Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m in its Malaysian IPO in Jul 2021. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm.</li>
<li>The stock has done well since listing and is now trading 72% above its IPO price. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since listing and the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m in its Malaysian IPO in Jul 2021. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm.
The stock has done well since listing and is now trading 72% above its IPO price. 
In this note, we talk about the updates since listing and the upcoming lock-up expiry.


CTOS Digital Lock-Up Expiry:High Chance of Slow Motion Creador Exit but There Should Be Ample Buyers

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Cashed-Up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic (JS SP)</a> are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. </li>
<li>The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."</li>
<li>The ACCC approval, a key condition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> proposal completing, has been obtained.</li>
</ul>


Cashed-Up Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of Jardine Strategic (JS SP) are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. 
The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown Evergrande (3333 HK) management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."
The ACCC approval, a key condition to the Sydney Airport (SYD AU) proposal completing, has been obtained.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> is attractive amid solid US and UK footfall numbers, easing border restrictions, and pent-up demand for international travel.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Genting - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> - are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Genting Bhd (GENT MK) is attractive amid solid US and UK footfall numbers, easing border restrictions, and pent-up demand for international travel.
Preceding my comments on Genting - and Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) - are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Betting On Genting's Recovery; Sunac China Trading "Rich"

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> has returned for a third time with a A$12.50 cash per share offer, a marginal 1.2% bump to its last offer of A$12.35 on 10 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> is at the start of a difficult reform agenda it needs to fulfil to maintain its gaming licenses. Nevertheless, Blackstone’s ongoing interest suggest inherent value.</li>
<li>Blackstone’s bid retains leeway for a bump and may draw out previous suitors. At the last close of A$11.54, the shares trade at an 8.3% gross spread to the offer.</li>
</ul>



Blackstone Group (BX US) has returned for a third time with a A$12.50 cash per share offer, a marginal 1.2% bump to its last offer of A$12.35 on 10 May.

Crown Resorts (CWN AU) is at the start of a difficult reform agenda it needs to fulfil to maintain its gaming licenses. Nevertheless, Blackstone’s ongoing interest suggest inherent value.
Blackstone’s bid retains leeway for a bump and may draw out previous suitors. At the last close of A$11.54, the shares trade at an 8.3% gross spread to the offer.


Blackstone Third-Time Lucky with Crown Resorts Bid?

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The remarkable political pact (MoU) signed between PM Ismail Sabri Yaakob and 4 leaders of the constituent parties of the PH opposition alliance ensures political and economic-policy stability until the end of July 2022. PH gained an assurance of political reforms (an anti-defection law, lowering the voting age to 18, greater representation in parliamentary committees and equal funding for opposition and ruling-party MPs) in exchange for its conditional pledge not to dislodge the government for nearly 11 months, and support the Budget for 2022. The pact does not contain any steps to counter the gerrymandering of constituencies that UMNO and BN have effected over the past five decades. And it says nothing about policies other than purely budgetary matters. The UMNO-PAS-Bersatu alliance (a pure Malay-Muslim ruling group) has since moved swiftly to exploit those loopholes -- by advancing a series of discriminatory steps that deepen the racist underpinnings of Malaysia's constitution (negotiated by the departing British in 1948-57). A key policy being advanced requires all freight-forwarding and logistics companies to be 51% Bumiputera owned by end-2021; this will have a severely negative impact on non-Muslim-owned companies big and small (with most conglomerates having a freight-forwarding unit, and numerous small-businesses being based on trucking and logistics).The 12th Malaysia Plan (tabled last month) includes a policy requiring that all Bumiputera companies only be sold to Bumiputeras. And the infamous RUU 355 legislation (enhancing the powers of Shariah Courts over criminal cases, and allowing them to use traditional Islamic punishments) is progressing rapidly under this government.  These 3 legislations may endear the UMNO-PAS alliance to Malays nationally. They are aimed at putting PH's leader Anwar Ibrahim on the spot, as (despite founding the Islamic students' movement ABIM in the 1970s) Anwar leads an explicitly multi-racial party (at the head of a genuinely multi-racial alliance) and has eloquently advocated a race-neutral Malaysia over the past decade. More enduringly, these policies (unless reversed by a future PH government) risk permanently alienating much of Malaysia's business community (who will then choose to invest outside Malaysia rather than within it, turning Malaysia increasingly into an economy of generally-inefficient GLCs and foreign-owned MNCs). Despite the appearance of policy stability from this pact, the policies of this government are permanently handicapping Malaysia and threaten its longer-term economic viability.

