IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Engineering   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-engineering-ipo-initiation-building-on-good-foundations" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:63360" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations</a>, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.
In Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a>/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  </li>
<li>HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.</li>
<li>HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  
HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.
HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd is EV of 3.3 trillion won, implied market cap of 5.4 trillion won, and target price of 67,475 won per share. </li>
<li>This is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative view of this IPO.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on 6.3x EV/EBITDA valuation multiple using 2022 estimated EBITDA of 526 billion won.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd is EV of 3.3 trillion won, implied market cap of 5.4 trillion won, and target price of 67,475 won per share. 
This is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative view of this IPO.
Our base case valuation is based on 6.3x EV/EBITDA valuation multiple using 2022 estimated EBITDA of 526 billion won.


Hyundai Engineering IPO Valuation Analysis

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.</li>
<li>Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.</li>
<li>However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.</li>
</ul>


The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.
Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.
However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

Short selling has finally resumed in Korea and it has been a busy couple of days on that front with foreign investors piling into stocks that have run up more than their peers over the last year and are potentially overvalued.Long/short pairs could be implemented in Korea during the short sell ban if you had long inventory or if there were listed single stock futures on the short leg.With short selling permitted on constituents of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>, we take a look at long/short pairs where both stocks are members of the index. These pairs belong to the same GICS sub-industry, are correlated and exhibit mean-reversion. We also use short sale data from the last couple of trading sessions to see which stocks are being targeted by short sellers.

Short selling has finally resumed in Korea and it has been a busy couple of days on that front with foreign investors piling into stocks that have run up more than their peers over the last year and are potentially overvalued.Long/short pairs could be implemented in Korea during the short sell ban if you had long inventory or if there were listed single stock futures on the short leg.With short selling permitted on constituents of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX), we take a look at long/short pairs where both stocks are members of the index. These pairs belong to the same GICS sub-industry, are correlated and exhibit mean-reversion. We also use short sale data from the last couple of trading sessions to see which stocks are being targeted by short sellers.

Korea Pair Trades: High Risk/Reward Names with Short Sell Screen

South Korea

GS Engineering & Construction Corp. contracts civil engineering and architectural works, residential and commercial building constructions, and plant installations.  The Company also builds educational, leisure, distribution, and environmental facilities.

GS Engineering & Construction (006360 KS)

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GS Engineering & Construction (006360 KS)

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

HEC has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 bn. Our valuation analysis suggests that HEC is fairly valued at the low end of the IPO price range....

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

HEC is seeking to raise up to $1 billion. HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue...

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Hyundai Engineering Co is 67,475 won per share which is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won. Given the lack...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Hyundai Engineering, another big fish in Korea's local IPO market, put out its listing prospectus. The company offers 16M shares, representing...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Pair Trades: High Risk/Reward Names with Short Sell Screen

With the resumption of short selling in Korea, we highlight correlated pairs from the same GICS sub-industry that are near reversion points and...

Brian Freitas

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