Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Post market close on 28 May, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There are 25 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.67%.There are 10 trading days to implementation of the changes. There are 4 inclusions that will have over 1 day of ADV to buy from passive funds while there are 15 deletions that will have over 1 day of ADV to sell. The actual impact could be higher as cash and carry baskets are rebalanced and active managers reposition their portfolios to no deviate too far from their benchmark.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions by 15% over the last month and while there could be a pop in the returns over the next few sessions, we recommend gradually exiting existing positions and re-entering prior to implementation on a selloff in the trade.

Post market close on 28 May, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There are 25 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.67%.There are 10 trading days to implementation of the changes. There are 4 inclusions that will have over 1 day of ADV to buy from passive funds while there are 15 deletions that will have over 1 day of ADV to sell. The actual impact could be higher as cash and carry baskets are rebalanced and active managers reposition their portfolios to no deviate too far from their benchmark.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions by 15% over the last month and while there could be a pop in the returns over the next few sessions, we recommend gradually exiting existing positions and re-entering prior to implementation on a selloff in the trade.

CSI300 Index Rebalance: 25 Changes as Long/Short Trade Does Well

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa / Event-Driven

We are nearly 95% through the review period for the June review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>. With a large AUM in ETFs tracking the index, large open interest on the CFFEX listed futures, and volatile stocks, it could pay to look at the potential changes to the index.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.08% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 10.8bn.The expected inclusions have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> on a year to date basis even post the momentum selloff that started in February. Buying the inclusion basket vs selling the CSI300 futures as a hedge could provide good market neutral returns over the next few weeks.

We are nearly 95% through the review period for the June review of the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX). With a large AUM in ETFs tracking the index, large open interest on the CFFEX listed futures, and volatile stocks, it could pay to look at the potential changes to the index.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.08% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 10.8bn.The expected inclusions have outperformed the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) on a year to date basis even post the momentum selloff that started in February. Buying the inclusion basket vs selling the CSI300 futures as a hedge could provide good market neutral returns over the next few weeks.

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Recovering from the Growth Sell-Off

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kindstar Globalgene Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Kindstar is a leading esoteric test service provider in China. The company has a dominant market in the independent hematological test segment and is looking to raise up to USD 200m in  H-share listing in Hong Kong. In our previous note, we discussed Kindstar's business segment. The company has a strong footprint in the hematology test segment with the majority of its revenue is derived from the hematological tests, particularly for lymphoma and myeloma related diseases. The company is relatively weak in other areas such as oncology and maternity related businesses. We think the company can continue to grow the existing pie of hematological tests for which the public hospitals do not want to invest in the test equipment and processes but it will be challenging for the company to expand the business into the area where public hospitals are willing to invest in. We think the company has a decent line-up of investors but there is still a lack of international healthcare investors. The management's experience is also decent.In this note, we compare the company's key financial metrics with other leading listed ICL. We also discuss the company's pre-IPO valuation in the context of its growth potential and concerns we raised in our previous note.<h2>Our previous coverage on Kindstar</h2><ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kindstar-pre-ipo-issues-with-scalability" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kindstar (康圣环球) Pre-IPO: Issues with Scalability</a></li></ul>

Kindstar is a leading esoteric test service provider in China. The company has a dominant market in the independent hematological test segment and is looking to raise up to USD 200m in  H-share listing in Hong Kong. In our previous note, we discussed Kindstar's business segment. The company has a strong footprint in the hematology test segment with the majority of its revenue is derived from the hematological tests, particularly for lymphoma and myeloma related diseases. The company is relatively weak in other areas such as oncology and maternity related businesses. We think the company can continue to grow the existing pie of hematological tests for which the public hospitals do not want to invest in the test equipment and processes but it will be challenging for the company to expand the business into the area where public hospitals are willing to invest in. We think the company has a decent line-up of investors but there is still a lack of international healthcare investors. The management's experience is also decent.In this note, we compare the company's key financial metrics with other leading listed ICL. We also discuss the company's pre-IPO valuation in the context of its growth potential and concerns we raised in our previous note.Our previous coverage on KindstarKindstar (康圣环球) Pre-IPO: Issues with Scalability

