Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28th Nov 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> announced that it would sell around 9.4% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> in order to reduce its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>The shares hadn’t corrected much till our last note on 7th Dec 2023, they have since corrected by 6% .</li>
<li>We have covered the deal background and deal dynamics in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the recent share price movement, as compared to prior deals.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Nov 2023, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) announced that it would sell around 9.4% of Denso Corp (6902 JP) in order to reduce its cross-shareholding.
The shares hadn’t corrected much till our last note on 7th Dec 2023, they have since corrected by 6% .
We have covered the deal background and deal dynamics in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the recent share price movement, as compared to prior deals.


Denso Corp Placement - Quick Update - In Better Shape Now, Size Concern Remains

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-synergy-hydrogen-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40364:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Synergy Hydrogen Energy Technology (9663 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dekon-food-and-agriculture-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36756:1" rel="noopener">Dekon Food</a> didn't do much even as other are lining up to try their luck.</li>
<li>On the placements front, Japan and India flows continue like there is no tomorrow.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Sino-Synergy Hydrogen Energy Technology (9663 HK) and Dekon Food didn't do much even as other are lining up to try their luck.
On the placements front, Japan and India flows continue like there is no tomorrow.


ECM Weekly (10th Dec 2023) - Toyota, Denso, Rakuten, Evolution, IRCON, REPT, UBTech, Entero

<ul>
<li>On 28th Nov 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> announced that it would sell around 9.4% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso (6902 JP)</a> in order to reduce its cross-shareholding. </li>
<li>Since then the shares haven’t corrected by much, as compared to prior large secondary deals.</li>
<li>We have covered the deal background in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about deal dynamics, as compared to prior deals.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Nov 2023, Toyota (7203 JP) announced that it would sell around 9.4% of Denso (6902 JP) in order to reduce its cross-shareholding. 
Since then the shares haven’t corrected by much, as compared to prior large secondary deals.
We have covered the deal background in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about deal dynamics, as compared to prior deals.


Denso Corp Placement - Not Quite Shaping up for a Win Yet

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In February 2021 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nabtesco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13176:1" rel="noopener">Nabtesco Corp (6268 JP)</a> announced it would sell half of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP)</a> to concentrate on its own products and growth. </li>
<li>It was a not-very-well-held secret Nabtesco had invested wanting to own HDS. HDS didn't want to be owned. Eventually Nabtesco gave up. So they sold over time into low float.</li>
<li>Now they are letting go of the other half. Sale structure means ongoing pressure.</li>
</ul>


In February 2021 Nabtesco Corp (6268 JP) announced it would sell half of its stake in Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP) to concentrate on its own products and growth. 
It was a not-very-well-held secret Nabtesco had invested wanting to own HDS. HDS didn't want to be owned. Eventually Nabtesco gave up. So they sold over time into low float.
Now they are letting go of the other half. Sale structure means ongoing pressure.


Nabtesco and Harmonic Drive - The Second Half of Splitsville So Pressure to Continue

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Ishares Global Consumer Disc / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.</li>
<li>Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.</li>
<li>Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.
Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.
Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.


Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

Japan

ORGANO CORPORATION manufactures water treatment equipment and other related peripherals and supplies.  The Company also produces industrial chemical products such as activated carbon and charcoal, water treatment compounds, and ion exchange resins.  Organo's water treatment systems are used for ultra-pure water production in nuclear power and semiconductor manufacturing processes.

SUMITOMO HEAVY INDUSTRIES, LTD. manufactures and markets heavy electric machinery.  The Company's operations include heavy machinery, shipbuilding, mass-production machinery, environmental equipment, and construction machinery divisions.  Sumitomo Heavy Industries also produces equipment for semiconductor and laser technologies.

NSK Ltd. manufactures ball and roller bearings.  The Company's parts are applied in equipment such as precision machinery, electronic devices, and industrial machinery.  NSK also produces automotive products including transmission bearings, power steering systems, and wheel hub units.

FUJITEC CO., LTD. mainly manufactures elevators, escalators, and sky-parking systems by the orders from customers.  The Company also provides installation and repair services.  Fujitec has manufacturing bases in overseas including the USA, Singapore, Taiwan, and South Korea.

JTEKT Corporation manufactures bearings for motor vehicles and electronic equipment.  The Company also produces steering systems and oil seals for automobiles, electronic control units, and machine tools.

The Japan Steel Works Ltd produces machinery for casts, forged steel, and plastics.  The Company, serving both the public and private sectors, manufactures industrial equipment utilized in facilities such as oil refineries, manufacturing plants, and petrochemical plants.

