Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Ford Motor Company is navigating a challenging financial landscape with a mix of growth and setbacks.</li><li>The company reported record revenue of $185 billion in 2024, marking its fourth consecutive year of topline growth, primarily driven by strong demand in its truck and commercial vehicle segments.</li><li>The F-Series retained its position as the best-selling pickup truck in the U.S., and the Ranger continued to expand globally.</li></ul>

Ford Motor Company is navigating a challenging financial landscape with a mix of growth and setbacks.The company reported record revenue of $185 billion in 2024, marking its fourth consecutive year of topline growth, primarily driven by strong demand in its truck and commercial vehicle segments.The F-Series retained its position as the best-selling pickup truck in the U.S., and the Ranger continued to expand globally.

Ford Motors’ New EV & Hybrid Strategy & New Restructuring Plan – Will It Pay Off?

<ul><li>Ford Motor Company presented its results for the third quarter of 2024, revealing a blend of strategic maneuvers and ongoing challenges.</li><li>The earnings call highlighted several key points that could form the basis of an investment thesis.</li><li>On the positive side, Ford has demonstrated significant progress in restructuring its global operations.</li></ul>

Ford Motor Company presented its results for the third quarter of 2024, revealing a blend of strategic maneuvers and ongoing challenges.The earnings call highlighted several key points that could form the basis of an investment thesis.On the positive side, Ford has demonstrated significant progress in restructuring its global operations.

Is Ford's Future on the Line? The Impact of Trump’s Tariffs and EV Tax Cuts Explained!

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Like other automotive/industrial semi vendors, Diodes guides 4Q23 sales of 20% q/q and 35% y/y decline (miss by 21%) and weaker gross margin/operating margin of 35%/7% (miss by 5ppts).</li>
<li>The company sees 4Q23 sales decline of 20% mainly from 19% of automotive and 26% of industrial customers due to customer inventory cut coupled with year-end distributor inventory management. </li>
<li>We expect this adjustment for automotive/industrial IDMs to last for at least 6 months and suggest our clients to avoid these names unless valuation becoming attractive.  </li>
</ul>


Like other automotive/industrial semi vendors, Diodes guides 4Q23 sales of 20% q/q and 35% y/y decline (miss by 21%) and weaker gross margin/operating margin of 35%/7% (miss by 5ppts).
The company sees 4Q23 sales decline of 20% mainly from 19% of automotive and 26% of industrial customers due to customer inventory cut coupled with year-end distributor inventory management. 
We expect this adjustment for automotive/industrial IDMs to last for at least 6 months and suggest our clients to avoid these names unless valuation becoming attractive.  


With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q

<ul><li>Ford Motor Company's second quarter 2024 performance offers a comprehensive snapshot of a transitional phase in the company's long-standing history.</li><li>The quarter reflects their advancing Ford+ strategic plan which aims to refine operational efficiencies and bolster profit margins through structural adaptations and technological advancements.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Ford Motor Company's second quarter 2024 performance offers a comprehensive snapshot of a transitional phase in the company's long-standing history.The quarter reflects their advancing Ford+ strategic plan which aims to refine operational efficiencies and bolster profit margins through structural adaptations and technological advancements.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Ford Motor Company: EV Segment Losses & Surging Warranty Costs Are A Major Concern! - Major Drivers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sompo-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:632:1" rel="noopener">Sompo Holdings (8630 JP)</a> aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares had corrected in line with other auto players going into the deal launch.</li>
<li>In this note, we compare the deal to some of the past deals and talk about the updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn (including over-allotment) via selling around 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP).
While Suzuki doesn’t have much direct exposure to the US markets, its shares had corrected in line with other auto players going into the deal launch.
In this note, we compare the deal to some of the past deals and talk about the updates since our last note.


Suzuki Motor Placement Updates - Relative Correction Has Been Decent so Far. But Lacks Buyback

United States

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and services cars and trucks.  The Company also provides vehicle-related financing, leasing, and insurance through its subsidiary.

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Ford Motor Co (F US)

Ford Motors’ New EV & Hybrid Strategy & New Restructuring Plan – Will It Pay Off?

Ford Motor Company is navigating a challenging financial landscape with a mix of growth and setbacks. The company reported record revenue of $185...

Baptista Research

Is Ford's Future on the Line? The Impact of Trump’s Tariffs and EV Tax Cuts Explained!

Ford Motor Company presented its results for the third quarter of 2024, revealing a blend of strategic maneuvers and ongoing challenges. The...

Baptista Research

With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q

With No Surprise, Diodes Guides Automotive/Industrial Semi Demand to Fall over 20% Q/Q, margin contraction, and rising months of inventory. We see...

Andrew Lu

Ford Motor Company: EV Segment Losses & Surging Warranty Costs Are A Major Concern! - Major Drivers

Ford Motor Company's second quarter 2024 performance offers a comprehensive snapshot of a transitional phase in the company's long-standing...

Baptista Research

Suzuki Motor Placement Updates - Relative Correction Has Been Decent so Far. But Lacks Buyback

Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) and Sompo Holdings (8630 JP) aim to raise around US1.15bn via selling 5% of Suzuki Motor (7269 JP). We compare it...

Sumeet Singh

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