External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more resilient than expected.</li><li>We project GAC’s FY24E NP to rise 31% YoY to RMB 6.1bn.</li><li>3Q23 earnings beat. GAC’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than our prior forecast while its GPM widened by 4.1 ppts QoQ and beat our projection by 3 ppts. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more resilient than expected.We project GAC’s FY24E NP to rise 31% YoY to RMB 6.1bn.3Q23 earnings beat. GAC’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than our prior forecast while its GPM widened by 4.1 ppts QoQ and beat our projection by 3 ppts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Aion’s Turning Profitable as a Positive Catalyst

<ul><li>We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

<ul><li>Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 52% YoY (ranged from -27% to +213%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -19% to 18%) in Sep 2023.</li><li>Li Auto slightly beat, NIO missed, Xpeng in line. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct 2023.Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 52% YoY (ranged from -27% to +213%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -19% to 18%) in Sep 2023.Li Auto slightly beat, NIO missed, Xpeng in line. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Most NEV Brands’ Sep Sales Volume on Track

China

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.

CMB International

GAC Group (2238 HK) – Aion’s Turning Profitable as a Positive Catalyst

Maintain BUY. GAC’s 3Q23 earnings beat, as Aion turned profitable, which could be a positive catalyst. Equity income from JVs was also more...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Auto Sector – Most NEV Brands’ Sep Sales Volume on Track

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct...

CMB International

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