Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> are likely inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P SENSEX INDEX</a> in June while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> could be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> could be added depending on sector balance while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is a close delete on liquidity.</li>
<li>The inclusion of Tata Motors could result in the discount on the DVR line <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> narrowing versus the common shares <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) are likely inclusions to the S&amp;P SENSEX INDEX in June while Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) could be deleted.

Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) could be added depending on sector balance while Nestle India (NEST IN) is a close delete on liquidity.
The inclusion of Tata Motors could result in the discount on the DVR line Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) narrowing versus the common shares Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN). 


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview (June): Down to the Wire

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revenue from its India business (HNDL standalone + Utkal) grew 62% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR185b, a 9% beat on our estimate of INR169b, led by a 7%/12% beat in its aluminum/copper business.</li>
<li>The copper business beat was driven by strong byproduct revenue.</li>
<li>The beat in aluminum topline was on account of the strong premium over LME prices, which reflects a tight.</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


Revenue from its India business (HNDL standalone + Utkal) grew 62% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR185b, a 9% beat on our estimate of INR169b, led by a 7%/12% beat in its aluminum/copper business.
The copper business beat was driven by strong byproduct revenue.
The beat in aluminum topline was on account of the strong premium over LME prices, which reflects a tight.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>Hindalco’s decision to acquire Hydro's aluminium extrusions business in India (Kuppam in AP) for Rs2.5bn falls within the envelope of Hindalco’s ‘Doubling the downstream’ strategy wherein the company has entailed a capex of US$1.1bn. The plant will also serve as an archetype for Hindalco's upcoming extrusions plant in Silvassa (Rs7.3bn capex for 34ktpa greenfield plant).</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Hindalco’s decision to acquire Hydro's aluminium extrusions business in India (Kuppam in AP) for Rs2.5bn falls within the envelope of Hindalco’s ‘Doubling the downstream’ strategy wherein the company has entailed a capex of US$1.1bn. The plant will also serve as an archetype for Hindalco's upcoming extrusions plant in Silvassa (Rs7.3bn capex for 34ktpa greenfield plant).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Look downstream, look converter series - Focus on downstream remains key to value creation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<p>Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.</p>

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

<p>We raise HNDL's FY22/FY23 EBITDA estimate by 3%/7% Novelis, Hindalco's wholly-owned subsidiary, reported record-high adj EBITDA of USD508m (adj for one-off income of USD47m) on the back of record-high margins of USD522/t (+2% QoQ). Novelis should see mix improvement in 2HFY22 and FY23 as the share of auto volumes should increase on account of capacity additions.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We raise HNDL's FY22/FY23 EBITDA estimate by 3%/7% Novelis, Hindalco's wholly-owned subsidiary, reported record-high adj EBITDA of USD508m (adj for one-off income of USD47m) on the back of record-high margins of USD522/t (+2% QoQ). Novelis should see mix improvement in 2HFY22 and FY23 as the share of auto volumes should increase on account of capacity additions.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindalco Industries: Margin Outlook Remains Strong

India

Hindalco Industries Limited is an integrated aluminum manufacturer. The Company mines bauxite and refines it into alumina. The Company's other operations include the smelting of alumina into aluminum, the manufacture of semi-fabricated rolled and extruded products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, steel rods and rolled flat steel products.

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Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview (June): Down to the Wire

Tata Motors could replace Dr Reddy in the Sensex at the June rebalance. Hindalco is a close add while Nestle is a close delete. The inclusion of...

Brian Freitas

Hindalco: Riding the Aluminum Wave

Revenue from its India business (HNDL standalone + Utkal) grew 62% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR185b, a 9% beat on our estimate of INR169b, led by a 7%/12%...

Motilal Oswal

Look downstream, look converter series - Focus on downstream remains key to value creation

Hindalco’s decision to acquire Hydro's aluminium extrusions business in India (Kuppam in AP) for Rs2.5bn falls within the envelope of...

ICICI Securities Limited

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

Hindalco Industries: Margin Outlook Remains Strong

We raise HNDL's FY22/FY23 EBITDA estimate by 3%/7%. Novelis, Hindalco's wholly-owned subsidiary, reported record-high adj EBITDA of USD508m (adj...

Motilal Oswal

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview (June): Down to the Wire

Tata Motors could replace Dr Reddy in the Sensex at the June rebalance. Hindalco is a close add while Nestle is a close delete. The inclusion of...

Brian Freitas

Hindalco: Riding the Aluminum Wave

Revenue from its India business (HNDL standalone + Utkal) grew 62% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR185b, a 9% beat on our estimate of INR169b, led by a 7%/12%...

Motilal Oswal

Look downstream, look converter series - Focus on downstream remains key to value creation

Hindalco’s decision to acquire Hydro&#x27;s aluminium extrusions business in India (Kuppam in AP) for Rs2.5bn falls within the envelope of...

ICICI Securities Limited

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

Hindalco Industries: Margin Outlook Remains Strong

We raise HNDL's FY22/FY23 EBITDA estimate by 3%/7%. Novelis, Hindalco's wholly-owned subsidiary, reported record-high adj EBITDA of USD508m (adj...

Motilal Oswal

Hindalco’s decision to acquire Hydro's aluminium extrusions business in India (Kuppam in AP) for Rs2.5bn falls within the envelope of...