HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2023 would be a low point in performance for Kingmed, with negative YoY growth. But this year is a good time to bottom-fish because non-COVID conventional testing business would rebound.</li>
<li>Many people think the implementation of DRGs policy would be a big catalyst for future growth of ICL industry, but we’re actually skeptical since the reality could be quite different.</li>
<li>The different business models of Kingmed and Dian lead to different valuation outlook. Since the current duopoly pattern is difficult to change, we recommend investors focus only on top two ICLs.</li>
</ul>


2023 would be a low point in performance for Kingmed, with negative YoY growth. But this year is a good time to bottom-fish because non-COVID conventional testing business would rebound.
Many people think the implementation of DRGs policy would be a big catalyst for future growth of ICL industry, but we’re actually skeptical since the reality could be quite different.
The different business models of Kingmed and Dian lead to different valuation outlook. Since the current duopoly pattern is difficult to change, we recommend investors focus only on top two ICLs.


Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882.CH) - There Is Still Investment Value that Cannot Be Ignored

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.</li>
<li>The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF.</li>
</ul>


It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.
The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.
There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

<ul>
<li>There are 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.</li>
<li>While nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts, there are some stocks that have not been added or deleted as the index committee has used discretion.</li>
<li>The Energy sector is the biggest gainer in terms of index spots, while the Consumer Discretionary and Health Care sectors lose two index spots each.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.
While nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts, there are some stocks that have not been added or deleted as the index committee has used discretion.
The Energy sector is the biggest gainer in terms of index spots, while the Consumer Discretionary and Health Care sectors lose two index spots each.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Discretion Used

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 4 trading days to go the review period, we see 13 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.94% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.05bn.</li>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, the gap between the potential adds and deletes could narrow ahead of the announcement of the changes as pre-positions are built.</li>
</ul>


With 4 trading days to go the review period, we see 13 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.94% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.05bn.
With the review period nearly complete, the gap between the potential adds and deletes could narrow ahead of the announcement of the changes as pre-positions are built.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Nearly Complete

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

ADICON Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a> is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$400 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>Adicon is the third largest independent clinical laboratories (ICL) service provider in China, with an 8.6% market share of the non-COVID-19 testing market in 2021, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on the growing non-COVID-19 testing addressable market, improving market sentiment, strong non-COVID-19 testing growth, stable EBITDA margin and cash generation. </li>
</ul>



ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK) is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$400 million, according to press reports.
Adicon is the third largest independent clinical laboratories (ICL) service provider in China, with an 8.6% market share of the non-COVID-19 testing market in 2021, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the bull case rest on the growing non-COVID-19 testing addressable market, improving market sentiment, strong non-COVID-19 testing growth, stable EBITDA margin and cash generation. 


China

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. operates as a medical laboratory. The Company provides clinical testing, pathology diagnosis outsourcing, and other services. Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group provides services to various medical institutions including hospitals, maternal, child health centers, health centers, and other places.

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)

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Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH)