Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This note is a weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


This note is a weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 22-28, 2023

<ul>
<li>The latest China housing metrics remain weak, 'less negative' by some 12M measures, in line with our forecast from December 2022 data, but watch out for some major data twists</li>
<li>The expanding easing of policies is still far from a major stimulus, and the ‘whitelist’ to support certain developers indicates a selective approach by the policymakers, focused on "risk prevention"</li>
<li>The market for new home sales (mostly pre-sales) diverges from the secondary market, and the policy steers toward affordable housing, public facilities, urban village renovation</li>
</ul>


The latest China housing metrics remain weak, 'less negative' by some 12M measures, in line with our forecast from December 2022 data, but watch out for some major data twists
The expanding easing of policies is still far from a major stimulus, and the ‘whitelist’ to support certain developers indicates a selective approach by the policymakers, focused on "risk prevention"
The market for new home sales (mostly pre-sales) diverges from the secondary market, and the policy steers toward affordable housing, public facilities, urban village renovation


China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets, Data Caveats | December 2023

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 15-21, 2023

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust / Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/nagacorp-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>NagaCorp Ltd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/hopson-development-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Hopson Development</a></li><li><a href='/entities/greentown-china-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/seazen' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Seazen (Formerly Future Land)</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:NagaCorp LtdChina Jinmao HoldingsHopson DevelopmentGreentown ChinaSeazen (Formerly Future Land)and more...

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/kawasan-industri-jababeka-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Kawasan Industri Jababeka</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yanlord-land-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yanlord Land</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Kawasan Industri JababekaChina Jinmao HoldingsVedanta ResourcesYanlord LandGeely Autoand more...

China

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

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Evergrande (3333 HK)

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 22-28, 2023

A weekly (Dec 22-28, 2023) curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets, Data Caveats | December 2023

What's the latest with China's housing markets and what data caveats to watch for? In this note, we draw on the range of data metrics and our...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 15-21, 2023

A weekly (Dec 15-21, 2023) curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress

Robert Ciemniak

Weekly Wrap - 15 Dec 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 08 Dec 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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