Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Transcenta Holding / Equity Capital Markets

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcenta-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33523:1" rel="noopener">Transcenta Holding (THL HK)</a> has passed the listing hearing of the HKEX and is expected to be listed on the main board in the near future. Transcenta is a clinical stage global biopharmaceutical company that integrates the capacities of discovery, research, development, manufacturing and business development, with nine product candidates in the pipeline, eight of which are oncology drug candidates. This insight mainly analyzed the important product candidates (such as MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254) in the pipeline and related concerns.

Recently, Transcenta Holding (THL HK) has passed the listing hearing of the HKEX and is expected to be listed on the main board in the near future. Transcenta is a clinical stage global biopharmaceutical company that integrates the capacities of discovery, research, development, manufacturing and business development, with nine product candidates in the pipeline, eight of which are oncology drug candidates. This insight mainly analyzed the important product candidates (such as MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254) in the pipeline and related concerns. 

Pre-IPO Transcenta Holding - Insights on Pipeline and the Concerns

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The National Health Care Security Administration issued relevant guidance to include designated retail pharmacies in the medical insurance drug supply guarantee scope at the national level. </li>
<li>Last week, news released that the information collection of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) is about to start.</li>
<li>To get a good night's sleep, young people in China are happy to spend money on related products and services.</li>
</ul> Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 7.58%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The National Health Care Security Administration issued relevant guidance to include designated retail pharmacies in the medical insurance drug supply guarantee scope at the national level. 
Last week, news released that the information collection of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) is about to start.
To get a good night's sleep, young people in China are happy to spend money on related products and services.
 Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of Antengene (6996 HK), Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK), Everest Medicines (1952 HK) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 7.58%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Hong Kong

HBM Holdings Limited operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops novel and highly differentiated antibody therapeutics in immunology and oncology disease areas. HBM Holdings provides its services throughout China.

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HBM Holdings Limited (2142 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance. 19 stocks will be added to Stock Connect and 12 will be removed. Some of...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Transcenta Holding - Insights on Pipeline and the Concerns

The article mainly analyzed Transcenta Holding in terms of its important product candidates MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254,including the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.14)

This article analyzed new guidance on retail pharmacies in the medical insurance, information collection of the 5th national VBP, China's sleep...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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