Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> would <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02649202-6A1143054?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications</a>, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02650576-6A1143658?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">best and final</a>.</li>
<li>This morning (4 April), Mincor released its <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02651163-6A1143881?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Target Statement</a>, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.</li>
</ul>


Last week, Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer best and final.
This morning (4 April), Mincor released its Target Statement, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.


Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-cheiljedang-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1970:1" rel="noopener">CJ Cheiljedang (097950 KS)</a>   </li>
<li>For the nineteen weeks since inception ended 31 March the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA -1.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +9.7%, Russell2000 -2.6%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.9%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and the large cap portfolio was up 2.1%</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) , LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) and CJ Cheiljedang (097950 KS)   
For the nineteen weeks since inception ended 31 March the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA -1.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +9.7%, Russell2000 -2.6%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.9%, all in US$ terms
For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and the large cap portfolio was up 2.1%


The Innovations Portfolios - Week Nineteen

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The company's financial statements reveal a few critical concerns relating to a receivables build-up, increasing credit allowances, and high short-term borrowing.</li>
<li>The firm's misfortunes were due to non-core events such as impairments, marketable security losses, and abnormal inflation.</li>
<li>The economy is on a knife's edge, and cyclical stocks such as Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) look like 50:50 bets.</li>
</ul>


The company's financial statements reveal a few critical concerns relating to a receivables build-up, increasing credit allowances, and high short-term borrowing.
The firm's misfortunes were due to non-core events such as impairments, marketable security losses, and abnormal inflation.
The economy is on a knife's edge, and cyclical stocks such as Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) look like 50:50 bets.


<ul>
<li>Earlier today (30 March), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. </li>
<li>Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.</li>
</ul>


Earlier today (30 March), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. 
Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.


<ul>
<li>Lithium play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> has now thrice rejected <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle Corp (ALB US)</a>'s proposals. </li>
<li>Liontown has labeled Albermarle's third bid of A$2.50/share as opportunistic. </li>
<li>Albemarle has picked up 2.2% in Liontown. But that is dwarfed by Tim Goyder's (chairman)'s 15% stake, who is not engaged at the current bid price. </li>
</ul>


Lithium play Liontown Resources (LTR AU) has now thrice rejected Albemarle Corp (ALB US)'s proposals. 
Liontown has labeled Albermarle's third bid of A$2.50/share as opportunistic. 
Albemarle has picked up 2.2% in Liontown. But that is dwarfed by Tim Goyder's (chairman)'s 15% stake, who is not engaged at the current bid price. 


Liontown (LTR AU) Rejects Albemarle's Advances

United States

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and services cars and trucks.  The Company also provides vehicle-related financing, leasing, and insurance through its subsidiary.

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Ford Motor Co (F US)

Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

Wyloo's broker will be standing in the market at $1.40. Only buy above terms on the expectation of a competing Offer. Yet with Wyoloo holding 23%+,...

David Blennerhassett

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Nineteen

For the nineteen since inception ended 31 March the innovation small cap portfolio was up 8.0%, the innovation mid cap portfolio was up 3.2% and...

Pyari Menon

Ford Stock - Risk Factors To Consider

The company's financial statements reveal a few critical concerns relating to a receivables build-up, increasing credit allowances, and high short...

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Mincor: Did Twiggy Thwart BHP Offtake?

Mincor's inability to supply BHP with the inferior product will eat into costs. And sentiment. That probably plays into Wyloo's court. Your...

David Blennerhassett

Liontown (LTR AU) Rejects Albemarle's Advances

What is "fair" is highly subjective, given volatile lithium prices, EV demand, and general sentiment. But I couldn't recommend chasing it here. ...

David Blennerhassett

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