Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to our view that the market remains mixed-yet-constructive overall. We explain our outlook below. The S&amp;P 500 remains bullish, progressing past our first target of 4350 and now on its way to our next target of 4400-4406. As long as 4257-4275 support holds, we expect to see 4400 followed by 4460. Should 4257 fail to hold, our next support levels to watch would be 4164 followed by 4120; we are constructive as long as 4120 holds.

Our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to our view that the market remains mixed-yet-constructive overall. We explain our outlook below. The S&amp;P 500 remains bullish, progressing past our first target of 4350 and now on its way to our next target of 4400-4406. As long as 4257-4275 support holds, we expect to see 4400 followed by 4460. Should 4257 fail to hold, our next support levels to watch would be 4164 followed by 4120; we are constructive as long as 4120 holds.

U.S. Equity Strategy: SPX 4400 Target In Sight

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

Some updated thinking around our long portfolio: more bullish Google, Netflix, and Match, less bullish Snowflake, Facebook. And thinking about getting long some DIDI!<div class="content-highlight">Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  </div>

Some updated thinking around our long portfolio: more bullish Google, Netflix, and Match, less bullish Snowflake, Facebook. And thinking about getting long some DIDI!Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

<ul>
<li>My long-time audience may have learned my lack of interest in the internet sector when it comes to equity investing;</li>
<li>But <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaspi-kz-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33382:1" rel="noopener">Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI)</a> can be an exception thanks to its superior quality;</li>
<li>The valuation of the share does not seem cheap but is by no means unfair given the rapidly-developing addressable market, multi-cylinder growth engine, sustainable competitive advantage, and owner-leadership.</li>
</ul>


My long-time audience may have learned my lack of interest in the internet sector when it comes to equity investing;
But Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI) can be an exception thanks to its superior quality;
The valuation of the share does not seem cheap but is by no means unfair given the rapidly-developing addressable market, multi-cylinder growth engine, sustainable competitive advantage, and owner-leadership.


Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Headline Developments: We can now modify DNA inside of a human body (in vivo), thanks to some groundbreaking work announced this week by Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) which saw the company’s share price surge 55%.  What this means is that we can now send precision therapeutics (based on CRISPR technology) to “seek and destroy” problematic genes.

Headline Developments: We can now modify DNA inside of a human body (in vivo), thanks to some groundbreaking work announced this week by Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) which saw the company’s share price surge 55%.  What this means is that we can now send precision therapeutics (based on CRISPR technology) to “seek and destroy” problematic genes.

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Astro Malaysia Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Malaysia's vaccination rate is only 5% of the total population and new cases have jumped to almost 5000 daily in the past week, higher than the second wave that took place between December last year to February this year, prompted the Malaysian government to put another MCO (lockdown) in place.
As a result, people are back to work from home and not spending much time outside. Historically, many have turned into spending more time on TV and mobile entertainment in which <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astro-malaysia-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1143:1" rel="noopener">Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK)</a> is the direct beneficiary.

Malaysia's vaccination rate is only 5% of the total population and new cases have jumped to almost 5000 daily in the past week, higher than the second wave that took place between December last year to February this year, prompted the Malaysian government to put another MCO (lockdown) in place.
As a result, people are back to work from home and not spending much time outside. Historically, many have turned into spending more time on TV and mobile entertainment in which Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK) is the direct beneficiary. 

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: SPX 4400 Target In Sight

The S&P 500 remains bullish, progressing past our first target of 4350 and now on its way to our next target of 4400-4406. As long as 4257-4275...

Vermilion Research

2H21 Obex Research Long Portfolio

Some updated thinking around our long portfolio: more bullish Google, Netflix, and Match, less bullish Snowflake, Facebook. And thinking about...

Aaron Gabin

Kaspi.kz - A Superior-Quality Trio

Kaspi.kz is an exceptional "Super App" business winning sustainably in all three verticals where it operates in a rapidly-developing but often...

Steven Chen

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #38

Headline Developments: We can now modify DNA inside of a human body (in vivo), thanks to some groundbreaking work announced this week

Granite Bay Capital

Astro (Astro): Still the Good Pick

New cases have jumped to almost 5000 in the past week, higher than the second wave that took place between Dec last year to February this year,...

Henry Soediarko

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