Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value &amp; new government) offset by one major negative factor (market liquidity) this year. </li>
<li>The 28 common shares are on average down 17% YTD versus their preference counterparts which are down on average 17.3% YTD.</li>
<li>The sharp increases in common vs preference shares on Amorepacific Corp, Hotel Shilla, and LG H&amp;H last month may be a bit excessive and the gaps are likely to narrow.  </li>
</ul>


We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value &amp; new government) offset by one major negative factor (market liquidity) this year. 
The 28 common shares are on average down 17% YTD versus their preference counterparts which are down on average 17.3% YTD.
The sharp increases in common vs preference shares on Amorepacific Corp, Hotel Shilla, and LG H&amp;H last month may be a bit excessive and the gaps are likely to narrow.  


Korean Prefs Vs Common: Closing the Gaps on Select Stocks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.</li>
<li><strong>The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. </strong></li>
<li><em>Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  </em></li>
</ul>


On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.
The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. 
Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  


CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.</li>
<li>The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.
The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

<ul>
<li>Starting 18 March, the current $5,000 purchase limit at the domestic duty free shops will be abolished for the locals.</li>
<li>The removal of the $5,000 purchase limit at duty free shops in Korea should encourage purchase of luxury women's apparel, bags, and cosmetics.</li>
<li>The removal of the purchase limit should help the major duty free operators in Korea including Hotel Shilla (008770 KS) and Shinsegae (004170 KS).  </li>
</ul>


Starting 18 March, the current $5,000 purchase limit at the domestic duty free shops will be abolished for the locals.
The removal of the $5,000 purchase limit at duty free shops in Korea should encourage purchase of luxury women's apparel, bags, and cosmetics.
The removal of the purchase limit should help the major duty free operators in Korea including Hotel Shilla (008770 KS) and Shinsegae (004170 KS).  


Elimination of Purchase Limits at Duty Free Shops in Korea

South Korea

Hotel Shilla Co.,Ltd operates and manages hotels in Seoul and Jeju. The Company also operates duty free shops, bakeries, restaurants, and catering and laundry service businesses.

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Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)

Korean Prefs Vs Common: Closing the Gaps on Select Stocks

We discuss two positive factors pushing greater demand for Korean preference stocks (value & new government) offset by one major negative factor...

Douglas Kim

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months.

Douglas Kim

Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS. The deal appears to be very well flagged.

Sumeet Singh

Elimination of Purchase Limits at Duty Free Shops in Korea

Starting 18 March, the current $5,000 purchase limit at the domestic duty free shops will be abolished for the locals which should help Hotel...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)