Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent updates from its revised filings and revisit valuations.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we will talk about the recent updates from its revised filings and revisit valuations.


China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Updates from Revised Filing and Quick Thoughts on Valuation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value &amp; new government) offset by one major negative factor (market liquidity) this year. </li>
<li>The 28 common shares are on average down 17% YTD versus their preference counterparts which are down on average 17.3% YTD.</li>
<li>The sharp increases in common vs preference shares on Amorepacific Corp, Hotel Shilla, and LG H&amp;H last month may be a bit excessive and the gaps are likely to narrow.  </li>
</ul>


We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value &amp; new government) offset by one major negative factor (market liquidity) this year. 
The 28 common shares are on average down 17% YTD versus their preference counterparts which are down on average 17.3% YTD.
The sharp increases in common vs preference shares on Amorepacific Corp, Hotel Shilla, and LG H&amp;H last month may be a bit excessive and the gaps are likely to narrow.  


Korean Prefs Vs Common: Closing the Gaps on Select Stocks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.</li>
<li><strong>The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. </strong></li>
<li><em>Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  </em></li>
</ul>


On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.
The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. 
Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  


CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

<ul>
<li>Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.</li>
<li>The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.
The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

South Korea

Shinsegae International Co., Ltd. was spun off from Shinsegae in 1996.  The company imports and distributes famous foreign brands and manufactures/distribut es domestic brand.  The Company's line of business includes the wholesale distribution of men's and women's apparel.

Cuckoo Homesys Co. Ltd. manufactures kitchen appliances. The Company produces and sells electric pressure cookers, dishwashers, blenders, water purifiers, and other products. Cuckoo Homesys also provides kitchen appliances exporting services. Cuckoo Homesys markets its products worldwide.

Kolao Holdings retails new and used cars, and provided repairs and maintenance services in Laos.  The company also retails motorcycles and automobile parts.

Seobu T&D operates a truck terminal and gas stations. The Company also provides freight and real estate leasing services.

LS Networks Co., Ltd. manufactures leather and athletic shoes, sports apparel, golf accessories, and leisure items.  The Company also operates a building leasing business.

Lotte Himart Company, Ltd. offers retailing and distribution services for consum er electronics and household appliances.  The Company offers a wide range of ele ctronic goods including TV, cell phones, computers, printers, GPS, digital camer as and MP3 as well as household appliances including refrigerators, microwaves, hair dryers and vacuum cleaners.

Deutsch Motors Inc. operates automobile dealership for new and used cars.  The Company also rents and leases the motor vehicles and provides after-sales services.  Deutsch Motors' cars include BMW and BMW's Mini.

The Leadcorp, Inc. specializes in small-scale consumer financing. The Company also distributes petroleum products and operates gas stations and highway rest stop businesses in Chungcheong region.

Daesung Industrial Co., Ltd. purchases and distributes petroleum and gas products through its gasoline stations and propane gas filling stations. The Company also distributes electricity, offers construction services, and manufactures industrial machinery.  In addition, Daesung Industrial invests in venture capital through its subsidiary.

Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. operates department stores and discount stores in South Korea.  The Company retails clothing, household goods, foods and other items through several branches.  Lotte Shopping also operates supermarkets and movie theaters.

The ODP Corporation is a holding company which operates in the USA. Its subsidiaries include The Office Depot Inc, which operates a chain of office product warehouse stores in North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The Company sells branded merchandise and provides business services primarily to small and medium-sized businesses and the home office market.

KOMERI CO., LTD. operates a home center chain based in Niigata Prefecture. The Company sells DIY (do-it-yourself) products, building materials, tools, hardware, household utensils, gardening materials, car care goods, and leisure goods.  Komeri also operates business in China.

Caleres Inc manufactures and distributes footwear. The Company offers shoes, sandals, and heel sandals for men, women, and children.

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses a collection of casual apparel, accessories, and related consumer products.  The Company's apparel for men, women, and girls are marketed under branded names.  Guess? provides full collections of denim and cotton clothing and has granted licenses to manufacture complementary products.

Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. distributes and retails beauty products.  The Company distributes products directly to salons, and retails beauty products through a chain of cash and carry stores.

Winmark Corporation develops, franchises, and operates value-oriented retail concepts for stores that buy, sell, trade, and consign used and new merchandise. The Company's stores operate under various names, including Play It Again Sports, Once Upon A Child, Music Go Round, and Plato's Closet.

T-GAIA CORPORATION sells cell-phone units and service contracts in Japan. The Company also offers high-speed internet connection service through sales agencies.

Suning.com Co., Ltd. operates retail chain stores to sell household appliances, electronic products, office equipment, and communication products. The Company also provides installation and maintenance services.

DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company established through merger of Kahma, Daiki, and Homac.  The Company operates home center chain stores throughout Japan.  DCM Japan Holdings offers merchandise such as home improvement products, household utensils, gardening supplies, sporting/leisure goods, and pet products .

EDION Corporation owns and manages its subsidiaries, DEODEO Corp and EIDEN Co, Ltd.  The Company's subsidiaries operate electronics retail stores.

Hotel Shilla Co.,Ltd operates and manages hotels in Seoul and Jeju. The Company also operates duty free shops, bakeries, restaurants, and catering and laundry service businesses.

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Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)

China Tourism Group A/H Listing - Updates from Revised Filing and Quick Thoughts on Valuation

China Tourism Group Duty Free now aims to raise US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we talk about the revised filings along...

Sumeet Singh

Korean Prefs Vs Common: Closing the Gaps on Select Stocks

We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value & new government) offset by one major negative factor...

Douglas Kim

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months.

Douglas Kim

Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS. The deal appears to be very well flagged.

Sumeet Singh

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