Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,035.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,431mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, ASE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,035.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,431mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, ASE.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, TSMC

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Monthly high frequency data from Taiwan's banks shows strong profit acceleration through May YTD, which will include insurance investment gains for some</li>
<li>This can be driven by accelerating loan growth to technology companies, to related companies, indirectly and may explain in part, Taiwan's leading loan growth rate vs other countries</li>
<li>Credit metrics and net profit growth can be supported for Taiwan's banks by a sector focus that differs from many others in the region and the world</li>
</ul>


Monthly high frequency data from Taiwan's banks shows strong profit acceleration through May YTD, which will include insurance investment gains for some
This can be driven by accelerating loan growth to technology companies, to related companies, indirectly and may explain in part, Taiwan's leading loan growth rate vs other countries
Credit metrics and net profit growth can be supported for Taiwan's banks by a sector focus that differs from many others in the region and the world


Taiwan Banks - HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth

<ul>
<li>Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.</li>
<li>Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. </li>
<li>Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.</li>
</ul>


Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.
Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. 
Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.


Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Equity Bottom-Up

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NPL growth in 1Q24 is higher than all peers QoQ in NTDm and 90% higher QoQ</li>
<li>Mega's YTD net profit is up only 3.2% as at May which may mean high credit costs</li>
<li>Impairment costs in total were around 3x higher last year YoY which can also be due to acquisitions, subsidiaries</li>
</ul>


NPL growth in 1Q24 is higher than all peers QoQ in NTDm and 90% higher QoQ
Mega's YTD net profit is up only 3.2% as at May which may mean high credit costs
Impairment costs in total were around 3x higher last year YoY which can also be due to acquisitions, subsidiaries


Mega Financial - NPL Formation In 1Q24 Surpasses All Peers, May YTD Net Profit Growth YoY Only 3%

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>April monthly data on pre-tax income shows slowing YoY growth compared with YTD growth</li>
<li>NIM pressure was severe in past six months and this can be a key driver of less profit growth</li>
<li>Credit costs in decline supported net profit delta, but this may not longer be sustainable</li>
</ul>


April monthly data on pre-tax income shows slowing YoY growth compared with YTD growth
NIM pressure was severe in past six months and this can be a key driver of less profit growth
Credit costs in decline supported net profit delta, but this may not longer be sustainable


Chang Hwa Commercial Bank - April Monthly Profit Figures Suggest Slowing Growth

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

Yuanta Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company. Its main businesses include brokerage, margin financing, domestic and overseas issuance, financial and M&A advisory, primary listings, corporate financial, securities underwriting and placements, etc. The company also holds the leading position in the derivatives business.

Taiwan Acceptance Corp. provides car financing and leasing services.

Capital Securities Corp. conducts a securities firm business.  The Company acts as a broker, underwriter, and dealer for financial securities.  Capital also provides loans for margin transactions and transfer agent services for financial securities.

IBF Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company acts as a broker and dealer of short term bills, certifier, underwriter and guarantor of commercial papers, and broker for inter-bank call loans.  The Company also trades government bonds and provides financial consulting services.

President Securities Corp. is a securities firm which acts as a broker, dealer, and underwriter for financial securities.  The Company provides loans for margin trading and short selling.

CTBC Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides a variety of banking and financial services, including deposit, loan, guarantee, international banking, trust banking, credit card, investment banking, safety deposit box, and Internet banking services.

Cathay Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health care, and accident insurances, as well as banking, security underwriting, and brokerage services.

Yuanta Futures Co Ltd works in the brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, as well as the provision of futures consultancy services. The Company's brokerage business includes domestic futures brokerage, domestic options brokerage and overseas futures brokerage services. Polaris proprietary trading business offers securities and futures trading and market maker

E.Sun Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides banking, brokerage and dealer services.

Bajaj Finserv Ltd. is currently engaged in life insurance; general insurance and consumer finance businesses and has plans to expand its business by offering a wide array of financial products and services in India. The Company is also active in wind-energy generation.

ORIX Corporation provides comprehensive financial services throughout the world. The Company's business lines include leasing, real estate loans, life insurance, banking, and consumer finance.  The Company also operates Environment related business and Private equity investment business. ORIX has a professional baseball team, the ORIX Buffalos.

Block, Inc. operates as a financial services and digital payments company. The Company develops a payments platform aimed at small and medium businesses that allows them to accept credit card payments and use tablet computers as payment registers for a point-of-sale system. Block also provides financial and marketing services.

FirstRand Limited is a portfolio of separately branded, integrated financial services businesses offering a universal set of transactional, lending, investment and insurance products and services in South Africa, certain markets in sub-Saharan Africa and the UK.

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited (IRFC) provides financial services. The Company raises money from the market through bonds and off-shores borrowings to finance the plan outlay of railways and other various developmental programs. IRFC serves customers in India. 

Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC IN)

Adyen N.V. provides payment solutions. The Company offers a platform that enable merchants and businesses to process payments online, mobile, and point-of-sale systems with payment methods including card schemes, mobile wallets, and other local methods. Adyen serves customers worldwide.

Rural Electrification Corporation Limited engages in the financing and promotion of transmission, distribution and generation projects in India. The Company provides funding to clients to assist them in formulating and implementing various types of power project-related schemes.

Power Finance Corporation funds power projects in India.  The Company serves state power utilities, central power sector utilities, power departments, private power sector utilities, joint sector power utilities, power equipment manufacturers, and municipal power utilities.

EXOR N.V. is a diversified holding company. The Company brings in finance for the development of its companies, to improve their competitive position and profitability, and maintains a constant dialogue with the top management of the companies in which it invests, while fully respecting their operating autonomy.

Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a financial holding company, formed through the merger of Fubon Insurance, Fubon Securities, Fubon Commercial Bank, and Fubon Life Assurance.

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Fubon Financial Holding Co (2881 TT)

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Banks - HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth

Taiwan's banks may be unique with reasonable tech exposure, a possible driver for some of the best loan volume anywhere, with strong credit...

Daniel Tabbush

Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Global credit growth data on a monthly basis, shows a vast range of cycles, with Thailand, Macau and HK the worse off. Japan, Taiwan, Indonesia...

Daniel Tabbush

Mega Financial - NPL Formation In 1Q24 Surpasses All Peers, May YTD Net Profit Growth YoY Only 3%

Mega Financial is seeing weak net profit growth in its May 2024 release. Its surge in NPLs in 1Q24 may be a reason for this, and recall its...

Daniel Tabbush

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank - April Monthly Profit Figures Suggest Slowing Growth

April income figures show slowing growth compared with March. NIM compression is a concern and potentially rising credit costs, unlike the recent...

Daniel Tabbush

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