Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index benchmark has been expected to see an increase in names and flows to Healthcare. We have only one ADD (IT/tech) and one DELETE.</li>
<li>But the headlined DELETE candidate in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-for-hang-seng-index-jun-24-could-country-garden-services-get-deleted" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the most recent Quiddity Leaderboard</a> was chosen to be deleted. And the ADD one of our top two.</li>
<li>Flows are somewhat restrained at capping flows, small name change flows, and then a few FFW/FAF changes to be about 1.9% one-way flows in total.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index benchmark has been expected to see an increase in names and flows to Healthcare. We have only one ADD (IT/tech) and one DELETE.
But the headlined DELETE candidate in the most recent Quiddity Leaderboard was chosen to be deleted. And the ADD one of our top two.
Flows are somewhat restrained at capping flows, small name change flows, and then a few FFW/FAF changes to be about 1.9% one-way flows in total.


HSI June 2024 Rebal - BYD Electronics (285) ADDed, Cogard Svcs (6098) DELETEd, and Capping Flows

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. </li>
<li>Heavy-Weights like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.</li>
</ul>


Surging by 19.4% since the trough on 19-Apr, the HSI is now only 3.2% shy away from the psychological resistance of 20,000. We look at some potential profit-taking names. 
Heavy-Weights like Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) are among the best-performing ones YTD and since the trough. Hence they are more exposed, particularly for Meituan.

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and ENN Energy (2688 HK) are another two on the list. Their valuations are no longer inexpensive relative to 3-year earnings CAGR.


HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.0% as of May 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -7.0ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, communication services and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Petrochina, CGN Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power, Cansino, Pharmaron.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.0% as of May 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by -7.0ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, communication services and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Petrochina, CGN Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power, Cansino, Pharmaron.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 10th): 19 Stocks at 52w Low

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>The 5-1 golden week holidays remain mixed, sales growth is resilient but the underlying are weak (traffic, ASP, discounts and margins), hence we stay conservative on the 2Q24E outlook.</li><li>Overall speaking, with the weak macro environment (e.g. dilution from outbound tourism, property prices and unemployment concerns), achieving such tourism sales growth (at roughly 7.6% YoY) and retail sales growth (at around 6.8% YoY) are already satisfying.</li><li>However, overhangs such as: 1) weak purchasing power per person, 2) drags on margin due to price wars and 3) potentially weak post holidays consumptions are still there. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The 5-1 golden week holidays remain mixed, sales growth is resilient but the underlying are weak (traffic, ASP, discounts and margins), hence we stay conservative on the 2Q24E outlook.Overall speaking, with the weak macro environment (e.g. dilution from outbound tourism, property prices and unemployment concerns), achieving such tourism sales growth (at roughly 7.6% YoY) and retail sales growth (at around 6.8% YoY) are already satisfying.However, overhangs such as: 1) weak purchasing power per person, 2) drags on margin due to price wars and 3) potentially weak post holidays consumptions are still there. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary - Cautiously Optimistic After a Mixed Golden Week

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

China

Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes appliances. The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers, small household electrical appliances, and other related products. Haier Smart Home markets its products domestically and internationally.

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

TCL Corporation manufactures electronic products, telecommunication products, home appliances, and electrical products.  The Company's products include televisions, mobile phones, personal computers, air-conditioners, washing machines, refrigerators, and other related products.

Hang Zhou Great Star Industrial Company Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells hand tools hardware products. The Company's products are hand tools and electric hand-held tools.

Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co., (002444 CH)

Zhejiang Supor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cookware and home appliance products. The Company produces non-stick pans, pressure cookers, stainless steel cookware, rice cookers, air purifiers, thermos cups, and more. Zhejiang Supor markets its to Japan, Europe, and South East Asia.

Hisense Visual Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic products and household electrical appliances.  The Company's products include television sets, refrigerators, freezers, communication products.

