Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>US equities were on a tear last week. Asian equities were buoyant but less muted. </li>
<li>Commodity majors were on a retreat. Gold, Silver, Oil, and Copper retreated on geopolitical conflicts that appears to be contained.</li>
<li>SLOOS reported tighter standards and weaker demand for commercial and industrial  loans to firms of all sizes over the third quarter.</li>
</ul>


US equities were on a tear last week. Asian equities were buoyant but less muted. 
Commodity majors were on a retreat. Gold, Silver, Oil, and Copper retreated on geopolitical conflicts that appears to be contained.
SLOOS reported tighter standards and weaker demand for commercial and industrial  loans to firms of all sizes over the third quarter.


[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.</li>
<li>Underlying weakness in China A shares sets the tone for HK.</li>
<li>Trend and price resistance at 19,300/500 stand out as a key turn zone with a little help from an SPX give back sequence.</li>
</ul>


HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.
Underlying weakness in China A shares sets the tone for HK.
Trend and price resistance at 19,300/500 stand out as a key turn zone with a little help from an SPX give back sequence.


FTSE China A50 Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A50 sell res near 14,100. Hard down close followed by 3% squeeze needs some digestion off of dual MA support. Our take is to sell strength.</li>
<li>HSI is trading heavy after a muted bounce with 19,600 targeted and remains our top short.</li>
<li>SPX needs a nudge and firm close below 4,080 to induce downside momentum and tip the global cycle.</li>
</ul>


A50 sell res near 14,100. Hard down close followed by 3% squeeze needs some digestion off of dual MA support. Our take is to sell strength.
HSI is trading heavy after a muted bounce with 19,600 targeted and remains our top short.
SPX needs a nudge and firm close below 4,080 to induce downside momentum and tip the global cycle.


Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30th November we proposed a restructure of a bullish FXI US trade</li>
<li>Since then FXI US has rallied 12% and implied vols have decreased significantly</li>
<li>We evaluate the call ladder that we highlighted and consider what to do next</li>
</ul>


On 30th November we proposed a restructure of a bullish FXI US trade
Since then FXI US has rallied 12% and implied vols have decreased significantly
We evaluate the call ladder that we highlighted and consider what to do next


EQD | FXI (FXI US): - Could Chinese Equities Lead the Way Higher? Use Options for Delta-Follow Up

<ul>
<li>Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and rewarded.</li>
<li>We did trim our HSI short at the 15k target but still represents 10% of our book. RSI is oversold with short squeeze risk (then re cycle short).</li>
<li>Hong Kong likes to bottom on big impulsive downside moves so will be interesting how our price and timing models converge.</li>
</ul>


Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and rewarded.
We did trim our HSI short at the 15k target but still represents 10% of our book. RSI is oversold with short squeeze risk (then re cycle short).
Hong Kong likes to bottom on big impulsive downside moves so will be interesting how our price and timing models converge.


China

The FTSE China A50 Index includes the largest 50 A Share Chinese companies by total market cap. 

FTSE China A50 Index (XIN9I INDEX)

[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Each Monday, we take stock of key news in markets across major economies & firms. US equity markets rallied strongly while commodity majors...

Mint Finance

A50 Sell Zone and SPX Color

A50 sell resistance near 14,100. Hard down close followed by 3% squeeze needs some digestion off of dual MA support. Our take is to sell strength....

Thomas Schroeder

EQD | FXI (FXI US): - Could Chinese Equities Lead the Way Higher? Use Options for Delta-Follow Up

A revisit of the FXI US Call Ladder that we mentioned in November. We look at the spot and implied vol move since then and consider what trade...

Simon Harris

China/HSI Uptick Short Levels

Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and...

Thomas Schroeder

[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Each Monday, we take stock of key news in markets across major economies & firms. US equity markets rallied strongly while commodity majors...

Mint Finance

HSI Trailing A Share Weakness

HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.

Thomas Schroeder

A50 Sell Zone and SPX Color

A50 sell resistance near 14,100. Hard down close followed by 3% squeeze needs some digestion off of dual MA support. Our take is to sell strength....

Thomas Schroeder

EQD | FXI (FXI US): - Could Chinese Equities Lead the Way Higher? Use Options for Delta-Follow Up

A revisit of the FXI US Call Ladder that we mentioned in November. We look at the spot and implied vol move since then and consider what trade...

Simon Harris

China/HSI Uptick Short Levels

Bear impulse in China/HK sets up a sell on a squeeze. Sell volumes ignited on the A50 12,400 support break. HSI has been our top short in Asia and...

Thomas Schroeder