Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>News came out today that Hollysys (HOLI) is being acquired by Ascendant for $26.5/share . So I sold my shares for $24.74 today.</li><li>And closing this at $24.88. Only a 7% spread, and there could be some delays before this closes.</li><li>Was a nice trade and a 43% gain since dedicating a full write-up to it in July this year.</li></ul>

News came out today that Hollysys (HOLI) is being acquired by Ascendant for $26.5/share . So I sold my shares for $24.74 today.And closing this at $24.88. Only a 7% spread, and there could be some delays before this closes.Was a nice trade and a 43% gain since dedicating a full write-up to it in July this year.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> has agreed to be acquired by Ascendent Capital, the largest shareholder, for US$26.50, a 16.7% premium to the last close.   </li>
<li>The Board's claims of realising the highest shareholder value are not credible. The Board fails to explain why Ascendent’s offer is superior to Recco’s, although both have the same value.</li>
<li>Deal fatigue (the process first started in December 2020) and the 42% premium to the undisturbed price suggests meeting the simple majority threshold for a statutory merger is achievable.</li>
</ul>



Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) has agreed to be acquired by Ascendent Capital, the largest shareholder, for US$26.50, a 16.7% premium to the last close.   
The Board's claims of realising the highest shareholder value are not credible. The Board fails to explain why Ascendent’s offer is superior to Recco’s, although both have the same value.
Deal fatigue (the process first started in December 2020) and the 42% premium to the undisturbed price suggests meeting the simple majority threshold for a statutory merger is achievable.


Hollysys (HOLI US): Questionable Process Results in Ascendent’s Winning US$26.50 Bid

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glosel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18515:1" rel="noopener">Glosel (9995 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer; and the indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>'s H-shares. </li>
<li>Key updates on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lansen-pharmaceutical-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10835:1" rel="noopener">Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK)</a> </li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: Glosel (9995 JP)'s Tender Offer; and the indicative Offer for CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)'s H-shares. 
Key updates on: Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), and Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK) 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Glosel, CIMC, Orecorp, Tietto Mineral, Lansen Pharmaceutical

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> Board has finally succumbed to shareholder pressure by targeting a special meeting of shareholders in the week commencing 22 January 2024.</li>
<li>The special meeting is a side event as the Board targets a binding proposal by mid-December, with some bidders proceeding to the confirmatory due diligence stage.</li>
<li>The BVI takeover structure and Hollysys’ undemanding valuation facilitate a competitive bidding process. A 10% uplift to the current highest offer (Recco’s US$26.50 offer) is possible.</li>
</ul>


The Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) Board has finally succumbed to shareholder pressure by targeting a special meeting of shareholders in the week commencing 22 January 2024.
The special meeting is a side event as the Board targets a binding proposal by mid-December, with some bidders proceeding to the confirmatory due diligence stage.
The BVI takeover structure and Hollysys’ undemanding valuation facilitate a competitive bidding process. A 10% uplift to the current highest offer (Recco’s US$26.50 offer) is possible.


Hollysys (HOLI US): Progress as a Binding Proposal Targeted for Mid-December

<ul>
<li>A fortnight after co-COOs pitched a US$25/share indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys (HOLI US)</a>, Ascendent Capital, holding 13.7%, tabled a US$26/share Offer. The Recco/Dazheng consortium offered US$26.50 a week later.</li>
<li>There is currently a dispute over the ownership and control of Ace Lead's shares in Hollysys, which was subject to an injunction hearing in the Hong Kong High Court.</li>
<li>That hearing took place today. So I went along to hear first-hand the key arguments from both sides. </li>
</ul>


A fortnight after co-COOs pitched a US$25/share indicative Offer for Hollysys (HOLI US), Ascendent Capital, holding 13.7%, tabled a US$26/share Offer. The Recco/Dazheng consortium offered US$26.50 a week later.
There is currently a dispute over the ownership and control of Ace Lead's shares in Hollysys, which was subject to an injunction hearing in the Hong Kong High Court.
That hearing took place today. So I went along to hear first-hand the key arguments from both sides. 


United States

CTS Corporation designs and manufactures electronic components and sensors to original equipment manufacturers in the automotive, communications, medical, defense and aerospace, industrial and computer markets.

PC Connection, Inc. is a direct marketer of personal computers and related peripherals, software, accessories, and networking products. The Company sells to small and medium-sized businesses. PC Connection carries high turnover products in inventory, and in addition provides customer service and technical support.

Benchmark Electronics, Inc. provides contract electronics manufacturing and design services.  The Company serves original equipment manufacturers of medical devices, industrial control equipment, testing and instrumentation products, and telecommunications equipment.  Benchmark also offers product design, printed circuit board layout, prototyping and test development services.

