External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 43% YoY in Jan 2023, in line with our prior forecast of 44% YoY decline.</li><li>Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and higher export volume.</li><li>PV exports only fell 9% MoM to about 250,000 units in Jan 2023. Automakers only cut about 26,000 units of inventories in their dealers’ showrooms in Jan 2023 based on our calculations, despite early Chinese New Year, which has led to more than two months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Feb and Mar 2023. I</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 43% YoY in Jan 2023, in line with our prior forecast of 44% YoY decline.Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and higher export volume.PV exports only fell 9% MoM to about 250,000 units in Jan 2023. Automakers only cut about 26,000 units of inventories in their dealers’ showrooms in Jan 2023 based on our calculations, despite early Chinese New Year, which has led to more than two months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Feb and Mar 2023. IContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Inventory risk could lead to a bumpy recovery

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Feb 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Feb 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 10th): Premium Compressed for Utilities

<ul><li>Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 22% YoY (ranged from -86% to +449%) and dropped 42% MoM (ranged from -87% to -23%)</li><li>Li Auto beat, NIO and Xpeng miss. Li Auto delivered over 15,000 units in Jan 2023, exceeding some investors’ expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2023.Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 22% YoY (ranged from -86% to +449%) and dropped 42% MoM (ranged from -87% to -23%)Li Auto beat, NIO and Xpeng miss. Li Auto delivered over 15,000 units in Jan 2023, exceeding some investors’ expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV likely in line or slightly miss; Li Auto beat

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. We project GAC’s 4Q22 net profit to decline 21% YoY to RMB 1.6bn as we expect its gross profit to fall 7% YoY and equity income from joint ventures (JVs) and associates to decline 13% YoY.</li><li>We are still of the view that GAC’s valuation is attractive and it is a defensive player in a volatile market.</li><li>Net profit in 4Q22 likely to fall YoY and QoQ. We project GAC’s 4Q22 net profit to fall 21% YoY to RMB 1.6bn amid 6% YoY decline in its total sales volume.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. We project GAC’s 4Q22 net profit to decline 21% YoY to RMB 1.6bn as we expect its gross profit to fall 7% YoY and equity income from joint ventures (JVs) and associates to decline 13% YoY.We are still of the view that GAC’s valuation is attractive and it is a defensive player in a volatile market.Net profit in 4Q22 likely to fall YoY and QoQ. We project GAC’s 4Q22 net profit to fall 21% YoY to RMB 1.6bn amid 6% YoY decline in its total sales volume.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) – We Expect 4Q22 NP to Fall on Equity Income

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.8% as of Dec 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by communication services, consumer staples, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, Weichai Power, Baiyunshan, China Telecom, Sinopec Oilfield, Cosco Shipping.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.8% as of Dec 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by communication services, consumer staples, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, Weichai Power, Baiyunshan, China Telecom, Sinopec Oilfield, Cosco Shipping.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 30th): Xinjiang Goldwind, Weichai Power, Baiyunshan

China

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

Jiangling Motors Corp. Ltd. manufactures and sells vehicles and related components.  The Company's main products include JMC series trucks and pickups, and Transit series commercial buses.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells automotive products, provides consulting, automotive testing and evaluation services. The Company's main products include dump trucks, concrete mixer trucks, and sanitation trucks.

China Automotive Engg Rsrch Inst (601965 CH)

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

China Jialing Industrial Co., Ltd. Group manufactures and sells motorcycles and related engines.

China Jialing Industrial Co Ltd (Group) (600877 CH)

Dongfeng Automobile Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, castings, and related spare parts.

Tianjin FAW Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cars, gasoline engines, internal combustion engines, and other automobile parts.

Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co, Ltd. (000927 CH)

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles.  The Company's products include heavyweight touring, custom, and performance motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and general merchandise.  Harley-Davidson also provides motorcycle floor planning and parts and accessories financing to its North American and European dealers.

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS manufactures cars and automobile parts under license from Fiat.  The Group also imports Alfa Romeo and Fiat cars for domestic market and provides financing services.

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes minibuses and sedans in the People's Republic of China.  The Company also manufactures and trades automotive components.

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

Sanyang Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles, motorcycles, and parts. The Company also provides related technical and consulting services.

Thor Industries, Inc. produces and sells a wide range of recreation vehicles.  The Company markets its products through independent dealers located throughout the United States and Canada.  Thor's products are sold under the Airstream Classic, Dutchmen, Skamper, Infinity, Four Winds, Citation, Signature, and other names.

Yulon Motor Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and parts. The Company produces automobiles and trucks in a joint venture with Nissan Motor Company and operates dealerships throughout Taiwan.

Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, trucks, auto parts, and its accessories.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

China Auto Sector – Inventory risk could lead to a bumpy recovery

Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 10th): Premium Compressed for Utilities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV likely in line or slightly miss; Li Auto beat

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on...

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) – We Expect 4Q22 NP to Fall on Equity Income

Net profit in 4Q22 likely to fall YoY and QoQ. We project GAC’s 4Q22 net profit to fall 21% YoY to RMB 1.6bn amid 6% YoY decline in its total sales...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 30th): Xinjiang Goldwind, Weichai Power, Baiyunshan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Xinjiang Goldwind, Weichai Power, Baiyunshan, China Telecom,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)