Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.</li>
<li>Though <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.</li>
<li>Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.</li>
</ul>


Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.
Though Timee Inc (215A JP) is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.
Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.


<ul>
<li>Timee has set an indicative IPO price range of ¥1,350-1,450 per share and will raise US$280m (at the midpoint) where existing shareholders will sell down part of their ownership.</li>
<li>We expect Timee’s earnings to grow as the company is still in its early stages and with further growth in scale, we expect Timee’s margins to continue to expand further.</li>
<li>Our analysis shows that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> IPO is valued attractively as the company has better-than-peer margin profile which suggests that there is further upside to implied valuation multiples.</li>
</ul>


Timee has set an indicative IPO price range of ¥1,350-1,450 per share and will raise US$280m (at the midpoint) where existing shareholders will sell down part of their ownership.
We expect Timee’s earnings to grow as the company is still in its early stages and with further growth in scale, we expect Timee’s margins to continue to expand further.
Our analysis shows that Timee Inc (215A JP) IPO is valued attractively as the company has better-than-peer margin profile which suggests that there is further upside to implied valuation multiples.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a>, a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/timee-215a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150750" rel="noopener">Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/timee-215a-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150848" rel="noopener">Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Timee is attractively valued at the IPO price range in the context of the forecasted growth. </li>
</ul>



Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case and Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Timee is attractively valued at the IPO price range in the context of the forecasted growth. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a>, a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/timee-215a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150750" rel="noopener">Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and significant share option dilution.</li>
</ul>



Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.
In Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and significant share option dilution.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a>, a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.   </li>
<li>Timee's app allows users to work shifts as short as one hour at restaurants, convenience stores, and hotels, with quick payment for their work.   </li>
<li>The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile EBITDA margins.</li>
</ul>



Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.   
Timee's app allows users to work shifts as short as one hour at restaurants, convenience stores, and hotels, with quick payment for their work.   
The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile EBITDA margins.


Japan

FULLCAST Holdings CO., LTD. provides personnel staffing services for short-term and full-time positions.  The Company also plans events.

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Fullcast Holdings (4848 JP)

Timee IPO: Trading Update

Timee had a strong debut where shares have surged 47% compared to IPO price. Timee deserves to trade at a premium given the proven business model...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

Timee plans to raise $280m through the sale of existing shares and our forecasts and valuation analysis suggests that Timee's IPO is attractively...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Timee (215A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Timee is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Our analysis suggests that Timee is attractively valued at the IPO price range in the context of...

Arun George

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and...

Arun George

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Timee IPO: Trading Update

Timee had a strong debut where shares have surged 47% compared to IPO price. Timee deserves to trade at a premium given the proven business model...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

​Timee plans to raise $280m through the sale of existing shares and our forecasts and valuation analysis suggests that Timee's IPO is attractively...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Timee (215A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Timee is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Our analysis suggests that Timee is attractively valued at the IPO price range in the context of...

Arun George

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and...

Arun George

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on favourable market trends, best-in-class revenue growth, good retention rates, credible growth drivers, and top-quartile...

Arun George

Timee plans to raise $280m through the sale of existing shares and our forecasts and valuation analysis suggests that Timee's IPO is attractively...