External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive demand.</li><li>The domestic wholesale volumes for SUVs in Passenger Vehicles (PV) (Maruti) and Premium motorcycles in 2W (Eicher) exhibited strong traction.</li><li>This was on account of the improvement in the supply-chain bottlenecks as well as due to shifting consumer preferences towards premium, feature-leaden, and technologically advanced product categories from the low-end segment.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive demand.The domestic wholesale volumes for SUVs in Passenger Vehicles (PV) (Maruti) and Premium motorcycles in 2W (Eicher) exhibited strong traction.This was on account of the improvement in the supply-chain bottlenecks as well as due to shifting consumer preferences towards premium, feature-leaden, and technologically advanced product categories from the low-end segment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Q2fy23preview - Volume Growth & Operating Leverage to Drive Ebitda Growth

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> has been outperforming the Nifty 50 over the last 6M</li>
<li>Our flash checks done in the south suggests the outperformance may not last long</li>
<li>Failure of a model, high competitive intensity, and changing preferences can again lead to high inventory levels leading to a possible correction in wholesales post-festive season. </li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) has been outperforming the Nifty 50 over the last 6M
Our flash checks done in the south suggests the outperformance may not last long
Failure of a model, high competitive intensity, and changing preferences can again lead to high inventory levels leading to a possible correction in wholesales post-festive season. 


Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | Brace for Disappointment

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The wholesale volumes in Sep’22 picked up in line with our expectations as the OEMs ramped up supply to fill in the inventories ahead of the festive season.</li><li>The easing chip shortage also aided in the broad-based growth in auto supply as against previous quarters.</li><li>According to our estimates, PV domestic wholesale dispatches posted impressive growth of 95%/7% YoY/MoM, suggesting improving supply to fulfil order backlogs. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The wholesale volumes in Sep’22 picked up in line with our expectations as the OEMs ramped up supply to fill in the inventories ahead of the festive season.The easing chip shortage also aided in the broad-based growth in auto supply as against previous quarters.According to our estimates, PV domestic wholesale dispatches posted impressive growth of 95%/7% YoY/MoM, suggesting improving supply to fulfil order backlogs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Robust Growth Momentum in PV & CV Sales; 2Ws Lag Behind

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes are still testing (and holding above) critical supports. This includes MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX</li>
<li>Our overall outlook remains neutral, and we continue to see many attractive buying opportunities, especially out of Japan, India, and a new one -- Brazil.</li>
<li>Buy ideas focus on the Consumer Discretionary and Financials Sectors, with the vast majority of stock recommendations from Japan, India, and Brazil</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes are still testing (and holding above) critical supports. This includes MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX
Our overall outlook remains neutral, and we continue to see many attractive buying opportunities, especially out of Japan, India, and a new one -- Brazil.
Buy ideas focus on the Consumer Discretionary and Financials Sectors, with the vast majority of stock recommendations from Japan, India, and Brazil


Europe, Japan, $ACWI Testing Critical Supports; Rising DXY, Global Sovereign Yields a Major Headwind

India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

Maharashtra Scooters Ltd. manufactures and distributes two-wheeler scooters.

Atul Auto Ltd. manufactures three-wheeled commercial diesel vehicles.

MRF Limited manufactures and distributes tyres and tubes for automobiles, aircrafts, motorcycles and cycles. The Company also manufactures conveyor belts, paint and coats, and hoses. Every MRF tyre designed is the result of a special acid test on the race and rally tracks.

Bosch Limited manufactures a wide range of automotive parts. The Company'products includes fuel injection pumps, spark plugs, including nozzles and nozzle holders, elements, delivery valves, filters and filter inserts, glow plugs, starter motors, alternators and wipers. Bosch also manufactures hydraulics and pneumatic equipment and electric power tools and fixtures.

Hindustan Motors Limited manufactures cars, trucks, diesel engines, bulldozers, cranes, dumpers, compactors, shovels and scrapers. The Company also manufactures a wide range of steel products, axle assemblies, special purpose machine tools, hydraulic pumps and hydraulic valves.

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

Balkrishna Industries Ltd. manufactures automobile tires and tubes. The Company also manufactures different varieties of paper & paper boards and processes synthetic textiles.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

Renault SA designs, manufactures, markets, and repairs passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The Company also provides financing and service solutions, including credit for new and used vehicles.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Auto Q2fy23preview - Volume Growth & Operating Leverage to Drive Ebitda Growth

In Q2FY23, wholesale volumes across PV/CV/2W (other than tractors) segments stood robust QoQ, led by inventory channel filling ahead of the festive...

Axis Direct

Q2fy23 Preview - Non-Commodities Likely to Do Better

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct