IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Langham Hospitality Inv Ss / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK)</a> received a notice from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eagle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:758:1" rel="noopener">Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK)</a>, the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.</li>
<li>The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.</li>
<li>Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK) received a notice from Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK), the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.
The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.
Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.


Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/mqr7w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.</li>
<li>This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/csrc/c100028/c7474875/content.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> by the CSRC last Friday. </li>
<li>The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.</li>
</ul>


In RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships, Travis Lundy discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.
This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures announced by the CSRC last Friday. 
The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.


<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-cayman-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Cayman (1821 HK)</a> has <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/202108_01%20Major%20and%20Connected%20Transaction%20in%20Relation%20to%20the%20Proposed%20Acquisition%20of%20ARA%20Asset%20Managament%20Limited.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=677405" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it is acquiring unlisted ARA Asset Management for US$5.2bn, the completion of which will result in the world's third-largest real estate management company with total assets under management of ~US$129bn.
Under the terms of the US$5,192mn transaction, ESR will issue US$4.7bn via new ESR shares (US$4.286mn) and vendor loan notes (US$387mn); and US$519mn in cash, to be funded by a US$250mn placement to SMBC, and the remainder (US$269mn) in debt. The scrip/cash split is 90/10.
All of the ARA shareholders are rolling over their shares  - and will mostly be subject to a six-month lock-up - and will hold ~28% of the enlarged entity at completion.
The transaction requires the approval from ESR shareholders by way of an ordinary resolution. Irrevocables totaling 4.6%, to vote in favour of the deal, have been received from ESR's founders, together with OMERS and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>.
There are various pre-conditions attached to the deal, with an EGM expected to be convened before 31 October. The deal may be wrapped up late 4Q21, early 1Q22.
Much more below the fold. 
</div>


ESR Cayman (1821 HK) has announced it is acquiring unlisted ARA Asset Management for US$5.2bn, the completion of which will result in the world's third-largest real estate management company with total assets under management of ~US$129bn.
Under the terms of the US$5,192mn transaction, ESR will issue US$4.7bn via new ESR shares (US$4.286mn) and vendor loan notes (US$387mn); and US$519mn in cash, to be funded by a US$250mn placement to SMBC, and the remainder (US$269mn) in debt. The scrip/cash split is 90/10.
All of the ARA shareholders are rolling over their shares  - and will mostly be subject to a six-month lock-up - and will hold ~28% of the enlarged entity at completion.
The transaction requires the approval from ESR shareholders by way of an ordinary resolution. Irrevocables totaling 4.6%, to vote in favour of the deal, have been received from ESR's founders, together with OMERS and JD.com Inc. (9618 HK).
There are various pre-conditions attached to the deal, with an EGM expected to be convened before 31 October. The deal may be wrapped up late 4Q21, early 1Q22.
Much more below the fold. 


ESR Cayman (1821 HK) Takes Out ARA Asset Management

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sf-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31496:1" rel="noopener">SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK)</a> is a REIT formed with an initial focus on income-generating logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The sponsor is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>. SF REIT will be the first logistics-focused REIT to be listed in Hong Kong.SF REIT has launched its IPO with an indicative price range of HK$4.68-5.16 per unit. The total proceeds will be HK$2,433.6-2,683.2 million ($313-345 million) at the price range. Two cornerstone investors will subscribe for $50.0 million of the offer units (15.2% of the offer units at the mid-point of the price range). The cornerstone investors are China Orient International Asset Management and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ci-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25448:1" rel="noopener">Ci Financial (CIX CN)</a>. <div class="content-highlight">In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sf-reit-ipo-initiation-the-reit-flow-of-things" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50673" rel="noopener">SF REIT IPO Initiation: The REIT Flow of Things</a>,  we noted that SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche segment of the Asian REIT sector. However, our valuation analysis suggests that units are fully priced at the minimum offer price. Consequently, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass and wait for a lower entry point. </div>

SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK) is a REIT formed with an initial focus on income-generating logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The sponsor is S.F. Holding (002352 CH). SF REIT will be the first logistics-focused REIT to be listed in Hong Kong.SF REIT has launched its IPO with an indicative price range of HK$4.68-5.16 per unit. The total proceeds will be HK$2,433.6-2,683.2 million ($313-345 million) at the price range. Two cornerstone investors will subscribe for $50.0 million of the offer units (15.2% of the offer units at the mid-point of the price range). The cornerstone investors are China Orient International Asset Management and Ci Financial (CIX CN). In SF REIT IPO Initiation: The REIT Flow of Things,  we noted that SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche segment of the Asian REIT sector. However, our valuation analysis suggests that units are fully priced at the minimum offer price. Consequently, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass and wait for a lower entry point. 

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

In this Insight, we take a look on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sf-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31496:1" rel="noopener">SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK)</a> (SF REIT), which is a proposed REIT listing in Hong Kong with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> (SFH) as its sponsor. The REIT will initially have three logistics properties in its portfolio, one in Hong Kong and two in China (Foshan and Wuhu). Having a gross lettable area of 307,990.8 sq.m., the appraised value of these properties amounted to HK$6.1bn.On balance and based on the information in the application proof prospectus, we view the REIT positively. Key positives are: 1.) quality assets; 2.) stable profit and cash flow; and 3.) potential injection. On the other hand, the key negatives are: 1.) focus on HK; 2.) reliance on SFH; and 3.) small size.

In this Insight, we take a look on SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK) (SF REIT), which is a proposed REIT listing in Hong Kong with S.F. Holding (002352 CH) (SFH) as its sponsor. The REIT will initially have three logistics properties in its portfolio, one in Hong Kong and two in China (Foshan and Wuhu). Having a gross lettable area of 307,990.8 sq.m., the appraised value of these properties amounted to HK$6.1bn.On balance and based on the information in the application proof prospectus, we view the REIT positively. Key positives are: 1.) quality assets; 2.) stable profit and cash flow; and 3.) potential injection. On the other hand, the key negatives are: 1.) focus on HK; 2.) reliance on SFH; and 3.) small size.

SF REIT Pre-IPO: Initial Thoughts on S.F. Holding's (002352 CH) Logistics REIT In HK

Hong Kong

Hui Xian Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust. The trust's sole real estate investment interest at the time of its listing is its investment interest in the Oriental Plaza in Beijing.

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Hui Xian Reit (87001 HK)

Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47%...

Arun George

HK REITs Re-Rate On Southbound Inclusion

Stick to a basket of Hong Kong-focused REITs. I'd tilt to those HK-REITs which are not 100% exposed to the office-space, such as Link REIT (823...

David Blennerhassett

ESR Cayman (1821 HK) Takes Out ARA Asset Management

This looks like a great deal for ESR. But the company looks full here compared to historical metrics. Plus there is an indication of further...

David Blennerhassett

SF REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

SF REIT has launched its IPO to raise $313-345 million at the price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that units are fully priced at the...

Arun George

SF REIT Pre-IPO: Initial Thoughts on S.F. Holding's (002352 CH) Logistics REIT In HK

SF REIT will be an interesting REIT given its close tie with SF Holding. We see the huge potential for future acquisitions from the sponsor a clear...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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