Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy / Event-Driven

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<p>Subsequent to a low-turnout at the H-share class meeting last Friday (the 19th February), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-jingneng-clean-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16316:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)</a>'s shares declined 6.7% on Monday, followed by 6.3% yesterday, and 3.1% today. All on above-average volume. </p>
<p>Jingneng is now trading at a 25% gross spread to the voluntary conditional offer price of HK$2.70/share. Quite remarkable given deal completion is binary, and there is little in the way of clarity to indicate deal failure is more certain.</p>
<p>Jingneng's undisturbed price back in early July 2020 when a possible Offer was first <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0706/2020070602025.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">floated</a>, was HK$1.58. However, the power mix that Jingneng supplies has sector-by-sector average gains - some considerable - since the deal.</p>
<p>Jingneng has overshot to the downside, and is a buy outright or against a basket of peers.</p>
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<div>More below the fold.</div>
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Subsequent to a low-turnout at the H-share class meeting last Friday (the 19th February), Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)'s shares declined 6.7% on Monday, followed by 6.3% yesterday, and 3.1% today. All on above-average volume. 
Jingneng is now trading at a 25% gross spread to the voluntary conditional offer price of HK$2.70/share. Quite remarkable given deal completion is binary, and there is little in the way of clarity to indicate deal failure is more certain.
Jingneng's undisturbed price back in early July 2020 when a possible Offer was first floated, was HK$1.58. However, the power mix that Jingneng supplies has sector-by-sector average gains - some considerable - since the deal.
Jingneng has overshot to the downside, and is a buy outright or against a basket of peers.






More below the fold.






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<p>Back on the 17 November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-jingneng-clean-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16316:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1117/2020111701054.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a voluntary conditional offer at HK$2.70/share, a 70.89% premium to the undisturbed price. </p>
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<p>As Jingneng is PRC-incorporated, which confers no rights to the Bidder/Owner to compulsorily acquire shares, or to residual shareholders to require a buyout, the two-step Offer comprises a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against) and a 90% tendering condition.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1231/2020123100105.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Composite Document</a> was despatched on the 31 December, and the EGM and H-share class meetings were held on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0219/2021021900730.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">19 February</a>. All resolutions were passed. For the H-share class meeting, 97.9% of shares in attendance voted for the Offer.</p>
<p>The vote was not seen as a risk to the deal. Yet shares are off 4.3% as I type. The low turn-out at the meeting (38.21% of H-shareholders) is likely the cause of today's move. 61.79% of shareholders didn't bother to cast a vote - does that apathy to the Offer make it harder for the bankers to rustle up the necessary 90% to tender shares?</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
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Back on the 17 November, Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) announced a voluntary conditional offer at HK$2.70/share, a 70.89% premium to the undisturbed price. 


As Jingneng is PRC-incorporated, which confers no rights to the Bidder/Owner to compulsorily acquire shares, or to residual shareholders to require a buyout, the two-step Offer comprises a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against) and a 90% tendering condition.
The Composite Document was despatched on the 31 December, and the EGM and H-share class meetings were held on the 19 February. All resolutions were passed. For the H-share class meeting, 97.9% of shares in attendance voted for the Offer.
The vote was not seen as a risk to the deal. Yet shares are off 4.3% as I type. The low turn-out at the meeting (38.21% of H-shareholders) is likely the cause of today's move. 61.79% of shareholders didn't bother to cast a vote - does that apathy to the Offer make it harder for the bankers to rustle up the necessary 90% to tender shares?
More below the fold.


Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): Low Voter Turn-Out Sees Spread Widening

<p>I've analysed 14 Merger by Absorption deals over the last 16 years. These unique privatisation Offers address the peculiarities of acquiring PRC-incorporated companies listed in Hong Kong.</p>
<p>There are no rights under the laws of the PRC and the Articles of Association of a PRC-incorporated company to compulsorily acquire its H Shares that are not tendered for acceptance pursuant to any H Share Offer.</p>
<p>The only mechanism available to <em>fully</em> privatise is via a Merger by Absorption, incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against). A tendering condition of 90% <em>may</em> also be present.</p>
<p>Of these 14 transactions, 10 have been successfully privatised, three remain ongoing, plus we have one ignominious failure for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbin-electric-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11116:1" rel="noopener">Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK)</a>.</p>
<p>As always, more below the fold. </p>

I've analysed 14 Merger by Absorption deals over the last 16 years. These unique privatisation Offers address the peculiarities of acquiring PRC-incorporated companies listed in Hong Kong.
There are no rights under the laws of the PRC and the Articles of Association of a PRC-incorporated company to compulsorily acquire its H Shares that are not tendered for acceptance pursuant to any H Share Offer.
The only mechanism available to fully privatise is via a Merger by Absorption, incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against). A tendering condition of 90% may also be present.
Of these 14 transactions, 10 have been successfully privatised, three remain ongoing, plus we have one ignominious failure for Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK).
As always, more below the fold. 

