Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds and deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been big ETF inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There have been big ETF inflows to the CSI 300 Index trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> has downsized it HKEx IPO to about US$400m and in this insight, we have compared the company’s financials against other listed PV inverter players.</li>
<li>Our peer analysis reveals that Growatt’s top line has grown at much higher rates compared to No. 1 player Sungrow whose margins were well below the company.</li>
<li>By looking at valuation multiples of listed peers, it seems that the company could easily command a valuation of more than US$5bn if it is valued in line with peers.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) has downsized it HKEx IPO to about US$400m and in this insight, we have compared the company’s financials against other listed PV inverter players.
Our peer analysis reveals that Growatt’s top line has grown at much higher rates compared to No. 1 player Sungrow whose margins were well below the company.
By looking at valuation multiples of listed peers, it seems that the company could easily command a valuation of more than US$5bn if it is valued in line with peers.


Growatt IPO: Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:102983" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-growing-watts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84889" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81071" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
We previously discussed the IPO in Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case, Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case. 
In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's potential valuation range.


Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-growing-watts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84889" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:80963" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/growatt-technology-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81071" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative growth. </li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), a leading PV inverters manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO, according to press reports.  
We previously discussed the IPO in Growatt Technology IPO: Growing Watts, Growatt Technology IPO: The Bull Case and Growatt Technology IPO: The Bear Case. 
The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative growth. 


Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case

China

Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes solar inverters. The Company produces single phase inverters, three phase inverters, utility scale inverters, energy storage inverters, and other related products. Ginlong Technologies conducts businesses worldwide.

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Ginlong Technologies (300763 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

We forecast 50 changes in June leading to one-way turnover of 9.1% and one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn. There will be over 1x ADV to trade on 28...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

We forecast 12 changes for the CSI300 Index in June with a one-way turnover of 1.3% and one-way trade of US$703m. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Growatt IPO: Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Growatt's revenues and margins have grown at much higher rates cf. peers including the No. 1 player in the market. The company could command a...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Growatt Technology IPO: Valuation Updated Look

Growatt is pre-marketing a US$400 million HKEx IPO. In this note, we outline our updated forecasts and present our updated look at Growatt's...

Arun George

Growatt Technology IPO: The Investment Case

The updated PHIP which disclosed the 2022 results and latest developments suggests that Growatt continues to deliver profitable and cash-generative...

Arun George

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