Knowles Corporation designs and manufactures advanced acoustic components. The Company produces components for hearing aids and surface mount microphones for cell phones and consumer electronics. Knowles offers its products around the world.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. provides software solutions. The Company offers cloud-based platform with a variety of connected devices such as security cameras. Arlo Technologies serves customers in the United States.

TTM Technologies, Inc. is an independent provider of time-critical, one-stop manufacturing services for printed circuit boards.  The circuit boards serve as a foundation for electronic products such as routers, switches, servers, memory modules, and cellular base stations. The Company's customers include original equipment manufacturers and electronic manufacturing services companies.

ePlus inc. provides IT hardware, software and services. The Company offers IT solutions for data center, cloud computing, security, managed and professional services, lease financing, proprietary software, and other related products. ePlus focuses on serving the middle market and larger commercial enterprises as well as state and local governments.

Rogers Corporation manufactures and markets specialty materials and components for applications in the communications, computer, imaging, consumer, and transportation markets.  The Company's products include elastomers, high frequency circuit materials, flexible circuit materials, molding materials, and composite materials.  Rogers sells its products around the world.

ScanSource, Inc. is a value-added wholesale distributor of specialty technology products to the reseller market.  The Company provides automatic identification and point-of-sale products, as well as telephony and computer telephony integration products. ScanSource distributes its products in the United States and internationally.

OSI Systems, Inc. produces medical monitoring and anesthesia systems; security and inspection systems; and lasers, optics, and optoelectronic components.  The Company's products include blood pressure monitors, anesthesia machines and hemoglobin saturation monitors; systems for inspecting baggage, people, and vehicles; and lasers, lenses, prisms, and microelectronic components.

Topcorn Corporation manufactures and sells measuring equipment and medical equipment primarily for ophthalmologist use. The Company also manufactures industrial products including projectors and optical devices.

KCE Electronics Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries manufacture and export single-layered, multi-layered, and double-sided printed circuit boards (PCBs) under its KCE trademark.  Multi-layered PCBs are used mainly in high technology equipment and high precision instruments.  Double-sided PCBs are used largely in telecommunication and computing equipment.

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of glass related products.  The Company's products include fluorescent light tubes, lenses for light-emitting diodes (LEDs), ceramic integrated circuits (IC) packages, bulbs for cathode ray tube (CRT) displays, and precision sheet glass for liquid crystal displays (LCDs).

Chengdu Santai Holding Group Co., Ltd. is a manufacturer and solutions provider in the security industry. The Company's products include QMS, note management systems, DVR, monitoring solutions, face identification, and fingerprint identification.

Wuhu Token Science Co., Ltd. researches, produces and sells vacuum thin film material for flat panel displays.  The Company's products are liquid crystal display conductive film glass, touch-screen conductive film glass, and mobile phone panel material.

Codan Limited develops rugged and electronics solutions for international government, corporate, NGO and consumer markets. The company's line of business includes provision of radio communications, metal detection and tracking solutions.

Shenzhen Topband Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and markets electronic intelligent controllers for electric household appliances.

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

Beijing Zhongke Sanhuan High-Tech Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures rare earth permanent magnetic materials and products.  The Company's main product is neodymium iron boron magnetic materials.

Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan Hi Tech (000970 CH)

Amano Corporation manufactures electric time recorders and information systems. The Company also produces time stamps and parking lot traffic and fee collection management systems.  The Company produces environment related systems such as dust collectors, air filters, and gas/water cleaning equipment.

Hollysys Automation Technologies Ltd. manufactures automation and control systems.  The Company produces process, industrial, rail and subway, and nuclear power plant automation equipment.

Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)

Closing HOLI, PBR-A and 1669

News came out today that Hollysys (HOLI) is being acquired by Ascendant for $26.5/share . So I sold my shares for $24.74 today. And closing this at...

Turtles all the way down

Hollysys (HOLI US): Questionable Process Results in Ascendent’s Winning US$26.50 Bid

Despite a dubious sales process, deal fatigue and the 42% premium to the undisturbed price should help get the vote up. At the last close, the...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Glosel, CIMC, Orecorp, Tietto Mineral, Lansen Pharmaceutical

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Hollysys (HOLI US): Progress as a Binding Proposal Targeted for Mid-December

An SEC filing on Friday disclosed that Ascendent Capital (13.7% shareholder) entered a confidentiality agreement with Hollysys, which includes a...

Arun George

Hollysys (HOLI US): In Court Today ...

Game on! Hollysys has confirmed an SGM will be held the week commencing 22 January 2024. The record date to be eligible to vote is the 27 November....

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)