Hisense Visual Technology Co., Ltd. A (600060 CH)

Oppein Home Group Inc. manufactures household furniture products. The Company designs, produces, and sells kitchen cabinets, wardrobes, wooden doors, bathroom products, and other home decoration products. Oppein Home Group markets its products worldwide.

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells household appliances. The Company produces refrigerators, air conditioners, freezers, and other equipment. Hisense Home Appliances Group markets its products worldwide.

Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921 CH)

Hangzhou Robam Appliances Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells household electrical kitchen appliances. The Company's major products include range hoods, gas stoves, disinfection cabinets, electric pressure cookers, induction cookers, electric kettles and food processing machines.

Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. develops, designs, manufactures and sells consumer electronics.  The Company's products include LCD television, digital set-top box, disc player, and multimedia audio system.

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

Sekisui House, Ltd. builds and sells steel-frame and wooden housings. The Company constructs single-family houses, condominiums, and apartment buildings.  Sekisui House also operates real estate brokerage and leasing businesses.  Additionally, the Company sells construction materials.

Techtronic Industries Company Limited designs, manufactures, and markets power tools, outdoor power equipment, accessories, hand tools, layout and measuring tools, and floorcare and appliances. The Company's products are used by consumers, professional, and industrial users in the home improvement, repair, and construction industries.

Toll Brothers, Inc. builds luxury homes, serving both move-up and empty nester buyers in several regions of the United States.  The Company builds customized single and attached homes, primarily on land that it develops and improves. Toll Brothers also operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, security, landscape, insurance brokerage, and manufacturing operations.

Tempur Sealy International Inc., through its primary subsidiary manufactures and markets foam mattresses, pillows, and miscellaneous products under its own and other brand names.

LG Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets digital display equipment and home appliances. The Company produces and markets flat panel televisions, A/V products, washing machines, air conditioners and refrigerators as well as telecommunications equipment such as smart phones and tablets.

TopBuild Corp. provides insulation installation services. The Company offers residential insulation products and related accessories. TopBuild serves customers in the United States.

D.R. Horton, Inc. constructs and sells single-family homes designed primarily for the entry-level and move-up markets.  The Company operates in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Southwest, and Western regions of the United States. D.R. Horton also, through its financial services operations, provide mortgage financing and title agency services to homebuyers.

NVR, Inc. builds and markets homes and conducts mortgage banking activities. The Company builds single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and other tradenames.  NVR provides a number of mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers and to other customers through its mortgage banking operations.

PulteGroup Inc. sells and constructs homes, and purchases, develops, and sells residential land and develops active adult communities.  The Company also provides mortgage financing, title insurance, and other services to home buyers. Pulte has operations in various markets across the United States and Puerto Rico.

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Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)

HSI June 2024 Rebal - BYD Electronics (285) ADDed, Cogard Svcs (6098) DELETEd, and Capping Flows

Hang Seng rebals are usually difficult to predict because the whims and fancies of the index committee are tough to know. We got the DELETE right....

Travis Lundy

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (May 10th): 19 Stocks at 52w Low

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Petrochina, CGN Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Consumer Discretionary - Cautiously Optimistic After a Mixed Golden Week

The 5-1 golden week holidays remain mixed, sales growth is resilient but the underlying are weak (traffic, ASP, discounts and margins), hence we...

CMB International

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI June 2024 Rebal - BYD Electronics (285) ADDed, Cogard Svcs (6098) DELETEd, and Capping Flows

Hang Seng rebals are usually difficult to predict because the whims and fancies of the index committee are tough to know. We got the DELETE right....

Travis Lundy

HK Strategy: To Sell or Not to Sell, that Is the Question

​HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (May 10th): 19 Stocks at 52w Low

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Petrochina, CGN Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Consumer Discretionary - Cautiously Optimistic After a Mixed Golden Week

The 5-1 golden week holidays remain mixed, sales growth is resilient but the underlying are weak (traffic, ASP, discounts and margins), hence we...

CMB International

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSI surges by 19.4% nearing the 20,000 resistance, potential profit-taking names include Meituan, Tencent, Haidilao, and ENN Energy due to strong...