Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JL Mag Rare-Earth   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing.  </li>
<li>JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance, and try to gauge a suitable A/H premium.</li>
</ul>


JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing.  
JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance, and try to gauge a suitable A/H premium.


JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - Ticks the Right EV and Clean Energy Boxes, Thoughts on Valuation

Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Equity Bottom-Up

In 5M, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a>  China received ~72K orders for MIC M3, plus 22K backlog orders exiting 2020.  GF3 made 103K M3 in 5M, among which 69K were delivered in China and 29K were exported.  The estimated order backlog exiting May was ~25K, slightly down from 26K backlog exiting April.  Excess production at the GF3 has been exported to markets around the world.  If TSLA China does not implement effective promotional programs and or policies to stimulate demand, we estimate that MIC 3 orders will stagnate around 9K per month, vs. monthly production of ~21K.  In other words, MIC 3 exports are likely to increase MoM due to the lower cost structure including BoM of MIC cars.

In 5M, Tesla Motors (TSLA US)  China received ~72K orders for MIC M3, plus 22K backlog orders exiting 2020.  GF3 made 103K M3 in 5M, among which 69K were delivered in China and 29K were exported.  The estimated order backlog exiting May was ~25K, slightly down from 26K backlog exiting April.  Excess production at the GF3 has been exported to markets around the world.  If TSLA China does not implement effective promotional programs and or policies to stimulate demand, we estimate that MIC 3 orders will stagnate around 9K per month, vs. monthly production of ~21K.  In other words, MIC 3 exports are likely to increase MoM due to the lower cost structure including BoM of MIC cars.

President, Vision Research

Robert C Prather Jr

President

Vision Research

Vision Research was formed in 2004 with the vision of generating the best possible fundamental analysis and investment research for smid cap US equities. In 2008, we broadened our coverage to include mid/large cap US stocks.  After researching a  few ideas outside the US each year for a number of years, we launched a dedicated non-US equity product at the end of 2015.  This was followed by the introduction of a product focused on IPOs in mid-2017.

Fundamental Insight

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-electronics-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4877:1" rel="noopener">Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)</a> were stealing share from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electrolux-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22351:1" rel="noopener">Electrolux AB (ELUXB SS)</a> prior to the pandemic.  After pandemic induced demand surge subsides, Vision expects these market share headwinds to revive while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electrolux-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22351:1" rel="noopener">Electrolux AB (ELUXB SS)</a> faces difficult comparisons leading to weak top line growth and rising commodity costs weigh on profits.

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) , LG Electronics (066570 KS), and Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK) were stealing share from Electrolux AB (ELUXB SS) prior to the pandemic.  After pandemic induced demand surge subsides, Vision expects these market share headwinds to revive while Electrolux AB (ELUXB SS) faces difficult comparisons leading to weak top line growth and rising commodity costs weigh on profits.

Electrolux (ELUXB SS): Asian Competitors, Difficult Comps, & Rising Commodity Costs Create Headwinds

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

On the 31 July this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-electronics-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4877:1" rel="noopener">Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)</a> (HEG) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0731/2020073101131.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Scheme such that HEG shareholders would receive 1.6 new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7196:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (600690 CH)</a> (HSH) H shares plus HK$1.95 in cash. 
HEG's shares were suspended on the 11 December subsequent to its privatisation, with an implied look-through discount for HSH's H shares to the As of  30.4%.
The Hs received by HEG shareholders commenced trading under the code <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> on the 23 December with a closing discount to the As of 22.1%. It is 21.6% as I type. This is not sustainable. This compares to a basket of liquid H/As of 44%.
More below the fold.

On the 31 July this year, Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK) (HEG) announced a pre-conditional Scheme such that HEG shareholders would receive 1.6 new Haier Smart Home (600690 CH) (HSH) H shares plus HK$1.95 in cash. 
HEG's shares were suspended on the 11 December subsequent to its privatisation, with an implied look-through discount for HSH's H shares to the As of  30.4%.
The Hs received by HEG shareholders commenced trading under the code Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) on the 23 December with a closing discount to the As of 22.1%. It is 21.6% as I type. This is not sustainable. This compares to a basket of liquid H/As of 44%.
More below the fold.

Haier Smart Homes (6690 HK): H-Shares Trading Tight To A-Shares

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>The main competitor, Huawei Group, decided to sell one of its two smartphone brands.</li>
<li>Xiaomi took all the smartphone market share that Huawei Group left behind.</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s revenue growth rate jumped to 35% yoy in 3Q20 versus 3% yoy in 2Q20.</li>
<li>However, so far, we believe the company is slightly overvalued.</li>
</ul>


The main competitor, Huawei Group, decided to sell one of its two smartphone brands.
Xiaomi took all the smartphone market share that Huawei Group left behind.
Xiaomi’s revenue growth rate jumped to 35% yoy in 3Q20 versus 3% yoy in 2Q20.
However, so far, we believe the company is slightly overvalued.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Taking Advantage of Huawei’s Sale of Smartphone Brand, But Overvalued

Hong Kong

Haier Electronics Group Co Ltd and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the research, development, manufacture and sale of washing machines and water heaters in the PRC. The Group is also engaged in the integrated channel services  business for other home electric appliance products such as refrigerators, televisions and air-conditioners.

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Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - Ticks the Right EV and Clean Energy Boxes, Thoughts on Valuation

JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we look at the deal dynamics and provide our...

Sumeet Singh

TSLA China Losing to Chinese NEV OEMs

TSLA will begin to experience excess production of the Y in the next couple of months, as the China order backlog wanes from 43KQ1 to 17K Q2. Y...

JL Warren Capital

Electrolux (ELUXB SS): Asian Competitors, Difficult Comps, & Rising Commodity Costs Create Headwinds

Appliance manufacturer facing intense Asian competition causing weak organic revenue pre-COVID that should resume post-COVID. Difficult comps and...

Robert C Prather Jr

Haier Smart Homes (6690 HK): H-Shares Trading Tight To A-Shares

basket of liquid A/Hs trade at 44% discount and one of HSH's closest peers is at 37%. The trade here is to short Hs and go long the As, with a...

David Blennerhassett

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Taking Advantage of Huawei’s Sale of Smartphone Brand, But Overvalued

The main competitor, Huawei Group, decided to sell one of its two smartphone brands. Xiaomi took all the smartphone market share that Huawei Group...

Ming Lu

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