Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TRYT’s shares started trading on TSE on 24th July. The IPO was priced at ¥1,200 per share and closed at ¥876 per share at the end of first day trading.</li>
<li>The company’s shares are currently trading at around ¥900 per share, at a 25% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">TRYT (9164 JP)</a> 's IPO price.</li>
<li>We recommended staying on the sidelines as the company’s IPO was overvalued and our DCF valuation suggests that shares are fairly valued at the current price.</li>
</ul>


TRYT’s shares started trading on TSE on 24th July. The IPO was priced at ¥1,200 per share and closed at ¥876 per share at the end of first day trading.
The company’s shares are currently trading at around ¥900 per share, at a 25% discount to TRYT (9164 JP) 's IPO price.
We recommended staying on the sidelines as the company’s IPO was overvalued and our DCF valuation suggests that shares are fairly valued at the current price.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-revised-ipo-price-range-remains-unattractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106233" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive</a>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case, TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights and TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive. 
The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.


<ul>
<li>TRYT has priced its IPO at ¥1,200 per share, at the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range, at a market capitalisation and post-money EV of ¥120bn and ¥151.6bn respectively.</li>
<li>In our previous insight, we compared the company’s implied trailing multiples with peer trailing multiples and concluded that TRYT’s IPO is overvalued at the above price range.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have discussed our forecasts for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> and updated our valuation for the company.</li>
</ul>


TRYT has priced its IPO at ¥1,200 per share, at the midpoint of the indicative IPO price range, at a market capitalisation and post-money EV of ¥120bn and ¥151.6bn respectively.
In our previous insight, we compared the company’s implied trailing multiples with peer trailing multiples and concluded that TRYT’s IPO is overvalued at the above price range.
In this insight, we have discussed our forecasts for Tryt Inc (9164 JP) and updated our valuation for the company.


<ul>
<li>TRYT Group is engaged in job placement and temporary staffing, specialising in the medical and welfare and construction fields. The company has set the pricing for its Tokyo IPO.</li>
<li>Existing shareholders of the company will offer 40m shares at an indicative price range of ¥1,100-1,300 per share, raising around US$305-360m from the IPO.</li>
<li>We think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> ’s IPO is overvalued at the above price range compared to Japanese recruitment peers and would recommend staying on the sidelines.</li>
</ul>


TRYT Group is engaged in job placement and temporary staffing, specialising in the medical and welfare and construction fields. The company has set the pricing for its Tokyo IPO.
Existing shareholders of the company will offer 40m shares at an indicative price range of ¥1,100-1,300 per share, raising around US$305-360m from the IPO.
We think Tryt Inc (9164 JP) ’s IPO is overvalued at the above price range compared to Japanese recruitment peers and would recommend staying on the sidelines.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) has disclosed a revised IPO price range of JPY1,100-1,300 per share, which is -32% to -20% below the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case and TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We would pass on the IPO.


TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

Japan

FULLCAST Holdings CO., LTD. provides personnel staffing services for short-term and full-time positions.  The Company also plans events.

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Fullcast Holdings (4848 JP)

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Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

Our analysis suggests that Tryt remains unattractively valued at the revised IPO price range. Also, market sentiment on the sector has weakened. We...

Arun George

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