Quiddity M&A : A Guide To Mergers By Absorption

Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group / Event-Driven

Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group

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<p>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-new-century-hotel-management-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27944:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (1158 HK)</a>'s (ZNCH) shares were <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0119/2021011900019.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> ahead of trading on the 19 January "<em>pursuant to The Codes on Takeovers and Mergers which constitute inside information of the Company</em>", ZNCH has now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0120/2021012000655.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Offer from a vehicle co-owned by Sequoia China and Ocean Link.</p>
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<p>The Offer price is HK$18.15/share, a 23.9% premium to last close, and a 20.8% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer price will not be increased. A concurrent Offer for ZNCH's domestic shares at RMB15.018066/share is also tabled.</p>
<p>ZNCH is incorporated in the PRC, and as such, there are no rights to compulsorily acquire shares or to require an Offeror do so. The only mechanism available to privatise is via a Merger by Absorption, incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against). Additionally, as this is a "voluntary conditional offer", a tendering condition of 90% is also present.</p>
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<p>ZNCH has 280mn shares out, comprising 70,000,000 H shares (25% of shares out), 159,659,640 domestic shares (57% of shares out), and 50,340,360 unlisted foreign shares (18% of shares out). Sequoia China/Ocean Link currently hold no shares. </p>
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<p>CTrip, a pre-IPO investor, with 14.83mn H shares, has given an irrevocable <em>supporting</em> the Offer, but will NOT tender. On account of a special shareholder arrangement, CTrip is deemed to be an Offeror Concert Party and therefore does not form part of the Independent H Shareholders. </p>
<p>GreenTree, a pre-IPO investor, with 13.87mn H shares has given an irrevocable supporting the Offer and will also tender. GreenTree forms part of the Independent H Shareholders. </p>
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<p>The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from an anti-trust review under the Anti-Monopoly Law of the PRC, and SAMR.</p>
<p>This appears an <em>okay</em> deal. The Pre-Conditional Long Stop date is the 31 May 2021, but these approvals should be completed well before. Merger by Absorption transactions are typically wrapped up in around four months.</p>
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<p>As always, more below the fold.</p>
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After Zhejiang New Century Hotel Management Group (1158 HK)'s (ZNCH) shares were suspended ahead of trading on the 19 January "pursuant to The Codes on Takeovers and Mergers which constitute inside information of the Company", ZNCH has now announced a pre-conditional Offer from a vehicle co-owned by Sequoia China and Ocean Link.


The Offer price is HK$18.15/share, a 23.9% premium to last close, and a 20.8% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer price will not be increased. A concurrent Offer for ZNCH's domestic shares at RMB15.018066/share is also tabled.
ZNCH is incorporated in the PRC, and as such, there are no rights to compulsorily acquire shares or to require an Offeror do so. The only mechanism available to privatise is via a Merger by Absorption, incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against). Additionally, as this is a "voluntary conditional offer", a tendering condition of 90% is also present.


ZNCH has 280mn shares out, comprising 70,000,000 H shares (25% of shares out), 159,659,640 domestic shares (57% of shares out), and 50,340,360 unlisted foreign shares (18% of shares out). Sequoia China/Ocean Link currently hold no shares. 


CTrip, a pre-IPO investor, with 14.83mn H shares, has given an irrevocable supporting the Offer, but will NOT tender. On account of a special shareholder arrangement, CTrip is deemed to be an Offeror Concert Party and therefore does not form part of the Independent H Shareholders. 
GreenTree, a pre-IPO investor, with 13.87mn H shares has given an irrevocable supporting the Offer and will also tender. GreenTree forms part of the Independent H Shareholders. 


