Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$526m in its IPO by selling 40.06m shares at a price range of INR 1026 to INR 1080 per share.</li>
<li>The company has allocated 12.02m shares to anchor investors at INR 1080/share. That list includes marquee names and the lock-up reduces near-term float.</li>
<li>The IPO opens on 25 April and will close on 27 April. Shares are expected to start trading on 9 May and there are no near-term index inclusions expected.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$526m in its IPO by selling 40.06m shares at a price range of INR 1026 to INR 1080 per share.
The company has allocated 12.02m shares to anchor investors at INR 1080/share. That list includes marquee names and the lock-up reduces near-term float.
The IPO opens on 25 April and will close on 27 April. Shares are expected to start trading on 9 May and there are no near-term index inclusions expected.


Mankind Pharma: IPO Details & Index Inclusion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Two-wheelers continued their weak trend even for Q4 with 2W industry production declining by 5% QoQ in Q4</li><li>While domestic 2W sales declined 7% QoQ, 2W exports further declined by 17% QoQ in Q4</li><li>On the other hand, while PV production was up 12% QoQ, CV industry production was up 23% on a QoQ basis in Q4</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Two-wheelers continued their weak trend even for Q4 with 2W industry production declining by 5% QoQ in Q4While domestic 2W sales declined 7% QoQ, 2W exports further declined by 17% QoQ in Q4On the other hand, while PV production was up 12% QoQ, CV industry production was up 23% on a QoQ basis in Q4Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 19%/29%/29% YoY in Q4FY23.</li><li>On a sequential basis, too, we expect Auto OEMs to register a growth of 8%/11%/11%, which would be led by double-digit volume growth in the PV/CV segment (though this will be partially offset by lower 2W sales on account of lower exports).</li><li>EBITDA margins are expected to expand both YoY/QoQ due to a richer product mix, absorption of price hikes, and marginally lower RM costs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 19%/29%/29% YoY in Q4FY23.On a sequential basis, too, we expect Auto OEMs to register a growth of 8%/11%/11%, which would be led by double-digit volume growth in the PV/CV segment (though this will be partially offset by lower 2W sales on account of lower exports).EBITDA margins are expected to expand both YoY/QoQ due to a richer product mix, absorption of price hikes, and marginally lower RM costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Q4fy23 Preview - Improved Product Mix, Moderation in Rm Costs to Drive Margin Growth

<ul><li>The Domestic PV industry sales grew by ~6% YoY (flat MoM) to fulfill the order backlogs, especially in the SUV segment as the production constraints eased.</li><li>Domestic CV sales stood robust, up 12% YoY and 27% MoM led by strong infra push, higher replacement demand, and advanced buying in anticipation of price hikes post Apr’23 (on OBD Phase II norms).</li><li>Domestic 2W Wholesales grew by ~20% YoY/MoM (exl. HMSI and Bajaj) on the low base of the last year and post the weak Jan- Feb’23 dispatches.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Domestic PV industry sales grew by ~6% YoY (flat MoM) to fulfill the order backlogs, especially in the SUV segment as the production constraints eased.Domestic CV sales stood robust, up 12% YoY and 27% MoM led by strong infra push, higher replacement demand, and advanced buying in anticipation of price hikes post Apr’23 (on OBD Phase II norms).Domestic 2W Wholesales grew by ~20% YoY/MoM (exl. HMSI and Bajaj) on the low base of the last year and post the weak Jan- Feb’23 dispatches.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Mar’23 Wholesale Dispatches Continue to Grow YoY

<ul><li>The domestic CV wholesale volumes registered positive momentum with 11% YoY growth (5% MoM) in Feb’23, which was driven by the growth in the MHCV segment, which in turn, was led by the pick-up in the infrastructure spending.</li><li>The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 12% YoY (down 4% MoM). We believe demand momentum to continue as OEMs fulfil order backlogs along with new launches in the SUV segment by the OEMs Maruti (Fronx, Jimny), M&amp;M (Thar RWD, XUV400), and Tata Motors (Tiago EV).</li><li>For 2Ws, the domestic sales (excl. HMSI), grew by ~21%YoY (on a low base of Feb’22) while export volumes de-grew across all OEMs (except RE, flat YoY).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The domestic CV wholesale volumes registered positive momentum with 11% YoY growth (5% MoM) in Feb’23, which was driven by the growth in the MHCV segment, which in turn, was led by the pick-up in the infrastructure spending.The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 12% YoY (down 4% MoM). We believe demand momentum to continue as OEMs fulfil order backlogs along with new launches in the SUV segment by the OEMs Maruti (Fronx, Jimny), M&amp;M (Thar RWD, XUV400), and Tata Motors (Tiago EV).For 2Ws, the domestic sales (excl. HMSI), grew by ~21%YoY (on a low base of Feb’22) while export volumes de-grew across all OEMs (except RE, flat YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Robust Domestic Sales; 2W Exports Continue to Remain Weak

India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

Maharashtra Scooters Ltd. manufactures and distributes two-wheeler scooters.

Atul Auto Ltd. manufactures three-wheeled commercial diesel vehicles.

MRF Limited manufactures and distributes tyres and tubes for automobiles, aircrafts, motorcycles and cycles. The Company also manufactures conveyor belts, paint and coats, and hoses. Every MRF tyre designed is the result of a special acid test on the race and rally tracks.

Bosch Limited manufactures a wide range of automotive parts. The Company'products includes fuel injection pumps, spark plugs, including nozzles and nozzle holders, elements, delivery valves, filters and filter inserts, glow plugs, starter motors, alternators and wipers. Bosch also manufactures hydraulics and pneumatic equipment and electric power tools and fixtures.

Hindustan Motors Limited manufactures cars, trucks, diesel engines, bulldozers, cranes, dumpers, compactors, shovels and scrapers. The Company also manufactures a wide range of steel products, axle assemblies, special purpose machine tools, hydraulic pumps and hydraulic valves.

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

Balkrishna Industries Ltd. manufactures automobile tires and tubes. The Company also manufactures different varieties of paper & paper boards and processes synthetic textiles.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

Renault SA designs, manufactures, markets, and repairs passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The Company also provides financing and service solutions, including credit for new and used vehicles.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Mankind Pharma: IPO Details & Index Inclusion

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise up to US$526m in its IPO by selling 40.06m shares at INR 1080/share. 12.02m shares have been allocated to anchor...

Brian Freitas

Autos: Growth rates set to normalise

Two-wheelers continued their weak trend even for Q4 with 2W industry production declining by 5% QoQ in Q4. While domestic 2W sales declined 7% QoQ

HDFC Securities

Auto Q4fy23 Preview - Improved Product Mix, Moderation in Rm Costs to Drive Margin Growth

EBITDA margins are expected to expand both YoY/QoQ due to a richer product mix, absorption of price hikes, and marginally lower RM costs.

Axis Direct

Automotive Industry - Mar’23 Wholesale Dispatches Continue to Grow YoY

The Domestic PV industry sales grew by ~6% YoY (flat MoM) to fulfill the order backlogs, especially in the SUV segment as the production...

Axis Direct

Automotive Industry - Robust Domestic Sales; 2W Exports Continue to Remain Weak

The domestic CV wholesale volumes registered positive momentum with 11% YoY growth (5% MoM) in Feb’23, which was driven by the growth in the MHCV...

Axis Direct

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