Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> is approaching WEEKLY OVERSOLD territory, but it is in a clear downtrend, so when it bounces it could be a good occasion to go SHORT.  </li>
<li>The trade can be placed between this week and the next 2 weeks, with this week and the next being the most probable time for the reversal to happen.</li>
<li>Based on MRM WEEKLY model readings, the target price area where to enter the SHORT trade is 18553-19494.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is approaching WEEKLY OVERSOLD territory, but it is in a clear downtrend, so when it bounces it could be a good occasion to go SHORT.  
The trade can be placed between this week and the next 2 weeks, with this week and the next being the most probable time for the reversal to happen.
Based on MRM WEEKLY model readings, the target price area where to enter the SHORT trade is 18553-19494.


EQD | HSI WEEKLY Bounce Will Face These Resistance Levels

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The coming week has the rebalance implementation for the NIFTY family of indices on Thursday and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> on Friday.</li>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and the HSCI Index ends on Friday.</li>
<li>Inflows to mainland China ETFs resumed following a pause as markets continue to trade weak.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has the rebalance implementation for the NIFTY family of indices on Thursday and the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) on Friday.
The review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index and the HSCI Index ends on Friday.
Inflows to mainland China ETFs resumed following a pause as markets continue to trade weak.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCI, ASX, SET50, Wharf, SK Tel, Tata Motors, Midea, PCOMP

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> could raise between HK$35-54bn (US$4.5-6.9bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.</li>
<li>The H-shares could get Fast Entry to some global indices depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.</li>
<li>The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) could raise between HK$35-54bn (US$4.5-6.9bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.
The H-shares could get Fast Entry to some global indices depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.
The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.


Midea Group (000333 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-hang-seng-index-hsi-weekly-weak-bounce-resistance-analysis" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> correctly predicted the current pullback for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>, now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.</li>
<li>The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.</li>
<li>If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.</li>
</ul>


Our previous insight correctly predicted the current pullback for the Hang Seng Index (HSI), now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.
The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.
If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

EQD | HSI WEEKLY Bounce Will Face These Resistance Levels

The Hang Seng Index is nearing WEEKLY OVERSOLD territory and could offer a good opportunity to go SHORT if/when it bounces. Target price area for...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCI, ASX, SET50, Wharf, SK Tel, Tata Motors, Midea, PCOMP

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Analysis of Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support prices. Identification of areas for potential bounce and timing. If the index does not bounce within 2...

Nico Rosti

EQD | HSI WEEKLY Bounce Will Face These Resistance Levels

​The Hang Seng Index is nearing WEEKLY OVERSOLD territory and could offer a good opportunity to go SHORT if/when it bounces. Target price area for...

Nico Rosti

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCI, ASX, SET50, Wharf, SK Tel, Tata Motors, Midea, PCOMP

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Midea Group (000333 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Midea Group could raise between HK$35-47bn in its H-shares listing. The discount vs A-shares and cornerstone/strategic allocation will be key in...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Analysis of Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support prices. Identification of areas for potential bounce and timing. If the index does not bounce within 2...

Nico Rosti

The Hang Seng Index is nearing WEEKLY OVERSOLD territory and could offer a good opportunity to go SHORT if/when it bounces. Target price area for...