Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, investors have flocked into assets in Asian EMs.</li><li>The question is whether this perception of the relative safety of Asian emerging markets will remain now that valuations in Asian markets have expanded so much. We think a moderation of such capital inflows is forthcoming.</li></ul>

At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, investors have flocked into assets in Asian EMs.The question is whether this perception of the relative safety of Asian emerging markets will remain now that valuations in Asian markets have expanded so much. We think a moderation of such capital inflows is forthcoming.

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece titled Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry with the aim of shedding some light on this new and upcoming technology. The discussions ensued seeking clarity on the concept of blockchain and how it can actually be applied to financial services. It seems that while there is ample documentation available, much of it is indecipherable to those new to this concept. Consequently, this piece is meant to demystify the blockchain concept which should help the readers understand potential applications and comprehend insights written by my peers.

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece titled Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry with the aim of shedding some light on this new and upcoming technology. The discussions ensued seeking clarity on the concept of blockchain and how it can actually be applied to financial services. It seems that while there is ample documentation available, much of it is indecipherable to those new to this concept. Consequently, this piece is meant to demystify the blockchain concept which should help the readers understand potential applications and comprehend insights written by my peers.

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

The combined monetary policy outlook suggests that Japanese megabanks’ window of US middle market acquisitions is limited, even despite the current “perfect storm” of conditions in the respective sectors.

The combined monetary policy outlook suggests that Japanese megabanks’ window of US middle market acquisitions is limited, even despite the current “perfect storm” of conditions in the respective sectors.

Fed, BOJ Could Rain on the Megabank Middle Market Acquisition Parade

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/010/306/original/Market-VIX-and-macroeconomic-volatility-GDPVol-CPIVol-VIX_chartbuilder.png?1468568433" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="10306"><figcaption class="figcaption">The Market and Macro Volatility (Source: FRED)</figcaption></figure> There are good surprises, and then there are the other kind, and the market of late has delivered quite a few of the latter. Fortunately, as we pointed out in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/macro-chart-focus-brexit-and-the-yen" target="_blank">post-Brexit review</a>  the “chaos premium” was quick to subside as markets realized that an exit from Europe is not so rapidly orchestrated.  We also pointed out however that the circumstances underlying the event may be one contributor to a longer-term market risk premium to be imposed upon…

 The Market and Macro Volatility (Source: FRED) There are good surprises, and then there are the other kind, and the market of late has delivered quite a few of the latter.   Fortunately, as we pointed out in our post-Brexit review  the “chaos premium” was quick to subside as markets realized that an exit from Europe is not so rapidly orchestrated.  We also pointed out however that the circumstances underlying the event may be one contributor to a longer-term market risk premium to be imposed upon…

Macro Chart Focus: Surprises and Uncertainty Premia

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

United States

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a bank holding company, is a global investment banking and securities firm specializing in investment banking, trading and principal investments, asset management and securities services.  The Company provides services to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net worth individuals.

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Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)

Will Capital Still Flow into Asian EMs?

At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery...

Manu Bhaskaran

Blockchain & Bitcoin 101

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece titled Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry with the aim of shedding some light on this new and upcoming...

Ishita Jain

Fed, BOJ Could Rain on the Megabank Middle Market Acquisition Parade

The combined monetary policy outlook suggests that Japanese megabanks’ window of US middle market acquisitions is limited, even despite the current...

Naomi Fink

Macro Chart Focus: Surprises and Uncertainty Premia

There are good surprises, and then there are the other kind, and the market of late has delivered quite a few of the latter. Fortunately, as we...

Naomi Fink

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition...

Rajan Govil

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