"><strong>39.82%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="width: 726.008px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital"}'>Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>

We all know that Doosan Infracore's 0.6895026 portions (Investment Division) must move in proportion to the Doosan Heavy share price at a ratio of 0.4719929.That is, 0.6895026 Infracore shares must be equal in value to 0.4719929 Heavy shares.





Doosan Infracore split ratio

Business Division
0.3104974


Investment Division (owning a 51.05% stake in Doosan Bobcat)
0.6895026


Merger ratio between Doosan Infracore Investment Division &amp; Doosan Heavy Industries
0.6866211



Final swap ratio for each share of Doosan Infracore
: Split ratio (0.6895026) × Merger ratio (0.6866211)

0.4719929

Source: DART


Now, the tricky part is the value of Infracore's Business Division.
The split ratio indicates that 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price should be the worth of the Business Division.
Then, if you subtract the Infracore share price by 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price, you should have an outcome equal to 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price.
But there is a huge disparity now. 0.3104974 of the Infracore share price is currently ₩4,704, whereas the current market value (the Infracore share price minus 0.4719929 of the Heavy share price) is ₩2,831.
So, it is like Infracore's Business Division is currently trading at a 39.82% discount to the nominal (or theoretical) value.






Value calculations

Doosan Heavy share price
₩26,100


 - 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price
₩12,319


Doosan Infracore share price
₩15,150


 - Minus 0.4719929 of Doosan Heavy share price
₩2,831


 - 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price
₩4,704


Discount on 0.3104974 of Doosan Infracore share price
39.82%

Source: KRX &amp; Clepsydra Capital




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