Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Haidilao International Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 11 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a> announced it would propose to spin off its international restaurant business (13-15% of revenue) to shareholders and employees. Shareholders approved in August.</li>
<li>There were interim announcements and indeed interim reports with some information, but not a lot. But Super Hi International Holding was headed for separate listing in HK. </li>
<li>Last week, Haidilao said it was going ahead with a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1205/2022120501887.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listing by Introduction</a> pending listing approval by HKEX. Haidilao shares go ex- 16 December. Index providers have announced treatment.</li>
</ul>


On 11 July, Haidilao (6862 HK) announced it would propose to spin off its international restaurant business (13-15% of revenue) to shareholders and employees. Shareholders approved in August.
There were interim announcements and indeed interim reports with some information, but not a lot. But Super Hi International Holding was headed for separate listing in HK. 
Last week, Haidilao said it was going ahead with a Listing by Introduction pending listing approval by HKEX. Haidilao shares go ex- 16 December. Index providers have announced treatment.


Haidilao's Imminent SpinOff of the Super Hi Overseas Business - Index Treatment and Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards</a> is looking to raise around US$117m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Sula Vineyards (SV) distributes wines under a bouquet of brands. In addition to its flagship brand “Sula,” popular brands include “RASA,” “Dindori”, “The source,” “Satori”, “Madera” &amp; “Dia”. </li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about recent updates and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Sula Vineyards is looking to raise around US$117m in its upcoming India IPO.
Sula Vineyards (SV) distributes wines under a bouquet of brands. In addition to its flagship brand “Sula,” popular brands include “RASA,” “Dindori”, “The source,” “Satori”, “Madera” &amp; “Dia”. 
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about recent updates and valuations.


Sula Vineyards IPO - Does Offer a Unique Exposure with Lots of Ifs and Buts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling treatment for Secondary Listings and Dual Primary Listings from the next rebalance in March.</li>
<li>The changes could lead to an increase in the index weighting for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>The improved rankings for the Secondary and Dual Primary listings will lead to other changes to the index in March.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling treatment for Secondary Listings and Dual Primary Listings from the next rebalance in March.
The changes could lead to an increase in the index weighting for Li Auto (2015 HK) and the inclusion of XPeng (9868 HK) at the March rebalance.
The improved rankings for the Secondary and Dual Primary listings will lead to other changes to the index in March.


HSCEI: Index Handling Changes for Secondary & Dual-Primary Listings

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 2nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, GCL, Haidilao, Wharf, Haichang Ocean Park, Xiaomi, China Gas, Netease.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 2nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, GCL, Haidilao, Wharf, Haichang Ocean Park, Xiaomi, China Gas, Netease.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, GCL, Haidilao

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the March rebalance, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.64% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.02bn with passives needing to buy 1x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy</a> and selling 1.7x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe</a>.</li>
<li>The change will lead to an increase in the fair value of the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures by over 3 DIPS. Could be more if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua</a> pays a special.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the March rebalance, we see China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) replacing China Feihe (6186 HK) in the HSCEI INDEX.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.64% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.02bn with passives needing to buy 1x ADV on China Shenhua Energy and selling 1.7x ADV on China Feihe.
The change will lead to an increase in the fair value of the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures by over 3 DIPS. Could be more if China Shenhua pays a special.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

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Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

Haidilao's Imminent SpinOff of the Super Hi Overseas Business - Index Treatment and Implications

Haidilao will spin off its overseas business, with shares going ex- on Friday. Index Providers are preparing for a non-cash distribution of...

Travis Lundy

Sula Vineyards IPO - Does Offer a Unique Exposure with Lots of Ifs and Buts

Sula Vineyards is looking to raise around US$117m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and valuations.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI: Index Handling Changes for Secondary & Dual-Primary Listings

Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling for Secondary and Dual Primary Listings. Xpeng could be added to the HSCEI in March replacing...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, GCL, Haidilao

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 2nd and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, GCL, Haidilao,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

China Shenhua could replace China Feihe in March. Short interest has been dropping on both stocks and passives need to trade 1-2x ADV on the...

Brian Freitas

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