Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up</li><li>Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market</li><li>Trending in China: Good samaritans ‘coldly’ told to self-isolate after helping with overturned ambulance</li></ul>

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay upRecord numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job marketTrending in China: Good samaritans ‘coldly’ told to self-isolate after helping with overturned ambulance

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Honda Motor Co. Ltd.’s Chinese unit will set up a new joint venture with two Chinese partners to procure electric vehicle batteries from battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL)</li><li>The joint venture will be 50% owned by Honda Motor (China) Investment Co. Ltd. and 25% each by Dongfeng Motor Corp. Ltd. and Guangzhou Automobile Group Co. Ltd. (GAC)</li><li>Honda’s joint ventures with Dongfeng and Guangzhou Automobile already use CATL batteries in electric cars made in China</li></ul>

Honda Motor Co. Ltd.’s Chinese unit will set up a new joint venture with two Chinese partners to procure electric vehicle batteries from battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL)The joint venture will be 50% owned by Honda Motor (China) Investment Co. Ltd. and 25% each by Dongfeng Motor Corp. Ltd. and Guangzhou Automobile Group Co. Ltd. (GAC)Honda’s joint ventures with Dongfeng and Guangzhou Automobile already use CATL batteries in electric cars made in China

Honda Sets Up New Venture to Procure Batteries From CATL

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (CALBLZ CH)</a>, a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/calb-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80243" rel="noopener">CALB IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.   </li>
</ul>



CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
In CALB IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.   


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>’s shares declined by -8% on <a href="https://di.hkex.com.hk/di/NSForm2.aspx?fn=CS20220829E00231&amp;amp;sa2=ns&amp;amp;sid=2508&amp;amp;sd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;ed=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sa1=cl&amp;amp;scsd=30/08/2021&amp;amp;sced=30/08/2022&amp;amp;sc=01211&amp;amp;src=Main&amp;amp;lang=EN&amp;amp;tk=ds" target="_blank" rel="noopener">disclosure</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. </li>
<li>Berkshire will likely follow its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “a decision based on valuation.”</li>
<li>Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK)’s shares declined by -8% on disclosure that Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) trimmed its stake from 20.04% to 19.92% of outstanding H Shares. 
Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina (857 HK) playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. Buffet stated that the PetroChina exit was “a decision based on valuation.”
Berkshire will apply the same investment discipline to the BYD stake. While the shares are trading at a discount to historical multiples, the Berkshire stake is an overhang.


Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.</li>
<li>The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.
The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.
We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. 


A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Price Gauge
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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up. Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market

Caixin Global

Honda Sets Up New Venture to Procure Batteries From CATL

Honda Motor Co. Ltd.’s Chinese unit will set up a new joint venture with two Chinese partners to procure electric vehicle batteries from battery...

Caixin Global

CALB IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.

Arun George

Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. While the valuation is undemanding, the...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: How China Is Trying To Get Debt Dodgers To Pay Up

In Depth: How China is trying to get debt dodgers to pay up. Record numbers apply for China’s teachers exam amid bleak job market

Caixin Global

Honda Sets Up New Venture to Procure Batteries From CATL

Honda Motor Co. Ltd.’s Chinese unit will set up a new joint venture with two Chinese partners to procure electric vehicle batteries from battery...

Caixin Global

CALB IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.

Arun George

Berkshire BYD’s Selldown Likely to Follow Its PetroChina Playbook

Berkshire will likely follow its PetroChina playbook and materially sell down over the next few months. While the valuation is undemanding, the...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt wow with stock highlight for Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM