Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.</li>
<li>FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. </li>
<li>We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.</li>
</ul>


The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.
FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. 
We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.


Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

Private Capital Markets

FamilyMart Co Ltd / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In one of many ventures in response to the 2024 logistics problem, Familymart began an experimental collaboration with Coca Cola Bottlers in February, seeking to reduce delivery frequency in Kanagawa.</li>
<li>It is also streamlining its business, selling both its gyms and laundries recently.</li>
<li>While unlisted, its ongoing innovations provide an insight into the wider convenience store sector.</li>
</ul>


In one of many ventures in response to the 2024 logistics problem, Familymart began an experimental collaboration with Coca Cola Bottlers in February, seeking to reduce delivery frequency in Kanagawa.
It is also streamlining its business, selling both its gyms and laundries recently.
While unlisted, its ongoing innovations provide an insight into the wider convenience store sector.


Familymart Ties with Coca Cola on Logistics, Sells Laundromat Business

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26 December, CVC extended its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc. (3978 JP)</a> offer period by 10 business days to 17 January. The offer price remained unchanged, but it was not declared final.</li>
<li>The extension is unsurprising as the shares have traded above terms for 30 out of 32 trading days. The emergence of Oasis as the largest shareholder is an added complication. </li>
<li>Lowering the minimum acceptance condition is not a viable option. A bump is increasingly likely. Trading patterns suggest a minimum required revised offer of around JPY1,200.</li>
</ul>


On 26 December, CVC extended its Macromill, Inc. (3978 JP) offer period by 10 business days to 17 January. The offer price remained unchanged, but it was not declared final.
The extension is unsurprising as the shares have traded above terms for 30 out of 32 trading days. The emergence of Oasis as the largest shareholder is an added complication. 
Lowering the minimum acceptance condition is not a viable option. A bump is increasingly likely. Trading patterns suggest a minimum required revised offer of around JPY1,200.


Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumping Its Offer Is Inevitable

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Oasis has become a substantial shareholder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, representing 13.2 million shares or an 8.83% ownership ratio. </li>
<li>Oasis has not commented on its intentions, but its stake signifies two possibilities – the start of an activist campaign to secure a bump or a play on appraisal rights.</li>
<li>A bump while possible is not a certainty. NEC is likely to wait to see to if Oasis increases its stake to a level which threatens its offer. </li>
</ul>


Oasis has become a substantial shareholder of Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), representing 13.2 million shares or an 8.83% ownership ratio. 
Oasis has not commented on its intentions, but its stake signifies two possibilities – the start of an activist campaign to secure a bump or a play on appraisal rights.
A bump while possible is not a certainty. NEC is likely to wait to see to if Oasis increases its stake to a level which threatens its offer. 


NEC Networks & System (1973 JP): Oasis Stake Could Be a Headache for NEC

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>An <a href="https://bunshun.jp/denshiban/articles/b10138" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> in Japanese weekly magazine <em>Bunshun </em>this morning sent shares in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> limit up +17% with a headline that NTT Docomo was interested to buy.</li>
<li>Without access to the article, I can't go deep, but the base concept is that NTT Docomo is "worried" about KDDI (which has a bank, as does Softbank Corp)</li>
<li>It is not clear how serious it is, SBI Sumishin is super-expensive, and buying a bank isn't the same as buying a company. Hmmm...</li>
</ul>


An article in Japanese weekly magazine Bunshun this morning sent shares inSBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) limit up +17% with a headline that NTT Docomo was interested to buy.
Without access to the article, I can't go deep, but the base concept is that NTT Docomo is "worried" about KDDI (which has a bank, as does Softbank Corp)
It is not clear how serious it is, SBI Sumishin is super-expensive, and buying a bank isn't the same as buying a company. Hmmm...


NTT (9432 JP) And SBI Sumishin NetBank (7163 JP)? Maybe. Maybe Not. Seven Bank A Better Idea

Japan

FamilyMart Co., Ltd. operates convenience store chains. The Company provides rice balls, hot snacks, stews, beverages, and other products. FamilyMart conducts businesses in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, and other countries and regions.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

FamilyMart Co Ltd (8028 JP)

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Familymart Ties with Coca Cola on Logistics, Sells Laundromat Business

Familymart is collaborating with Coca Cola to reduce delivery frequency in Kanagawa, while also streamlining its business by selling gyms and...

Michael Causton

Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumping Its Offer Is Inevitable

On 26 December, CVC extended its Macromill offer period to 17 January. A bump is increasingly likely. Trading patterns suggest a minimum required...

Arun George

NEC Networks & System (1973 JP): Oasis Stake Could Be a Headache for NEC

Since announcing the offer, the shares have traded at or above terms. Including Oasis’ pre-tender stake, the total potential “NO” volume is 35.0m...

Arun George

NTT (9432 JP) And SBI Sumishin NetBank (7163 JP)? Maybe. Maybe Not. Seven Bank A Better Idea

A news weekly magazine Bunshun today had an article suggesting a bank executive thought NTT Docomo was on its way to buying SBI Sumishin Netbank....

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Familymart Ties with Coca Cola on Logistics, Sells Laundromat Business

​Familymart is collaborating with Coca Cola to reduce delivery frequency in Kanagawa, while also streamlining its business by selling gyms and...

Michael Causton

Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumping Its Offer Is Inevitable

On 26 December, CVC extended its Macromill offer period to 17 January. A bump is increasingly likely. Trading patterns suggest a minimum required...

Arun George

NEC Networks & System (1973 JP): Oasis Stake Could Be a Headache for NEC

Since announcing the offer, the shares have traded at or above terms. Including Oasis’ pre-tender stake, the total potential “NO” volume is 35.0m...

Arun George

NTT (9432 JP) And SBI Sumishin NetBank (7163 JP)? Maybe. Maybe Not. Seven Bank A Better Idea

A news weekly magazine Bunshun today had an article suggesting a bank executive thought NTT Docomo was on its way to buying SBI Sumishin Netbank....

Travis Lundy

Familymart is collaborating with Coca Cola to reduce delivery frequency in Kanagawa, while also streamlining its business by selling gyms and...