The remarkable political pact (MoU) signed between PM Ismail Sabri Yaakob and 4 leaders of the constituent parties of the PH opposition alliance ensures political and economic-policy stability until the end of July 2022. PH gained an assurance of political reforms (an anti-defection law, lowering the voting age to 18, greater representation in parliamentary committees and equal funding for opposition and ruling-party MPs) in exchange for its conditional pledge not to dislodge the government for nearly 11 months, and support the Budget for 2022. The pact does not contain any steps to counter the gerrymandering of constituencies that UMNO and BN have effected over the past five decades. And it says nothing about policies other than purely budgetary matters. The UMNO-PAS-Bersatu alliance (a pure Malay-Muslim ruling group) has since moved swiftly to exploit those loopholes -- by advancing a series of discriminatory steps that deepen the racist underpinnings of Malaysia's constitution (negotiated by the departing British in 1948-57). A key policy being advanced requires all freight-forwarding and logistics companies to be 51% Bumiputera owned by end-2021; this will have a severely negative impact on non-Muslim-owned companies big and small (with most conglomerates having a freight-forwarding unit, and numerous small-businesses being based on trucking and logistics).The 12th Malaysia Plan (tabled last month) includes a policy requiring that all Bumiputera companies only be sold to Bumiputeras. And the infamous RUU 355 legislation (enhancing the powers of Shariah Courts over criminal cases, and allowing them to use traditional Islamic punishments) is progressing rapidly under this government.  These 3 legislations may endear the UMNO-PAS alliance to Malays nationally. They are aimed at putting PH's leader Anwar Ibrahim on the spot, as (despite founding the Islamic students' movement ABIM in the 1970s) Anwar leads an explicitly multi-racial party (at the head of a genuinely multi-racial alliance) and has eloquently advocated a race-neutral Malaysia over the past decade. More enduringly, these policies (unless reversed by a future PH government) risk permanently alienating much of Malaysia's business community (who will then choose to invest outside Malaysia rather than within it, turning Malaysia increasingly into an economy of generally-inefficient GLCs and foreign-owned MNCs). Despite the appearance of policy stability from this pact, the policies of this government are permanently handicapping Malaysia and threaten its longer-term economic viability.          

Malaysia: Stability Paves Way for Better Policy; UMNO-PAS Long-Term Challenge

Singapore

Genting Singapore Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops resort properties as well as operates casinos. The Company has casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom.

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Genting Singapore (GENS SP)

CTOS Digital Lock-Up Expiry:High Chance of Slow Motion Creador Exit but There Should Be Ample Buyers

CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m in its Malaysian IPO in Jul 2021. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Betting On Genting's Recovery; Sunac China Trading "Rich"

Genting Bhd (GENT MK) is attractive amid solid US and UK numbers, easing border restrictions, and pent-up demand for international travel.

David Blennerhassett

Blackstone Third-Time Lucky with Crown Resorts Bid?

Blackstone’s new A$12.50 cash per share bid retains leeway for a bump and may draw out previous suitors. At the last close of A$11.54 per share,...

Arun George

Malaysia: Stability Paves Way for Better Policy; UMNO-PAS Long-Term Challenge

MoU between PM and opposition PH (13 Sept) provides stability in exchange for political reform. But UMNO-PAS are using it to advance Malay...

Prasenjit K. Basu

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