Nabtesco Corporation manufactures Aircraft and Hydraulic products, Precision equipment, and transportation equipment. The Company's products include landing gear system for aircrafts, railroad vehicle brake system, and precision reduction gears for industrial robots.

THK CO., LTD. manufactures industrial linear motion systems, applied in such products as robots, machine tools, and semiconductor equipment.  The Company also produces feed screws, bearings, joints, actuators, and other mechanical parts and equipment.

MIURA CO., LTD. manufactures, inspects, and maintains industrial boilers and related equipment.  The Company offers a variety of boilers including steam, hot water, marine, and waste heat recycling types.  Miura also produces non-boiler products such as pumps, refrigerators, ice makers, sterilizers, and water treatment systems.

HINO MOTORS, LTD. develops, manufactures and markets diesel buses and trucks. The Company also produces heavy duty trucks, special purpose vehicles, and diesel engines for industrial and marine applications.

Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures hydraulic support in coal industry.  The Company's products include two legs hydraulic support, four legs hydraulic support, caving support, and hydraulic valve.

Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co (601717 CH)

Hyundai Rotem Company Ltd. manufactures railroad equipment and defense vehicles. The Company produces high-speed trains, light rail vehicles, locomotives, and passenger coaches, main battle tanks, armored recovery vehicles, and related defense equipment. Hyundai Rotem operates worldwide.

Hyundai Mipo Dockyard Co., Ltd. is shipbuilders in the sectors of medium-sized conventional ships and specialized vessels. The Company constructs and delivers medium-ranged product carriers, chemical tankers, containerships, LPG carriers, pure car truck carriers and others.

China First Heavy Industries develops, manufactures, and sells heavy industry equipment.  The Company's products include metallurgical equipment, heavy container, nuclear island equipment, large-scale power generation equipment, castings and forgings, mining parts, heavy forging equipment, mining equipment and special products.

BEML Limited produces and sells earthmoving equipment, including railway rolling stock, heavy duty vehicles, wheel loaders, trailers, excavators and heavy recovery vehicles.

Titagarh Wagons Ltd. manufactures railroad cars.  The Company produces railway wagons, Bailey bridges, earth moving and mining equipment, and steel and iron castings.

Kirloskar Brothers Limited manufactures agricultural implements, power-driven pumps, sugarcane crushers, sluice valves, concrete mixers, ploughs, turbines, iron and steel castings and machine tools. The Group provides its customers with Finite Element Modelling and Computational Fluid Dynamics packages for Hydraulic analysis.  Kirloskar also supplies several turnkey Mini-Hydel power projects.

Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Ltd. builds truck and locomotive bodies.  The Company produces dump truck, tanker, cargo box, skip-loader, garbage, troop carrier, prison van, fire engine and ambulance bodies; and locomotive, boxcar and passenger coach bodies.

Mueller Water Products, Inc. manufactures a broad range of water infrastructure and flow control products for use in water distribution networks, water and wastewater treatment facilities, gas distribution systems and fire protection piping systems. The Company's product portfolio includes engineered valves, hydrants, pipe fittings and ductile iron pipe.

CNHTC Jinan Truck Co., Ltd. manufactures and retails heavy duty trucks.

Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. manufactures speed reducers used in industrial robots, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, and other precision instruments. The Company offers cup type, hollow-shaft type, and rotary type speed reducers. Harmonic Drive Systems also produces gear heads and harmonic drive actuators.

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Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP)

Denso Corp Placement - Quick Update - In Better Shape Now, Size Concern Remains

On 28th Nov 2023, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) announced that it would sell around US$4bn of Denso Corp (6902 JP). While the shares didn't correct...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (10th Dec 2023) - Toyota, Denso, Rakuten, Evolution, IRCON, REPT, UBTech, Entero

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Denso Corp Placement - Not Quite Shaping up for a Win Yet

On 28th Nov 2023, Toyota (7203 JP) announced that it would sell around 9.4% of Denso (6902 JP) in order to reduce its cross-shareholding. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Nabtesco and Harmonic Drive - The Second Half of Splitsville So Pressure to Continue

Nabtesco (6268) is selling the other half of its original stake in Harmonic Drive Systems (6324). The sale is a big part of Real World Float. HDS...

Travis Lundy

Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

Starting to see positive signals that suggest downside is limited from here. Still, we need to see reversals of YTD downtrends on $ACWI $ACWX $EFA...

Vermilion Research

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