Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Robert is the Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst of Real Estate Foresight Ltd (REF) (www.realestateforesight.com), an independent analytics, research, and consulting firm based in Hong Kong and focused on the Mainland China property markets. 

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development.

This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities.

The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

More info: https://www.realestateforesight.com

Robert started the company in 2012, after 13 years at Thomson Reuters in two major roles as Global Head of Real Estate Markets (London/Hong Kong) and earlier as Head of Corporate Foresight in Group Strategy in London. He holds a dual MBA degree from London Business School and Columbia Business School in New York, and MSc from Warsaw School of Economics. Robert holds an international master in chess title.

In 2017, Robert founded Robotic Online Intelligence Ltd (ROI) (www.roboticonline.ai), a startup in AI-powered automation of research for data collection and market intelligence, serving primarily data companies and research firms. 

ROI's Kubro(TM) Information Engine enterprise SaaS solution has been deployed commercially since 2018, with clients in the US, UK, and Asia, in areas ranging from real estate, and policy research, to data centers, and carbon and digital asset markets.

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 15-21, 2023

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 22-28, 2023

China Property - New Home Sales Growth Less Negative (16 Cities) To Week Ending Dec 24

China Housing: Demand-Supply Fundamentals - Part #3: Solving The Construction Indicators Puzzle

Around China Housing In 80 Seconds - Visualizing The 2012-2023 Monthly Data

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Dec 8-14, 2023

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China Real estate management and development / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The latest China housing metrics remain weak, 'less negative' by some 12M measures, in line with our forecast from December 2022 data, but watch out for some major data twists</li>
<li>The expanding easing of policies is still far from a major stimulus, and the ‘whitelist’ to support certain developers indicates a selective approach by the policymakers, focused on "risk prevention"</li>
<li>The market for new home sales (mostly pre-sales) diverges from the secondary market, and the policy steers toward affordable housing, public facilities, urban village renovation</li>
</ul>


The latest China housing metrics remain weak, 'less negative' by some 12M measures, in line with our forecast from December 2022 data, but watch out for some major data twists
The expanding easing of policies is still far from a major stimulus, and the ‘whitelist’ to support certain developers indicates a selective approach by the policymakers, focused on "risk prevention"
The market for new home sales (mostly pre-sales) diverges from the secondary market, and the policy steers toward affordable housing, public facilities, urban village renovation


China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK)

China Property - The Latest Signals In The Housing Markets, Data Caveats | December 2023