Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (HMIL)</a> 's USD 3 billion+ IPO opens today, 15th October, at 10:00 am IST. The bidding will remain open until 4:30 pm IST on 17th October.</li>
<li>
Near-Term Outlook: Limited Short-Term Gain Potential. While Hyundai is likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki given the valuation discount, it may underperform the broader sector in the near term.</li>
<li>
Long-Term Opportunity: For investors with a longer-term horizon, Hyundai presents a relatively low-risk opportunity. Its established brand and world-class manufacturing facilities offer the potential for steady, long-term growth.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) 's USD 3 billion+ IPO opens today, 15th October, at 10:00 am IST. The bidding will remain open until 4:30 pm IST on 17th October.

Near-Term Outlook: Limited Short-Term Gain Potential. While Hyundai is likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki given the valuation discount, it may underperform the broader sector in the near term.

Long-Term Opportunity: For investors with a longer-term horizon, Hyundai presents a relatively low-risk opportunity. Its established brand and world-class manufacturing facilities offer the potential for steady, long-term growth.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> iPhone event 'boring', lacks innovation, pushes tech improvements out to 2025. Consumers' reaction? "Meh"</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> Samsung's AI products are only at 30% of consumers' expectations. Meanwhile <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huawei-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8231:1" rel="noopener">Huawei Technology (40978Z CH)</a> Mate XT takes technology to a new level </li>
<li>Electric Vehicles backlash to regulations mirror setbacks for OEMs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> positioned to win</li>
</ul>



Apple (AAPL US) iPhone event 'boring', lacks innovation, pushes tech improvements out to 2025. Consumers' reaction? "Meh"

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Samsung's AI products are only at 30% of consumers' expectations. Meanwhile Huawei Technology (40978Z CH) Mate XT takes technology to a new level 
Electric Vehicles backlash to regulations mirror setbacks for OEMs. Toyota Motor (7203 JP) positioned to win


Tech Daily. Apple (Boring), Huawei (Wow), Samsung, AI, EVs in Focus

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24</li>
<li>It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL</li>
<li>Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. </li>
</ul>



Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24
It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL
Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. 


Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

CEO, Helixtap

Farah Miller

Global Commodities Alternative Data and Insights

Helixtap

Helixtap collects, processes and distributes proprietary data, analyses and forecasts for the rubber, latex and automotive markets

Commodities

<ul><li>Goodyear's 2Q 2024 sales miss expectations, with revenue falling to $4.57 billion, down 6.1% from the previous year.  </li><li>Global market turmoil on August 5, 2024, leads to significant declines in Goodyear's stock price, exacerbated by recession fears and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike.  </li><li>Goodyear appoints Mamatha Chamarthi as Chief Digital Officer and Will Roland as Chief Marketing Officer to drive digital transformation and enhance customer engagement.</li></ul>

Goodyear's 2Q 2024 sales miss expectations, with revenue falling to $4.57 billion, down 6.1% from the previous year.  Global market turmoil on August 5, 2024, leads to significant declines in Goodyear's stock price, exacerbated by recession fears and the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike.  Goodyear appoints Mamatha Chamarthi as Chief Digital Officer and Will Roland as Chief Marketing Officer to drive digital transformation and enhance customer engagement.

Goodyear's 2Q Sales Fall Short Amid Global Market Turmoil And Strategic Shifts

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Stellantis, the European automotive group, unveiled plans to distribute EVs made by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology (9863 HK)</a> across Europe, India, Asia Pacific, MEA, and South America via a 51/49 JV.</li>
<li>This could help <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener"> Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> leapfrog regulatory hurdles and hasten access to EV markets globally by leveraging <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv-847415d2-edbe-4b97-b9c9-bece87ed6f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27920:1" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLA IM)</a> 's distribution network and manufacturing facilities.</li>
<li>Leapmotor could likely qualify and stand to benefit from Indian Government's recently announced policy initiatives for budget EVs.</li>
</ul>


Stellantis, the European automotive group, unveiled plans to distribute EVs made by Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology (9863 HK) across Europe, India, Asia Pacific, MEA, and South America via a 51/49 JV.
This could help  Leapmotor (9863 HK) leapfrog regulatory hurdles and hasten access to EV markets globally by leveraging Stellantis NV (STLA IM) 's distribution network and manufacturing facilities.
Leapmotor could likely qualify and stand to benefit from Indian Government's recently announced policy initiatives for budget EVs.


Leapmotor (9863 HK): Global Aspirations in JV with Stellantis - An Opportunity to Leapfrog?

United States

Stellantis NV manufactures and markets automobiles and commercial vehicles. The Company also produces metallurgical products and production systems for the automobile industry, as well as owns publishing and insurance companies. Stellantis serves customers worldwide.

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Stellantis NV (STLA US)

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

HMIL likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki thanks to Valuation discount but both may underperform broader sector in the near term. Limited short term...

Devi Subhakesan

Tech Daily. Apple (Boring), Huawei (Wow), Samsung, AI, EVs in Focus

Apple iPhone event boring, profit taking due to valuation. Huawei event the opposite, huge tech advances. Samsung AI products fall short of...

Neil Campling

Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Dirt cheap valuation (-27% YTD) while numbers have improved. Produced an environmentally friendly aluminum with 85% less emissions compared to...

Henry Soediarko

Goodyear's 2Q Sales Fall Short Amid Global Market Turmoil And Strategic Shifts

Goodyear misses 2Q revenue expectations amidst market volatility. Strategic leadership shifts aim to drive growth and innovation.

Helixtap

Leapmotor (9863 HK): Global Aspirations in JV with Stellantis - An Opportunity to Leapfrog?

Leapmotor could get to access and compete in emerging EV markets globally within a shorter time frame than peers by leveraging on Stellantis'...

Devi Subhakesan

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

HMIL likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki thanks to Valuation discount but both may underperform broader sector in the near term. Limited short term...

Devi Subhakesan

Tech Daily. Apple (Boring), Huawei (Wow), Samsung, AI, EVs in Focus

​Apple iPhone event boring, profit taking due to valuation. Huawei event the opposite, huge tech advances. Samsung AI products fall short of...

Neil Campling

Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Dirt cheap valuation (-27% YTD) while numbers have improved. Produced an environmentally friendly aluminum with 85% less emissions compared to...

Henry Soediarko

Goodyear's 2Q Sales Fall Short Amid Global Market Turmoil And Strategic Shifts

Goodyear misses 2Q revenue expectations amidst market volatility. Strategic leadership shifts aim to drive growth and innovation.

Helixtap

Leapmotor (9863 HK): Global Aspirations in JV with Stellantis - An Opportunity to Leapfrog?

Leapmotor could get to access and compete in emerging EV markets globally within a shorter time frame than peers by leveraging on Stellantis'...

Devi Subhakesan

Apple iPhone event boring, profit taking due to valuation. Huawei event the opposite, huge tech advances. Samsung AI products fall short of...