The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from an anti-trust review under the Anti-Monopoly Law of the PRC, and SAMR.
This appears an okay deal. The Pre-Conditional Long Stop date is the 31 May 2021, but these approvals should be completed well before. Merger by Absorption transactions are typically wrapped up in around four months.


As always, more below the fold.


Zhejiang New Century (1158 HK): Pre-Conditional Offer

China Machinery Engineering / Event-Driven

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<p>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-machinery-engineering-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10998:1" rel="noopener">China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)</a>'s (CMEC) shares were <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0108/2021010701436.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> ahead of trading on the 8 January  "<em>pursuant to The Codes on Takeovers and Mergers which constitute inside information of the Company</em>", CMEC has now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0113/2021011300422.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Offer from its controlling shareholder, state-owned Chinese National Machinery Industry Corporation, also known as SINOMACH.</p>
<p>The Offer price is HK$3.70/share, a 45.10% premium to last close, and a 118.93% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer price will not be increased. A concurrent Offer for CMEC's domestic shares at RMB3.082692/share is also tabled.</p>
<p>CMEC has 4,125,700,000 shares out, comprising 908,270,000 H shares and 3,217,430,000 domestic shares.</p>
<p>SINOMACH holds 3.185bn domestic shares directly, and 32.174mn shares indirectly via China United. Together this totals 77.99% of the total voting interest in CNEC. </p>
<p>SINOMACH does not hold any H  shares.</p>
<p>The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from NDRC, MoC, and SAFE.</p>
<p>As CMEC is PRC incorporated, this delisting proposal is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which involves a Scheme-like vote from disinterested shareholders. There is no tendering acceptance condition attached to this delisting.</p>
<p>This appears a relatively clean deal. The Long Stop date is the 13 January 2022, but this should be completed well before. Merger by Absorption transactions are typically wrapped up in around four months.</p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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After China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)'s (CMEC) shares were suspended ahead of trading on the 8 January  "pursuant to The Codes on Takeovers and Mergers which constitute inside information of the Company", CMEC has now announced a pre-conditional Offer from its controlling shareholder, state-owned Chinese National Machinery Industry Corporation, also known as SINOMACH.
The Offer price is HK$3.70/share, a 45.10% premium to last close, and a 118.93% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer price will not be increased. A concurrent Offer for CMEC's domestic shares at RMB3.082692/share is also tabled.
CMEC has 4,125,700,000 shares out, comprising 908,270,000 H shares and 3,217,430,000 domestic shares.
SINOMACH holds 3.185bn domestic shares directly, and 32.174mn shares indirectly via China United. Together this totals 77.99% of the total voting interest in CNEC. 
SINOMACH does not hold any H  shares.
The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from NDRC, MoC, and SAFE.
As CMEC is PRC incorporated, this delisting proposal is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which involves a Scheme-like vote from disinterested shareholders. There is no tendering acceptance condition attached to this delisting.
This appears a relatively clean deal. The Long Stop date is the 13 January 2022, but this should be completed well before. Merger by Absorption transactions are typically wrapped up in around four months.


More below the fold.


China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Delisting Offer From Parent

China

Harbin Electric Company Limited manufactures a comprehensive range of electric power generation equipment including thermal power generator sets, boilers, steam and hydro turbine and turbine generator sets.  The Company also provides power station engineering services and manufactures ancillary equipment for power stations as well as AC/DC motor and other products.

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Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK)

Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): This Is A Buy

If it does not go through, the downside should be limited. And current valuations are not demanding - 8.8x PER on an LTM basis. I would buy...

David Blennerhassett

Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): Low Voter Turn-Out Sees Spread Widening

Currently trading at a massive gross spread of 11%, the widest since the deal was announced. This is in effect, a binary deal. I still believe this...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity M&A : A Guide To Mergers By Absorption

Beijing Jingneng's effective tender rate is the highest of all Merger by Absorptions. However, bankers have lifted the tendering rate efficiency in...

David Blennerhassett

Zhejiang New Century (1158 HK): Pre-Conditional Offer

Assuming payment late-May, I would expect ZNCH to trade around $17/share, or a 6-7% gross spread, and a ~22% annualised spread. Buy around $17...

David Blennerhassett

China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Delisting Offer From Parent

Expect CMEC to trade around $3.45-3.50, or a 6-7% gross spread, and an 18-23% annualised. This is still being done too cheaply, given the large...

David Blennerhassett

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