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Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headline Developments</h2><p>The verdict is out in the Apple (AAPL) vs Epic (private) case, with the court ruling that Apple cannot stop app developers from directing users to third-party payment options, whilst ordering Epic to pay damages for violating Apple’s in-app purchasing system.</p>

Headline DevelopmentsThe verdict is out in the Apple (AAPL) vs Epic (private) case, with the court ruling that Apple cannot stop app developers from directing users to third-party payment options, whilst ordering Epic to pay damages for violating Apple’s in-app purchasing system.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>, which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.</p><p>The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a>. This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div>

TDCX (TDCX US), which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US). This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.

<p>Headline Developments Coinbase (COIN) is under scrutiny from the SEC, receiving a subpoena from the regulator relating to its yield-generating product dubbed Lend (allowing users to earn double-digit yields on deposits of USDC on its platform).  According to a series of tweets from Coinbase CEO and co-founder Brian Armstrong (outlined below), he says that the SEC has refused to meet with the company, that they have complied with all requests and that the company’s door remains open for constructive discussions.</p>

Headline Developments Coinbase (COIN) is under scrutiny from the SEC, receiving a subpoena from the regulator relating to its yield-generating product dubbed Lend (allowing users to earn double-digit yields on deposits of USDC on its platform).  According to a series of tweets from Coinbase CEO and co-founder Brian Armstrong (outlined below), he says that the SEC has refused to meet with the company, that they have complied with all requests and that the company’s door remains open for constructive discussions.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the September review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.</p><p>There are 3 inclusion -  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/match-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25903:1" rel="noopener">Match Group Inc (MTCH US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ceridian-hcm-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27122:1" rel="noopener">Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brown-brown-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19532:1" rel="noopener">Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US)</a>, while the exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unum-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2521:1" rel="noopener">Unum Group (UNM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-oilwell-varco-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3046:1" rel="noopener">National Oilwell Varco (NOV US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perrigo-co-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:869:1" rel="noopener">Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US)</a>.</p><p>There are inclusions/exclusions to the S&amp;P MidCap 400 and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 as well.</p><p>The stocks with the largest impact from passive buying are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/match-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25903:1" rel="noopener">Match Group Inc (MTCH US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tandem-diabetes-care-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20893:1" rel="noopener">Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brown-brown-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19532:1" rel="noopener">Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US)</a>, UniqureNV (QURE US) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ceridian-hcm-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27122:1" rel="noopener">Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US)</a>.</p><p>The stocks with the largest impact from passive selling are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-insurance-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19222:1" rel="noopener">United Insurance Holdings (UIHC US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/team-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6811:1" rel="noopener">Team Inc (TISI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unum-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2521:1" rel="noopener">Unum Group (UNM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perrigo-co-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:869:1" rel="noopener">Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-oilwell-varco-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3046:1" rel="noopener">National Oilwell Varco (NOV US)</a>.</p><p>There are a lot of other stocks that will have a lot to buy/sell from passive funds due to changes in the number of shares and free float and due to funding flows.</p>

On Friday post market close, S&amp;P Dow Jones announced the results of the September review for the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 17 September.There are 3 inclusion -  Match Group Inc (MTCH US), Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US) and Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US), while the exclusions are Unum Group (UNM US), National Oilwell Varco (NOV US) and Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US).There are inclusions/exclusions to the S&amp;P MidCap 400 and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 as well.The stocks with the largest impact from passive buying are Match Group Inc (MTCH US), Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US), Brown &amp; Brown (BRO US), UniqureNV (QURE US) and Ceridian HCM Holding Inc (CDAY US).The stocks with the largest impact from passive selling are United Insurance Holdings (UIHC US), Team Inc (TISI US), Unum Group (UNM US), Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO US) and National Oilwell Varco (NOV US).There are a lot of other stocks that will have a lot to buy/sell from passive funds due to changes in the number of shares and free float and due to funding flows.

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Swiping Right on Match

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>So much attention from Facebook’s call was about Zuckerberg declaring it the “metaverse” company. Roblox seems to be doing just fine, the platform is aging up, monetization continues apace, and our long term thesis is very much intact.</p><p>The company began reporting monthly metrics in the Spring as the COVID comp period began (transparency is good!) which has thrown in a bit showing acceleration MoM vs. (bookings/DAUs/engagement up 10%/8%/16% sequentially) is what will drive the stock near term.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

So much attention from Facebook’s call was about Zuckerberg declaring it the “metaverse” company. Roblox seems to be doing just fine, the platform is aging up, monetization continues apace, and our long term thesis is very much intact.The company began reporting monthly metrics in the Spring as the COVID comp period began (transparency is good!) which has thrown in a bit showing acceleration MoM vs. (bookings/DAUs/engagement up 10%/8%/16% sequentially) is what will drive the stock near term.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

Roblox 2Q21: The “Other Metaverse” Company

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #49

The verdict is out in the Apple (AAPL) vs Epic (private) case, with the court ruling that Apple cannot stop app developers from directing users to...

Granite Bay Capital

TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service

TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400m. TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high...

Arun George

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #48

Headline Developments Coinbase (COIN) is under scrutiny from the SEC, receiving a subpoena from the regulator relating to its yield-generating...

Granite Bay Capital

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Swiping Right on Match

There are 3 changes to the S&P500 that will be implemented at the close on 17 Sep. There are changes to the S&P400 & S&P600 as well. There will be...

Brian Freitas

Roblox 2Q21: The “Other Metaverse” Company

So much attention from Facebook’s call was about Zuckerberg declaring it the “metaverse” company. Roblox's platform is aging up, monetization...

Aaron Gabin

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