Kindstar (康圣环球) Pre-IPO: Is It Worth the Premium?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics / Equity Bottom-Up

With the deepening of medical reform and the implementation of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment, medical institutions are facing greater demands for clinical auxiliary diagnosis. At the same time, the DRG (Diagnosis Related Groups) policy has been simulated in 30 pilot cities across the country, and will be implemented in 2021. With the continuous promotion of medical insurance fee control policies such as DRG, the clinical labs in hospitals have been transformed from profit centers to cost centers. As a result, more and more hospitals have begun to consider outsourcing some high-cost inspection projects to independent clinical laboratory (ICL). In ICL, in terms of the current scale, operation capability and the performance in COVID-19, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-kingmed-diagnostics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30257:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-dian-diagnostics-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19115:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics A (300244 CH)</a> are top two companies in China. So what is the difference between the two and which one is better?

With the deepening of medical reform and the implementation of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment, medical institutions are facing greater demands for clinical auxiliary diagnosis. At the same time, the DRG (Diagnosis Related Groups) policy has been simulated in 30 pilot cities across the country, and will be implemented in 2021. With the continuous promotion of medical insurance fee control policies such as DRG, the clinical labs in hospitals have been transformed from profit centers to cost centers. As a result, more and more hospitals have begun to consider outsourcing some high-cost inspection projects to independent clinical laboratory (ICL). In ICL, in terms of the current scale, operation capability and the performance in COVID-19, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH) and Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics A (300244 CH) are top two companies in China. So what is the difference between the two and which one is better?

Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH) Vs Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH) - Which One Is Better?

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There were 21 changes to the index at the June 2020 review and 26 changes at the December 2020 review. We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.56%.With passive tracking products holding around US$32bn of AUM, plus another US$53bn in open interest on the listed futures, plus active managers benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>, there could be significant moves in the inclusion/exclusion names from now to the end of the review period. There will only be 9-10 trading days between the announcement of the changes and the implementation, so having a pre-position should pay off. There should not be too many changes in the possible list of inclusions and exclusions due to the averaging process over the last year of trading.

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There were 21 changes to the index at the June 2020 review and 26 changes at the December 2020 review. We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.56%.With passive tracking products holding around US$32bn of AUM, plus another US$53bn in open interest on the listed futures, plus active managers benchmarked to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX), there could be significant moves in the inclusion/exclusion names from now to the end of the review period. There will only be 9-10 trading days between the announcement of the changes and the implementation, so having a pre-position should pay off. There should not be too many changes in the possible list of inclusions and exclusions due to the averaging process over the last year of trading.

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Number of Changes

China

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. operates as a medical laboratory. The Company provides clinical testing, pathology diagnosis outsourcing, and other services. Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group provides services to various medical institutions including hospitals, maternal, child health centers, health centers, and other places.

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)

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Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance: 25 Changes as Long/Short Trade Does Well

There are 25 changes to the CSI300 Index that will be implemented at the close on 11 June. One-way turnover is 3.67% and the adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Recovering from the Growth Sell-Off

We forecast 30 changes to the CSI300 Index at the June review that will be announced at the end of May and effective 11 June. The expected...

Brian Freitas

Kindstar (康圣环球) Pre-IPO: Is It Worth the Premium?

We compare the company's key financial metrics with other leading listed ICL. We also discuss the company's pre-IPO valuation in the context of its...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH) Vs Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH) - Which One Is Better?

This article analyzed Kingmed and Dian in terms of business scope (no. of labs & testing items...), revenue, profitability, debt...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Number of Changes

We see 30 potential inclusions/exclusions to the CSI300 index at the June review that will become effective COB 11 June. With a lot of benchmarked...

Brian Freitas

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