Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13644" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13644:1">Coach Inc (COH US)</a> fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16 earnings results on the morning of August 9th. We remain bearish on the stock; in our view, the Street's sales and earnings estimates for FY17 and FY18 remain far too optimistic given weaker spending by Asian tourists in the US and overly aggressive Street assumptions for Japanese and Chinese consumer spending. We also believe that COH will struggle to…</p>

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16 earnings results on the morning of August 9th. We remain bearish on the stock; in our view, the Street's sales and earnings estimates for FY17 and FY18 remain far too optimistic given weaker spending by Asian tourists in the US and overly aggressive Street assumptions for Japanese and Chinese consumer spending. We also believe that COH will struggle to…

July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

The accounting research firm, GMT Research

Lisa Mangkornkarn

The accounting research firm

GMT Research

GMT Research provides independent insight into markets, sectors and companies throughout Asia. Our unique method of mining a comprehensive collection of corporate financial statements for key data allows us to evaluate the financial health of a company, sectors and the market at large. We also investigate the application of accounting standards by companies and sectors, shedding light on the quality of reported profits. Armed with this information, we help investment professionals navigate the financial landscape.

<p>Given that related party transactions are somewhat of a national sport in Asia and a key component of most accounting frauds, it is somewhat surprising that no-one’s gone through and detailed each company’s involvement in them. Well, that is until now. Yes, we locked two analysts in a room and told them to download the annual reports of every company with a market capitalisation over US$1bn in Hong Kong and Singapore, around 360 of them. They were then instructed to trawl through each annual report and calculate related party transactions as a percentage of sales and expenses. Three weeks later our analysts emerged somewhat paler and thinner. Their results are cause for concern.</p>

Given that related party transactions are somewhat of a national sport in Asia and a key component of most accounting frauds, it is somewhat surprising that no-one’s gone through and detailed each company’s involvement in them. Well, that is until now. Yes, we locked two analysts in a room and told them to download the annual reports of every company with a market capitalisation over US$1bn in Hong Kong and Singapore, around 360 of them. They were then instructed to trawl through each annual report and calculate related party transactions as a percentage of sales and expenses. Three weeks later our analysts emerged somewhat paler and thinner. Their results are cause for concern.

RELATED PARTIES: Family Games in HK and SG

Hong Kong

Haier Electronics Group Co Ltd and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the research, development, manufacture and sale of washing machines and water heaters in the PRC. The Group is also engaged in the integrated channel services  business for other home electric appliance products such as refrigerators, televisions and air-conditioners.

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Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK)

July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16...

Daniel Hellberg

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16...

Daniel Hellberg

RELATED PARTIES: Family Games in HK and SG

Given that related party transactions are somewhat of a national sport in Asia and a key component of most accounting frauds, it is somewhat...

GMT Research