Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

Haidilao International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Haidilao issued a positive profit alert last Friday which beat our and market expectations by a big margin. Profitability improved  mainly due to shutting restaurants and labor optimization. </li>
<li>We expect the news and the street's earnings revision will drive near-term stock rally. </li>
<li>That said, growth challenges remain and will be under spotlight during 2023-24. The expected stock rally will just build more expectations in the price. Take profit from the rally. </li>
</ul>


Haidilao issued a positive profit alert last Friday which beat our and market expectations by a big margin. Profitability improved  mainly due to shutting restaurants and labor optimization. 
We expect the news and the street's earnings revision will drive near-term stock rally. 
That said, growth challenges remain and will be under spotlight during 2023-24. The expected stock rally will just build more expectations in the price. Take profit from the rally. 


Haidilao (6862.HK): Growth Concerns Remain Despite Positive Profit Alert. Take Profit on Rally.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.</li>
</ul>


As expected, XPeng (9868 HK) replaces China Feihe (6186 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 10 March.
Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.
Short interest on XPeng (9868 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK) is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing, Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, China Construction Bank, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, Li Ning.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing, Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, China Construction Bank, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, Li Ning.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 10th): Meituan, HKEx, ICBC, CCB, Kuaishou, Tencent, Li Ning

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Sensetime, Tencent, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Sensetime, Tencent, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 3rd): Meituan, Sensetime, Tencent, CCB, HKEx

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

Haidilao (6862.HK): Growth Concerns Remain Despite Positive Profit Alert. Take Profit on Rally.

Despite its strong positive profit alert, long-term growth concerns remain for Haidilao. Near-term share price rally provides an opportunity to...

Eric Chen

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Xpeng replaces China Feihe in the HSCEI at the close on 10 March. Li Auto is the biggest gainer following a change in index handling for dual...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight inflows for Meituan, Xiaomi and outflows from Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 10th): Meituan, HKEx, ICBC, CCB, Kuaishou, Tencent, Li Ning

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, HKEx, ICBC, CCB, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, Li...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 3rd): Meituan, Sensetime, Tencent, CCB, HKEx

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, Sensetime, Tencent, China Construction Bank, Hong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)